The Next “Buzz Word” Altcoins
Last month, the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index was at 1414.37, following a low of 217.82 in early March. BTC had made a new high yesterday at $51,630.86. Today (February 17) and the index was at 2,295.61. That’s a huge gain for one month.
Let me put this into perspective. In late 2017, I said that cryptoassets were the biggest institution revolution since the Industrial Revolution and that they represented the investment of a lifetime. Institutions, however, were not ready or capable of participating in that revolution so they “pooh-poohed” it. The SEC decided that most altcoins were securities which precipitated a huge bear market. By the end of 2018, cryptos had undergone an 85% decline and BTC hit a low price of $3,236.76 on Dec 15, 2018. But then look what happened.
BTC was up 92.71% in 2019
It was up 305.94% in 2020
And it’s up 75.42% in less than 50 days of 2021….
What did I say in 2018? There was actually a period from October through November last year when I made over $3 million in 7 weeks. Cryptos are the investment of a lifetime.
While BTC could go up another 10 fold in the long run, I doubt that it will go much over $100,000 this year…. But the opportunity of a lifetime is not over because now the altcoins are starting to move. Here are a few examples, and this is just the movement in 2021.
BNB 289%
ETH 144%
LINK 178%
SNX 215%
AAVE 397%
CND 145%
And remember those gains are just from the 48 days of 2021….
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Update on Cryptoassets
I think that there are a number of altcoins that could go up 10 times or more during the rest of 2021. Now we might have a decline of 40% or more during the year, but it probably will be short-lived with a very quick recovery…
BTC was up 92.7% in 2019, 305.94% in 2020, and in the first six weeks of 2021, it’s up 74.22%. Let’s contrast that with the other hedge against the USD and disaster, gold. Gold was up 20.94% in 2019, up 18.32% in 2020, and it’s down 5.1% so far in 2021. The path of safety is now BTC.
Gold has about 10 times more market cap than cryptos right now (even though cryptos are now over a trillion for the 1st time). If all of the money in gold went into BTC, BTC’s price would be about $370,000…
People talk about BTC being volatile and risky. But where can you find something that has made over 1,000% in 3 of the last 11 years, over 100% in 8 of them, and had only two losing years? There is only one other place than BTC with anywhere near equal performance – other cryptoassets.
If you had bought BTC at the beginning of 2012 (well, not at the very beginning), you would have turned $1,000 into more than $7.1 million (up $4.5M last month)…
Remember these are 30-day percent gains. This is probably the easiest market possible to make a lot of money. You could, however, just as easily enter a position and immediately have a 25% drawdown – which could cause you to exit and then miss out on some nice gains. If you don’t have strong beliefs about cryptos like I do, crypto volatility will test you…
This newsletter makes no recommendations about cryptos but is a free service… I personally own positions in most of the cryptos mentioned in this newsletter.
Author: Van K. Tharp, PhD
Note: This article was culled and abridged from a monthly cryptos update by Dr. Van Tharp. The full article can be accessed here.
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