Gold Price Analysis — January 18

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Gold (XAU/USD) remains under heavy selling pressure, as it records a second consecutive weekly decline amid a healthy rebound in the US dollar (DXY), which tends to undermine demand for the yellow metal.

The greenback’s recovery was sponsored by the recently proposed $1.9 trillion stimulus measure by President-elect Joe Biden and an impressive rally in the US Treasury yields.

It’s worth mentioning that gold has been under immense pressure all through January amid the growing demand for the USD as a safe-haven currency, despite recent dovish statements by US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, stating that that interest rates will continue to remain at floor level for as long as necessary.

Also, the US Treasury bond yields are expected to keep rallying in the meantime, which is exerting additional prospects of the non-yielding commodity.

Meanwhile, it appears that gold traders are split across those looking for long-term buying opportunities on the safe-haven asset amid rising inflation and massive quantitative easing measures, or those looking for arbitrary selling opportunities on the backdrop of a recovering USD and rising cases of coronavirus infections in Western Europe and the US.

Moving on, gold’s price dynamics today will be largely determined by the price action of the USD, amid the absence of market-moving data from the US.

Gold (XAU) Value Forecast — January 18

XAU/USD Major Bias: Bearish

Supply Levels: $1838, $1850, and $1860

Demand Levels: $1818, $1808, and $1800

Gold continues to trade on a backfoot, as speculators begin to anticipate an $1800 price tag for the commodity soon. The precious metal fell below the $1808 support line in the early Asian session today but has since recovered amid a lack of follow-through strength.

The commodity needs a sustained break above the $1860 pivot zone, at least, to shake off the lingering selling pressure. Failure to take the $1860 resistance over the coming days could accelerate gold’s descent to the $1800 level.

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