Gold Fails to Break the $1,815 Resistance Once Again

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Gold (XAU/USD) dropped further through the early European session and has recorded new daily lows around the $1,803 line in the last hour.

The yellow metal failed to fully utilize this week’s impressive bounce from the $1,790 support level instead got caught with fresh supply on Thursday. The latest development surrounding a new Covid-19 vaccine was perceived as one of the major factors deterring demand for gold.

The precious metal was put under additional pressure after reports came in that the US President Donald Trump would hold-off from imposing further sanctions on the Chinese officials who legislated the security laws in Hong Kong. However, a White House National Security Council spokesman has assured that Trump has not ruled out further sanctions yet.

Nonetheless, concerns over the ever-brewing Sino-US tensions threw an overall risk-off tone across markets. The risk-off sentiment was bolstered by the dropping US bond yields, albeit had little effect on the non-yielding commodity.

Moving on, market participants will be looking at the US economic data dockets—which features the monthly Retail Sales, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, and Initial Weekly Unemployment Claims—for clues. The data release is expected to have a strong influence on the price action of the USD in the near-term.

Gold (XAU) Value Forecast — July 16

XAU/USD Major Bias: Bullish

Supply Levels: $1,815, $1,818, and $1,827

Demand Levels: $1,800, $1,796, and $1,789

Gold, yet again, has failed to clear the $1,815 resistance after dropping from yesterday’s high of $1,813.49. Once again, gold is on our prevailing ascending trendline as it tries to facilitate another bounce to the upside. Buyers remain focused on the $1,815 line as the level to break.

Although a dip below the $1,796 seems unlikely, investors’ bias on gold could turn bearish if we fall below the $1,789 support.

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