EURCHF recently experienced a sharp bearish displacement from the 0.9600 supply zone down to the demand zone around 0.9220. Following this significant move, the market entered a corrective phase, gradually transitioning into a consolidation pattern that has now taken the shape of an ascending symmetrical, yet bullish-biased, triangle.
The sharp move down to the 0.9220 demand level was accompanied by a volume imbalance around the 0.9420 mark, suggesting inefficiency in the prior move. After reversing at the 0.9220 level, the price retraced upward and stalled at the 0.9420 imbalance zone, facing repeated resistance at this level.
This hesitation has led to the formation of a triple top near the 0.9420 level. However, higher lows continue to emerge from the 0.9220 base, shaping the consolidation into an ascending triangle within the broader symmetrical structure. This pattern often precedes a breakout, especially when backed by sustained higher lows.
The Average Directional Index (ADX) currently reads at 12, signaling an extremely weak trend environment. This aligns with the position of the 9 and 21-period Moving Averages, which hover between the daily candles instead of showing a clear directional bias, further confirming the lack of momentum.
EURCHF Short-term Trend: Bullish
On the 4-hour chart, price action remains indecisive and choppy, characterized by irregular swings and limited follow-through. This type of structure is typically avoided by seasoned traders and signal providers due to the low probability of clean, high-reward setups. As a result, most reputable forex signal Telegram channels are likely to remain on the sidelines for EURCHF until a decisive breakout confirms the next major directional move.
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