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BTCUSD Market Analysis- October 16
Bitcoin faces temporary bearish pressure amid its overall bullish outlook, as recent price movements suggest a short-term correction within the broader uptrend.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Key Levels
Support Levels: $100,500.00, $91,800.00
Resistance Levels: $111,100.00, $123,000.00
BTCUSD Long-Term Trend: Bullish
Bitcoin’s broader market structure remains bullish despite the recent signs of bearish pressure on the daily chart. Price action has declined below the $111,000 supply level, forming a head and shoulders pattern—a classic signal of a potential short-term bearish retracement. This development suggests a temporary correction phase within the prevailing bullish trend.
The current bearish movement is best viewed as a pullback within an overall uptrend, not a full reversal. The $100,500 demand level stands as a crucial support zone; as long as price holds above this level without a daily candle close below it, Bitcoin’s long-term bullish stance remains intact.
Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart hovers near the oversold region, implying that the selling pressure may soon weaken. This condition increases the probability of a bullish rebound once the current correction phase exhausts, potentially setting the stage for a continuation of the broader upward trajectory.
BTCUSD Medium-Term Trend: Bearish
On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin exhibits a more defined bearish structure, offering a closer look at the ongoing correction. The market is currently forming the right shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern, with price attempting to break lower in alignment with short-term bearish momentum.
The 4-hour RSI is trending downward toward the oversold zone, confirming the presence of continued selling activity. Once the RSI reaches extreme lows and price breaks below the previous swing low, a rebound may follow. This potential RSI recovery could lead to a temporary bullish pullback, offering traders opportunities to reposition for the continuation of the mid-term bearish phase within the larger bullish cycle.
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