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AUD/JPY Price Analysis – October 1, 2025
Australian Dollar has lost its recent bullish momentum against the Japanese Yen after a failed attempt to break through major yearly resistance at 98.37 JPY. Following this rejection in mid-September, the pair has entered a corrective phase, consolidating just below this key resistance. The technical indicators now suggest that sellers are gaining the upper hand.
AUDJPY Key Levels
Resistance: 98.37, 100.22
Support: 97.28, 94.36
The Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) has executed a bearish crossover, with the PPO line falling below its signal line, indicating that the bullish momentum from the September rally has faded. Corroborating this, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below the neutral 50-midline to 48.35, confirming a shift to a neutral-to-bearish market stance.
The current price for AUD/JPY is $97.17. After the failed breakout, control has shifted to the sellers, and the price is now pressing on the critical support level of 97.28 JPY. The primary bearish path, and the path of least resistance, involves a decisive break and close below this support. Such a move would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door for a deeper correction towards the next major support zone at 94.36 JPY.
AUD/JPY Short-Term Trend: Bearish (4-Hour Chart):
The 4-hour chart clearly illustrates the current bearish pressure. The price has been forming a series of lower highs, a classic sign of a downtrend. Sellers are in firm control of the immediate price action, as confirmed by the indicators.
The PPO is well into negative territory, and the RSI has fallen to 38.42, both signaling strong short-term bearish momentum. The price is currently in the process of testing the crucial 97.28 JPY support. A confirmed break below this level would be a significant victory for the bears and would likely trigger an acceleration of the downtrend.
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