British Pound Shows Strength Amidst Inflation Concerns

Azeez Mustapha

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The British pound is proving its mettle as it wraps up a positive week, flexing its muscles against a range of G7 currencies. With a bounce in its step, the cable surged approximately 2 cents higher, leaving onlookers impressed. Meanwhile, GBP/JPY has also seen a considerable boost of around 2.5 yen, while EUR/GBP has taken a tumble of nearly one euro. It seems the pound has chosen the spotlight, outshining its peers with its robust performance.

This show of strength is primarily attributed to mounting expectations that the Bank of England may have to adopt a more assertive stance in the face of rising inflation. As the heat of inflation lingers, market pundits anticipate that the Bank of England might hike interest rates more aggressively in the coming months.

Chart of previous rate decision by the BoE
Source: Investing.com

A Robust Event Calendar Awaits the British Pound this Week

In the week ahead, traders and analysts are bracing themselves for a bustling economic data and event calendar. Looking at the releases from the UK, US, and Eurozone, it becomes evident that GBP/USD and EUR/GBP might experience a healthy dose of volatility. The US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank are set to announce their policy decisions right in the middle of the week, injecting some much-needed excitement into the mix.

Meanwhile, retail trader data unveils some interesting tidbits about the current market sentiment. According to the data, a noteworthy 36.30% of traders have taken a net-long position, with the short-to-long ratio sitting at 1.75 to 1.

However, it seems that the number of net-long traders has taken a dip of 23.70% from the previous day and 9.07% from the previous week, according to data from DailyFX. On the flip side, the number of net-short traders has witnessed a meteoric rise of 43.64% since yesterday and a commendable 12.00% surge compared to the previous week.

Net longs and net shorts on the pound
Source: DailyFX

The fact that traders are leaning towards a net-short position gives us reason to believe that GBP/USD prices may have room to rise. The sentiment has grown even more bearish than both yesterday and last week, strengthening our bullish contrarian trading bias for GBP/USD.

 

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Azeez Mustapha

Azeez Mustapha is a trading professional, currency analyst, signals strategist, and funds manager with over ten years of experience within the financial field. As a blogger and finance author, he helps investors understand complex financial concepts, improve their investing skills, and learn how to manage their money.

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