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Market Analysis – May 20
USOil witnessed a bearish shift in the market structure in April. Shortly after reaching the supply zone of 87.50, the price retraced to a bullish confluence region to find support. The interception of the demand level and the bullish trendlline failed to hold leading to a crash in the price. The current price decline has halted at 76.90 demand level.
US Oil Key Levels
Demand Levels: 76.90, 72.10, 69.10
Supply Levels: 87.50, 94.50, 97.69
USOil Long term trend: Bullish
USOil bullis trend was established after the formation of a reverse head and shoulders pattern in January. The williams Alligator provided support leading the price to 87.50.
The Hull Butterfly Indicator revealed the market was already over bought as the green hue rose above the second horizontal line in the positive region. Just after this signal, the daily candles sank below the Williams Alligator to further confirm a reversal.
The bullish confluence zone at 81.20 which featured a bullish orderblock provided support to prevent further dip in the price. This was short lived as the price forced through the support zone with three black crows. The Williams Alligator which provided support earlier resisted the ascent. The price crashed to 76.90 afterwards.
USOil Short term trend: Bullish
Since late April, the market has been ranging above 76.90.The Hull Butterfly Indicator still signals a bearish trend but with a decline in bearish momentum. The market is likely to pull back to the mitigation block of 81.20 to aid the whales offset short orders against 79.90.
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