‎TONUSD Signals Bullish Reversal as Failed Low Formation Gains Momentum

‎Market Analysis- April 25

‎TONUSD is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal, driven by a failed low formation that signals a shift in momentum. ‎

‎TONUSD Key Levels

‎Support Levels: $4.4000, $2.4000
‎Resistance Levels: $6.1000, $8.0800‎

‎TON Long-Term Trend: Bullish

‎The asset experienced a strong bullish run from February to June 2024, during which it rallied significantly before facing resistance at the $8.0800 supply level. Although the prevailing sentiment at that time favored a continuation of the bullish trend, the price was rejected at $8.0800 and subsequently formed a major lower low in December 2024 — confirming a bearish shift in structure.
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‎This bearish pressure continued into early 2025, with price action breaking below the key $4.4000 support level and targeting lower demand zones. However, a strong bullish reaction emerged from the $2.4400 demand level, suggesting that buyers were regaining control.
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‎Despite an initial failed attempt to reclaim the $4.4000 level, the decline that followed was short-lived. Price formed a failed low pattern — a bullish technical setup often indicating the exhaustion of selling momentum(Bearish crypto signal). This pattern is further supported by technical indicators: the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a steady increase in momentum, while the daily Moving Average confirms a bullish bias, with price trading above the indicator.

‎TON Medium-Term Trend: Bullish

‎On the medium-term (4-hour) timeframe, price action has confirmed a structural shift to the upside. This change is marked by a sequence of higher highs and supported by the 4-hour Moving Average, with price consistently holding above it — reinforcing the current bullish sentiment.
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‎However, with the 4-hour RSI showing overbought conditions, a near-term retracement appears likely. This expected pullback may drive price toward the 4-hour breaker block (a prior resistance now turned support), presenting a potential re-entry point for bullish continuation. If the breaker block holds, TONUSD is likely to resume its upward trend with renewed strength.

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