Ixabiso leDola liyanyuka ngenxa yoxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso

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Ukuya kuthi ga kwi-70 yorhwebo ngenyanga. Kukho ngaphezu kwe-5 izibini ezikhoyo.

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IINKCUKACHA

Zonke izalathi ze-macroeconomic ebekumele ukuba zinyuse idola e-United States ziye zaba zimbi kunokuba bekulindelwe. Nangona kunjalo, ixabiso ledola laseMelika liyaqhubeka nokunyuka. NgoLwesihlanu, ngoNovemba 12, i Isalathiso sedola yeDXY, eyithelekisa nebhaskithi yezinye iimali ezinkulu ezintandathu, ifikelele kuma-95.26, inyuke phantse nge-2% kwiiveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo. Kubonakala ngathi yonke into ifanele ukuba ngolandelelwano olwahlukileyo. Ngoko ke, yintoni enokuyenza ngale meko ingaqhelekanga? Ibe kukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngokukhawuleza.

NgokweSebe lezaBasebenzi, i-CPI e-United States inyuke ngeepesenti ze-6.2 ngo-Oktobha, inqanaba eliphezulu ngaphezu kweminyaka engama-30. Kuphela ngoNovemba 1990 ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwakuphezulu. Ukunyuka kwexabiso kuye kwakhawuleza ngeepesenti ze-0.8 ukususela ngoSeptemba, ngelixa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuphambili (ngaphandle kweendleko zamandla kunye nokutya) kuye kwanyuka ukuya kwi-4.6 ekhulwini, inqanaba eliphezulu kwiminyaka engamashumi amathathu. Kwaye kubonakala ngathi ayisosiphelo esi. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-United States kulindeleke ukuba kunyuke ngakumbi kwiinyanga ezizayo, ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso ezindlu, izinto eziluncedo, amandla kunye nemoto.

Ngenyanga yesithandathu ngokulandelelana, i-CPI, elinganisa utshintsho kwiindleko zokuhlala kweli lizwe, idlule i-5% threshold. Kwaye oku kusenza singazithembi iziqinisekiso zikaSihlalo weFed uJerome Powell. Kwaye oku kusenza singamthembi uSihlalo we-Fed uJerome Powell ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu kungokwexeshana. Nangona kunjalo, abatyali-mali kuphela kodwa kunye ne-Fed, bayathandabuza.

Phambili kwiVeki, iiMarike zeDola zihlala zinguMqhubi oPhambili

Iinkcukacha-manani zeveki ephelileyo malunga nokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-US ziphembelele uloyiko lokuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuya kuthi ekugqibeleni kuthobe imigangatho yokuphila kwamakhaya. Ngaphaya koko, iFederal Reserve iqikelelwa ukuba iza kukhulisa inzala ngokukhawuleza kunokuba bekuqikelelwe, ngokweemarike. Isalathiso se-dollar yase-US i-DXY yayiphantsi kweepesenti ze-0.03 malunga nebhasikithi yeemali eziphikisanayo kwi-95.122 ekupheleni komdlalo, ngaphezu kwemini ye-94.997 esekelwe ekuphenduleni isimo sengqondo sabathengi. Ithe, nangona kunjalo, inyuke yaya kutsho kwi-95.265, inqanaba layo eliphezulu ukusukela ngoJulayi ka-2020.

Kwimeko enjalo, idola kufuneka ibe buthathaka kakhulu, ngokweengcamango zezoqoqosho eziqhelekileyo. Ubhubhani we-COVID-19, kwelinye icala, ujike yonke into entloko, enyanzela abasemagunyeni ukuba bamkele iinkqubo zokunciphisa ubungakanani (QE) ngentwasahlobo ka-2020, iimarike ezikhukulayo ngemali encinci kunye nokucutha inzala.

Ekugqibeleni, i-Fed ibhengeze ukuba iya kuqala ukunciphisa inkqubo yokuthenga i-asethi nge-120 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ukuqala kule nyanga. Ngokutsho kukaJerome Powell, umzuzu wokunyuka kwezinga awukafiki ngenxa yokuba imarike yabasebenzi ayizange ibuyiselwe ngokupheleleyo; Nangona kunjalo, uqikelelo lubonisa ukuba iya kwenzeka phakathi ku-2022. Kuze kube ngoko, i-Fed iya kuba nomonde. Abatyali-mali abaninzi, nangona kunjalo, bakholelwa ukuba, ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu, ukunyamezela kwe-Fed kuya kuphelelwa ngokukhawuleza, kwaye umlawuli uya kunyanzeleka ukuba anyuse amaxabiso ngaphambi kwehlobo lika-2022.

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