Inkonzo yokurhweba ikopi. I-Algo yethu ivula ngokuzenzekelayo kwaye ivale urhwebo.
I-L2T Algo inikezela ngemiqondiso enengeniso ephezulu kunye nomngcipheko omncinci.
24/7 urhwebo cryptocurrency. Ngelixa ulalayo, siyarhweba.
Ukuseta imizuzu eli-10 kunye neenzuzo ezinkulu. Incwadi yesikhokelo ibonelelwe ngokuthenga.
79% izinga lempumelelo. Iziphumo zethu ziya kukuvuyisa.
Ukuya kuthi ga kwi-70 yorhwebo ngenyanga. Kukho ngaphezu kwe-5 izibini ezikhoyo.
Imirhumo yenyanga iqala kwi-£58.
PHAWULA: Ingxaki yamatyala ehlabathini lonke iyasondela kwaye kuyabonakala ukuba ayinakuthintelwa. Nangona kunjalo, iindaba ezimnandi zezokuba kukho amanyathelo aqinisekileyo onokuwathatha ukukhusela impilo yakho yezemali. Elinye lala manyathelo lurhwebo lwe-Forex (ukuba uyayazi indlela efanelekileyo yokuyenza). Urhwebo lwe-Forex kudala lusekiwe njengeshishini elingqina ukudodobala koqoqosho kwaye unokwenza imali eninzi ngexesha leengxaki zamatyala ezizayo. I-Learn2.trade inikezela ngezicwangciso ze-Forex zokurhweba ezinokukunceda ukuba uthathe urhwebo lwakho ukuya kwinqanaba elilandelayo.
Umthetho kaMurphy: Yintoni enokungahambi kakuhle, kuya kwenzeka.
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KUHLE KWAYE KULULA UKWENZA
Ngamazinga amatyala afikelela kwixesha lonke eliphakamileyo kuqoqosho oluphuhlileyo noluphuhlayo, kunye namatyala-to-GDP ratios nakwindawo erekhodiweyo (ngaphandle kokubandakanya amatyala anokuvela njengoKhuseleko lweNtlalo, ukhathalelo lwempilo kunye namanye amalungelo, enza izinto zibe mbi ngakumbi), kubonakala kulixesha lokucingisisa ngendlela amazwe aza kuhlangabezana ngayo nale ngxaki.
Ingxaki yamatyala isenokungafikeleli, kodwa ayinakuphepheka. Xa isenzeka, inokubonisa eyona ntlekele inkulu yezemali kulo lonke ixesha. Akukaze kube kudala kubatyali-mali bacinge ngokuwa.
Xa ukhupha ityala ngemali oyiprintayo, akukho mfuneko yokungahlawuli ngengqiqo yokungahlawuli.
Unakho nje ukuba ibhanki ephakathi ithenge ityala (ngokushicilela imali). Le yimeko namhlanje e-US, eJapan, e-UK nakwi-European Monetary Union (amazwe asebenzisa i-euro). Bonke banemithwalo yamatyala amakhulu, kodwa zonke zineebhanki ezingoovimba ezinokuthenga ngokulula ityala ngokuprinta imali ukunqanda ukusilela.
Ukungahlawulwa akuyongxaki
Zininzi iziphumo ezibi kushicilelo lwemali kunye nokugcina amatyala kwi-balance sheet yebhanki ephakathi, kodwa ukungahlawulwa kwetyala akuyonye yazo. Le yimantra yeeTheorists zeMali zangoku (MMT) kunye nenkokeli yabo yengcinga uStephanie Kelton.
Ngokombono wam, i-MMT yinkunkuma njengomgaqo-nkqubo wezoqoqosho, kodwa itenet yokungagqibeki iyasebenza. UGeorge Soros uthetha into efanayo.
Oko kuthethiweyo, sidlule kakuhle kwinqanaba apho ityala linokulawulwa ngokukhula kokwenyani. Loo mda umalunga ne-90% yetyala-to-GDP ratio. I-60% yetyala-to-GDP ratio ikhululekile ngakumbi kwaye inokulawulwa.
Ngelishwa, uqoqosho oluphambili lwemali egciniweyo ludlule kakuhle kumyinge wama-90% njengoko lunjalo lwamazwe amaninzi amancinci. Umyinge wase-US yi-134%, ixesha eliphakamileyo. Umlinganiselo we-UK yi-102%. IFransi yi-111%. ISpain yi-112%. I-Italiya yi-145%.
I-China inika ingxelo malunga ne-77% kodwa oku kuyalahlekisa kakhulu kuba alihoyi ityala lephondo apho iBeijing inoxanduva ekugqibeleni. Elona nani laseTshayina lingaphezulu kwama-200% xa ityala lethutyana libandakanyiwe.
Intshatsheli yamatyala yiJapan kwi-261%. Uqoqosho olukhulu kuphela olunomlinganiselo ohloniphekileyo wesiqingatha yiJamani kuma-67%. Kulishwa laseJamani ukuba mhlawumbi banoxanduva kulo lonke elaseYurophu ngenkqubo ye-ECB Target2.
Onke la mazwe asingise kukusilela. Kodwa kufuneka sicinge ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo zokuqhuba ukusilela.
Kukho iindlela ezintathu ezisisiseko zokusilela: ukungahlawuli, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nohlengahlengiso lwetyala. Ungathatha intlawulo engahlawulwanga etafileni ngenxa yesizathu esikhankanywe ngasentla - unokuhlala uprinta imali.
Kukwanjalo nangohlengahlengiso. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngokucacileyo yeyona ndlela ilungileyo yokusilela. Uyibuyisela imali ngokwemigaqo yegama, kodwa ixabisa kancinci kakhulu ngokwemigaqo yokwenyani. Umbolekisi uyalahlekelwa kwaye amazwe atyalayo aphumelele.
Intle kwaye kulula ukuyenza
Isitshixo sokunyusa ixabiso lokwenyani letyala kukuhamba kancinci. Kufana nokweba imali engxoweni kamamakho. Ukuba une-$50 kwaye uthatha i-$40, uya kuqaphela. Ukuba uthatha idola enye, akayi kuqaphela. Kodwa idola ebiwe yonke imihla yongeza ngokuhamba kwexesha.
Yile nto eyenziwa yi-US ukusuka kwi-1945-1980. Ekupheleni kweMfazwe Yehlabathi yesiBini, i-US ityala-to-GDP ratio yayiyi-120% (malunga nalapho ngoku). Ngo-1980, umlinganiselo wawungama-30%, nto leyo elawulekayo ngokupheleleyo.
Ngokuqinisekileyo, ityala eliqhelekileyo kunye ne-GDP yanda, kodwa i-GDP ebizwa ngokuba yi-GDP yenyuka ngokukhawuleza kunetyala eliqhelekileyo, ngoko ke umlinganiselo wehla. Ukuba unako ukugcina ukunyuka kwamaxabiso malunga ne-3% kunye nenzala ejikeleze i-2% kwaye usebenzise i-fiscal discipline (esiyenze phantsi kwe-Eisenhower, Kennedy, Nixon kunye ne-Ford), i-GDP yegama iya kukhula ngokukhawuleza kunetyala legama (ngenxa ye-Fed capping rates).
Ukuba uphucula umlinganiselo, yithi, i-2% ngonyaka kwaye uyigcine iminyaka engama-35 (1945-1980), unokuwusika umlinganiselo ngama-70%. Yiloo nto esayenzayo.
Eyona nto yayiphambili yayikukuyenza ngokucothayo (njengokubiwa kwisipaji sikamama wakho). Phantse akukho mntu waqaphela ukuhla kwexabiso lokwenyani lemali de saya kufikelela kwinqanaba lokuvuthela (1978–1981). Kodwa ngelo xesha wawufeziwe umsebenzi.
Zimbini ke iindlela zokujongana namatyala agqithisileyo: uqeqesho lwezemali kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Ukususela ngo-1945-1980, i-US yenza kanye loo nto. Ukuba uqhuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso nge-3% kunye nenzala yi-2%, unyibilikisa ixabiso lokwenyani letyala. Ukuba usebenzisa uqeqesho lwezemali ngokunxulumene ne-GDP, unciphisa umlinganiselo wetyala-kwi-GDP.
Senze sobabini.
Isizathu sokuba umlinganiselo wetyala-kwi-GDP ubuyele kwi-134% kukuba uBush45, u-Obama, uTrump kunye noBiden bayityeshela le fomula. Ukusukela ngo-2000, umgaqo-nkqubo wemali ubungenankathalo ngoko ke umgaqo-nkqubo awusebenzi. Ingxaki ayikuko ngokwenene “ushicilelo lwemali” (uninzi lwemali eprintwa yiFed ibuyela nje kwiFed njengoovimba abagqithisileyo, ngoko ayenzi nto kuqoqosho lokwenyani).
Ingxaki kukuba ityala eliqhelekileyo linyuka ngokukhawuleza kune-GDP yegama, ngoko ke umlinganiselo wetyala-to-GDP ukhuphuka. Oku kuguquguquka kuya kwenziwa kubi kakhulu kukunyuka okukhulu kwenzala kwezi nyanga zili-18 zidlulileyo.
Awukwazi ukuboleka indlela yakho yokuphuma kwingxaki yetyala. Kananjalo asikwazanga ukuvelisa kakhulu ukunyuka kwamaxabiso. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuhambe ngaphantsi kwe-2% phantse yonke i-2009-2019 recovery.
IJapan Ibhala Kakhulu
Ukujonga umfanekiso wehlabathi, kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuba iJapan yinguqulelo nje enkulu ye-US Abanalo uqeqesho lwemali kwaye abanakufumana ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ukuze basindise ubomi babo. Ekuphela kwendlela yokuphuma eJapan yi-hyperinflation, eya kuza kodwa okwangoku.
IJapan inokugcina umdlalo wetyala uqhubeka ixeshana. Ukuwa kuya kuza xa imali iwa. Xa ndiqala ebhankini, i-USD / JPY yayiyi-400. Yayiyimihla leyo!
Ingxaki yamatyala isendleleni.
Into enkulu kunye nesidenge (ngamazwi omhlalutyi oqaqambileyo uStephanie Pomboy) uvela kubenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo ukujongana nomcimbi. Kodwa isisombululo asiyi kuba ngumgaqo-nkqubo kwaye ayiyi kuba sisicwangciso. Ingxaki iya kwenzeka nje ngobusuku kwaye ibonakala ngathi ayiveli ndawo.
Kodwa iya kuza.
umbhali: UJim Rickards
umthombo: AltucherIyimfihlo
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