Uqikelelo lonyaka lwe-EUR / AUD (2021): Ukudityaniswa kwexesha elide kuXaxa ngaphambili

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Imirhumo yenyanga iqala kwi-£58.

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I-EUR / AUD ibinonyaka onengxaki kodwa ikwazile ukuphela phantse kanye apho iqale khona, i-1.6100. Ngaphambi kokuba siye kubuchwephesha, makhe sijonge ezinye zezinto eziphambili ezinokuchaphazela esi sibini ngo-2021.

I-European Central Bank iceba ukuyenza buthathaka i-Euro ukuze inyuse umgangatho wokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-Eurozone, ithathela ingqalelo ukuba ungenelelo oluthe ngqo kutshintshiselwano lwangaphandle kubonakala ngathi alunakwenzeka okwangoku.

I-ECB iya kuthi inciphise umgaqo-nkqubo wayo wezemali kwikota yokuqala ka-2021 ukomeleza uqoqosho phakathi kwengxaki yemali ebangelwe ngubhubhane, kwaye ngamaxesha aqhelekileyo anokuthi ayenze buthathaka i-Euro. Nangona kunjalo, unxibelelwano phakathi komgaqo-nkqubo wezemali kunye ne-EUR kubonakala ngathi utshintshiwe kwakamsinya emva kokuqhambuka kweCoronavirus. Oko kwathiwa, ukuqhubeka ngokulula kwe-ECB kwi-2021 ngekhe kuyichaphazele i-Euro.

Ngeli xesha, i-Aussie ikwahlala inyanzelekile njengoko iBhanki enguVimba yase-Australia iqhubeka nokubamba umgaqo-nkqubo wezinga lenzala elibi (NIRP). I-RBA iyakuthi igcine i-OCR) kwiirekhodi ezisezantsi ze-0.10% kwintlanganiso elandelayo kwikota yokuqala ye-2021, njengoko iRhuluneli uPhilip Lowe kunye nabanye abenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo weRBA bahlala beqinile kwisigqibo sabo sokugcina inzala ingentla. amanqanaba amabi.

Oko kwathethi, i-RBA inokuqhubeka nokusebenzisa ibalance sheet yayo ukuxhasa uqoqosho lwase-Australia emva kokubhengeza izicwangciso zokuthenga "i-100 yezigidigidi zeebhondi zikarhulumente kunye nokuvuthwa malunga ne-5 ukuya kwi-10 leminyaka kwiinyanga ezintandathu ezizayo" emva ko-Novemba.

Nangona kunjalo, i-ASX 30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures ngoFebruwari 2021 ikhontrakthi zibonisa ukuba elinye ireyithi yokuncipha ikufutshane nekona, kulindelwe ukwehla kwenzala ye-65% ukuya kwi-0.00% kwintlanganiso yeBhodi elandelayo yeRBA.

Oko kwathethi, i-EUR / AUD inokuqhubeka nokuqhubeka kakuhle ngoFebruwari 2-intlanganiso elandelayo ye-RBA-njengoko iibhanki eziphambili ziqhubeka nokuziphinda kabini kwimizamo yabo yokunyusa uqoqosho lwehlabathi.

Uqikelelo lwexabiso le-EUR / AUD - 2021

I-EUR / AUD 2021 Bias: Iindlela

Amanqanaba okubonelela: I-1.6800, 1.7300, kunye ne-1.8000

Amanqanaba okufuna: I-1.6000, 1.5675, kunye ne-1.5120

I-2020 yabona urhwebo lwe-EUR / AUD ngokuthe ngcembe lonyusa ishaneli, ngaphambi komsitho omnyama wangoLwesine ngo-Matshi, obangele ukuba esi sibini sibeke kufutshane ne-2.0000. Aba babini bachitha phantse intsalela yonyaka bechacha kuloo spike ukuya kwimo yayo yoqobo.

Njengoko bekutshiwo ngaphambili, i-EUR / AUD iya kuhlala ibotshelelwe kumqolo we-2021 phakathi kwe-1.6600 kunye ne-1.6000.

Ukulandela eli xesha, esi sibini sinokuphinda sibuyele kwisitishi esinyukayo. Oko kwathethileyo, elona themba liphantsi le-EUR / AUD yi-1.5800, ngelixa elona liphezulu lilindelekileyo kuthi li-1.7600 inani elijikelezileyo.

Phawula: U-Learn2.Trade akangomcebisi wezezimali. Yenza uphando lwakho ngaphambi kokuba utyale imali yakho kuyo nayiphi na iasethi eyimali okanye imveliso ebekiweyo okanye umsitho. Asinaxanduva lweziphumo zakho zotyalo-mali.