Kuhi makahiki no ka AUD / NZD (2021): ʻOi aku ka nui o Bullish i mua

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Ua paʻi nā waihona mālama ʻāina o ʻAukekulelia (RBA) a me Nūhōlani (RBNZ) i nā manaʻo pessimistic no 2021, a ʻo ia ka mea e hoʻopili i ka Aussie a me Kiwi.

ʻO ka AUD / NZD, ka mea e hōʻike ana i ka waiwai o ke dālā ʻAukekulelia e pili ana i ke Kiwi, ke hoʻopuni nei i ka makahiki i ʻoi aku ka nui ma mua o ka hoʻomaka ʻana ma waena o ka plummeting global equity a me nā ikehu ikehu. ʻO kēlā i ʻōlelo, he makahiki olakino ko ka Aussie hoʻohālikelike ʻia me ka NZD.

I kēia manawa, ua hōʻoki nā RBA a me ka RBNZ i kā lākou uku paneʻe i kēia makahiki. Ua ʻoki ka RBA i kāna pahuhopu wā pōkole mai + 0.75% a i + 0.25%, ʻoiai ka ʻāpana ʻo New Zealand i ʻoki i kāna helu mai + 1.00% a i + 0.25%.

ʻO ka AUD ka mea ʻoi aku ka makaʻu o nā kālā ʻelua, ʻo ia hoʻi ka mea e ʻoi ai ka pōmaikaʻi nui aʻe mai ka manaʻo maikaʻi a ʻoi aku ka ʻeha ma nā mākeke maikaʻi ʻole ma mua o ka NZD. Eia nō naʻe, ʻo ka mea e kākoʻo mau ana i ka AUD ma 2021 ka nui o ka hoʻokele waiwai o Australia.

I ka makahiki 2018, aia ka GDP o Nūhōlani ma US $ 205 biliona, ʻoiai ʻo ko Australia helu i hōʻea mai i kahi US $ 1.43 trillion - ma kahi o ʻehiku mau manawa i ʻoi aku ko New Zealand. ʻO kēlā mea, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hoʻokele waiwai e hoʻonui pinepine i ka huli ʻana o FX-e hāʻawi ana i ke kālā ma lalo me ka nui o ka likiki a me ke koi - hoʻohālikelike ʻia i kahi mea liʻiliʻi.

Me nā mea āpau i ka noʻonoʻo, koe ka maopopo ʻole o ka wā e hiki mai ana no nā kālā ʻelua i kēlā me kēia, e noʻonoʻo ana i nā pilikia e pili ana i nā waiwai, ka ikehu, a me nā mākeke kaulike, ma waena o ka maʻi maʻi COVID-19. Eia nō naʻe, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka 2021 no ka AUD ma luna o ka NZD.

AUD / NZD Kālā Wanana - 2021

AUD / NZD 2021 Bias: ʻO Bullish

Nā Papa Hana: 1.1000, 1.1200, a me 1.1300

Nā Pae Koi: 1.0550, 1.0400, a me 1.0200

ʻOiai loaʻa kahi makahiki choppy, ke piʻi maikaʻi nei ka AUD / NZD ma mua o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka makahiki. I kēia manawa, ʻo nā prospect no 2021 (mai kahi kuanaʻike loea) me he mea lā ʻoi loa ka pīhoihoi no ka pālua, ke noʻonoʻo nei ua lele i ke kumu o kā mākou ala e piʻi nei i ka mua o Kekemapa a ke hele nei i ka piko o ke kahawai.

ʻO ka mea i ʻōlelo ʻia, ʻo ko mākou manaʻo kiʻekiʻe loa no ka AUD / NZD ma 2021 kū ma 1.1300 (kahi ʻeono makahiki ikaika), a ʻo kā mākou mea e manaʻo ai ke kumu kūʻai haʻahaʻa he 1.0000 (ke kumu kūʻai haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa loa).

'Ōlelo Aʻo: E aʻo2. ʻAʻole aʻoaʻo ʻo Matade i aʻoaʻo aʻoaʻo kālā. E hana i kāu noiʻi ma mua o ka hoʻopukapuka ʻana i kāu kālā i kekahi waiwai kālā a i hōʻike ʻia i ka huahana a hanana paha. ʻAʻole mākou kuleana no kāu hopena hopena hoʻopukapuka.