ʻO kēia ka Bitcoin Analysis Pono ʻoe e ʻike

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10 mau minuke hoʻonohonoho me nā pōmaikaʻi nui. Hāʻawi ʻia ka manual me ke kūʻai.

79% Laki holomua. ʻO kā mākou hopena e hoʻohauʻoli iā ʻoe.

A hiki i 70 kālepa i kēlā me kēia mahina. Loaʻa ma mua o 5 mau pai.

Hoʻomaka nā kau inoa o kēlā me kēia mahina ma ka £58.

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KA PREDICTION BITCOIN WALE ANA

ʻO ka hapa ʻana o Bitcoin.

A i ʻole, e kau i kahi ʻano ʻē aʻe, e hōʻike i kona ʻano nui:

KA BITCOIN HALVING.

He aha ia? No ke aha ʻoe e mālama ai? He aha ka mea e hiki mai ana?

Loaʻa iā mākou nā nīnau he nui, no laila e holo kākou i ka mea e hana nei. Ihu i ka huelo.

ʻO ka mea mua, nā kumu…

ʻO ka helu kilokilo: 144
I kēia manawa, ma ka awelika, ma kahi o 900 mau Bitcoins hou i kēia manawa i ʻeli ʻia i kēlā me kēia lā. ʻO kēia helu he hoʻohālikelike e pili ana i kēia mau ʻike:

→ Hoʻokaʻawale ʻia nā uku mining Bitcoin i kēlā me kēia 210,000 poloka, e kū ana ma kahi o kēlā me kēia ʻehā makahiki, AKA ka "Bitcoin halving."

→ Mai ʻApelila 2024, ʻo 6.25 BTC ka uku no kēlā me kēia poloka. ʻO ia ke ʻano o kēlā me kēia manawa i hoʻohui ʻia kahi poloka hou i ka blockchain (ma kahi o kēlā me kēia 10 mau minuke), ʻo ka mea miner i hoʻohui maikaʻi i ka poloka e loaʻa iā 6.25 Bitcoins hou.

→ Me 6.25 BTC no kēlā me kēia poloka a me ka manawa poloka o 10 mau minuke, aia ma kahi o 144 mau poloka i ʻeli ʻia i kēlā me kēia lā (24 hola x 6 poloka i kēlā me kēia hola).

(No laila, 144 poloka x 6.25 BTC / poloka = 900 BTC / lā.)
I kēia pule, e ʻoki ʻia ka 6.25 BTC no kēlā me kēia poloka i ka hapalua. ʻO ke ʻano, e hoʻomaka ana nā miners Bitcoin i ka mining wale nō 3.125 BTC no ka poloka, a i ʻole ka awelika o 450 BTC i kēlā me kēia lā.

ʻAʻole maopopo iā mākou i ka wā e hiki mai ai, akā loaʻa iā mākou kahi koho maikaʻi: Ma waena o ke awakea ʻApelila 19 a hiki i ke awakea ʻApelila 20.

I kēia manawa, manaʻo paha ʻoe, "E kali. No ka mea i manaʻo ʻia e hana ʻia i kēlā me kēia 210,000 poloka, maʻalahi ke wānana! ʻAe, e kuʻu hoaaloha, pololei ʻoe… ma ke kumumanaʻo. Akā e like me ka hapa nui o nā mea i ke ola, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka ʻoiaʻiʻo.

ʻIke ʻoe, ʻo ka manawa e pono ai nā miners e "ʻimi" i ka poloka aʻe a hoʻohui iā ia i ka blockchain i manaʻo ʻia he maikaʻi, ʻo 10 mau minuke.

Akā ʻo nā miners he puʻupuʻu fickle, a ke hoʻololi mau nei ka nui o ka mana helu helu a lākou e hoʻolei ai i ka pūnaewele. ʻO ia ke ʻano hiki ke loli ka manawa maoli ma waena o nā poloka.

ʻO nā mea a pau e hiki iā mākou ke hana ke nānā i nā ʻikepili i hala…

E like me ka ho'āʻo ʻana e wānana i ke aniau ma ka nānā ʻana i kāu mea i ʻaʻahu ai i ka Pōʻalua i hala. He mea pono paha. Malia paha i ka hapa nui o ka manawa.

A hiki i ka pau ole.

E like me ka hopena, i ka wā e pili ana i ka ʻikepili kumu kūʻai, ua maikaʻi loa ia i kēia manawa. Ka hihia:

Nā wānana ma hope o ka hāhā
Ma ka pukana o Malaki 2024 o Altucher's Investment Network, ua kākau au i kahi "Pre-Halving Playbook" no nā mea hoʻopukapuka crypto.

He ʻelima mau ʻāpana ʻokoʻa o ka pōʻai halving Bitcoin.

Māhele 1: Ma mua o ka Hāpai ʻana i ka ʻaoʻao i lalo

Māhele 2: Hōʻuluʻulu Pre-Halving

Māhele 3: Hoʻi i mua o ka Halving

Māhele 4: Manawa Hoʻohui hou ma hope o ka Hāpaʻa ʻana

Māhele 5: Parabolic Post-Halving Uptrend

ʻO ka hoihoi nui iā mākou i kēia manawa ʻo ka Phase 3… ka hoʻi ʻana ma mua o ka hapalua.


ʻOiai ʻokoʻa ke ʻano o ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana, ʻaneʻane i nā manawa a pau ka piʻi nui ma mua o ka hapalua.

I ka pōʻaiapili 2020, no ka laʻana, ua loaʻa kahi 20% retracement i ʻelua pule ma mua o ka hala, ʻoiai ma 2016, ua loaʻa kahi huki 29-40% 28 mau lā ma mua.

Hōʻike maʻamau kēia retrace i kekahi o nā manawa kūʻai kūʻai hope loa ma mua o ka hapalua.

ʻOiai ʻaʻole mākou e hoʻāʻo e hoʻokaʻawale i ka mākeke (ʻo ʻoe ke kumu kūʻai kālā i kēia lā?)…

I Malaki, ua kākau mākou: "I ka hoʻokokoke ʻana o ka Bitcoin halving, ʻaʻole hiki ke hoʻopau ʻia ka hiki ʻana o kahi dump pre-halving nui aʻe."

A ...

"ʻOiai paha ʻo ka huki ʻana o Ianuali i ka lua o ka hapa mua o kēia pōʻai, e makaʻala a hoʻomākaukau no ka volatility hou aʻe i nā lā e hiki mai ana i ka hanana halving."

ʻO kēia hopena pule ke ʻano o ka volatility a mākou e hoʻomākaukau ai.

Akā, pehea ka pae 4 a me 5?

Hōʻoia 4
ʻO kaʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻaʻole hiki i ka halving Bitcoin i ka manawa koke e hoʻoulu i kahi hui nui ma muli o ka hoʻolako ʻana i ka haʻalulu.

Hōʻike ka ʻikepili mōʻaukala e hāʻule pinepine a neʻe paha ke kumukūʻai no nā mahina ma hope o ka hanana halving.

I ka makahiki 2012, 2016, a me 2020, ua lawe ia ma waena o 100 a me 200 mau lā ma hope o ka hapalua no Bitcoin e hiki i kahi kiʻekiʻe o nā manawa āpau.

AKA… ʻokoʻa kēia manawa.
ʻO ka nui o ka ulu ʻana o Bitcoin, aia ma kahi o 1.8% i kēlā me kēia makahiki no nā makahiki ʻehā i hala iho nei, ua hoʻonohonoho ʻia e hāʻule i kahi kokoke i 0.9% ma hope o ka hanana halving i ʻApelila. ʻO kēia ho'ēmiʻana i ka uluʻana o ka lako e hōʻailona i ka manawa mua e hāʻule aiʻo Bitcoin ma lalo o ka ulu ulu o ke gula.

ʻOi aku ia ma mua o ka hōʻailona wale nō: Ke hele mai nei kēia eclipse o ke gula i ka manawa e hōʻuluʻulu nei nā ʻoihana.

Me ka 15 miliona mai ka huina 19.5 miliona Bitcoin i hoʻopaʻa ʻia e nā mea hoʻopukapuka lōʻihi, a i ʻole "hodlers," pono e hoʻokūkū nā hui no ka emi ʻana o nā Bitcoins.

A ʻaʻole ʻo ʻAmelika wale nō.

Ke neʻe nei ke koena o ka honua: Ua ʻae ʻo Hong Kong i nā Bitcoin a me Ethereum ETF i ka pule i hala. Aia ma kahi o 180 mau ʻāina ma ka honua. Ke hele mai nei ka nui o lākou.

Hōʻoia 5
I ka manawa i lawa ai ka hōʻiliʻili ʻana o Bitcoin mai ka pae hōʻiliʻili hou, komo ia i ka parabolic post-halving uptrend.

ʻO kēia ka māhele hoihoi loa o ka pōʻai, kahi e hiki ai iā Bitcoin ke hele ballistic. ʻO ka FOMO kiʻekiʻe a me nā kumukūʻai kumukūʻai o $ 1 miliona a i ʻole ka mea maʻamau i kēia wā.

I kēia manawa, e hoʻomanaʻo…

Ke hoʻokele nei mākou i ka pōʻaiapili halving Bitcoin, he mea koʻikoʻi ia e hoʻomaopopo a manaʻo i kēia mau hana. me ka hoʻomaopopo pū i nā mana hou e pāʻani nei.

ʻOiai ʻokoʻa paha ka pōʻaiapuni o kēia manawa, ʻo nā kumu kumu o ka hoʻomanawanui, ka awelika o ke kumu kūʻai kālā, a me ka mālama ʻana i kahi hiʻohiʻona lōʻihi e pili mau ana.

Ma ka hoʻomau ʻana i ka ʻike e pili ana i ka ulu ʻana o ka mākeke, hiki i nā mea hoʻopukapuka ke hoʻonohonoho iā lākou iho e hoʻonui i nā manawa e hiki mai ana i ka huakaʻi hele a Bitcoin i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe.

Author: Chris Campbell

Source: AltucherConfidential

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