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Ukuhwebelana okungafika kuma-70 ngenyanga. Kunamapheya angaphezu kwama-5 atholakalayo.
Okubhaliselwe kwanyanga zonke kuqala ku-£58.
"Akubalulekile kangako ukuthi ulungile, kodwa ukuthi ungayenza kanjani imali uma uqinisile." - U-Ivan Hoff
Ngikhumbula okwenzeka kwenye ingqungquthela yokuhweba ethakazelisayo engaya kuyo cishe ezinyangeni ezinhlanu ezedlule. Bekuyingqungquthela ethokozisayo impela. Ngesinye isikhathi, umongameli wasibonisa ishadi le-EURUSD (okuthambekela kwalo okuvelele kwakuyi-bullish, kodwa ukuthambekela kwesikhashana bekuyi-bearish) futhi wasibuza lo mbuzo:
Ucabanga ukuthi intengo izoya kuphi ngokulandelayo?
Kwathuleka ehholo. Ukubikezela ikusasa kuyinselele enkulu; futhi akunangqondo ukukhuluma ngesenzo senani lesikhathi esizayo ngokuqiniseka okukhulu. Abadayisi abambalwa basukuma bazama ukunikeza imibono yabo. Kamuva ngasukuma, ngathatha imakrofoni futhi ngathi izinto ezimbili zingenzeka ngaleso sikhathi: intengo ingaphendukela ekuthambekeni okubusayo okuzoqhubeka NOMA ukulungiswa kwe-bearish yesikhashana kungase kube isiqalo sokubukeka okuqinile kwe-bearish. Ngabe nganginephutha?
Indoda eyodwa yasukuma ngokushesha yathi nginephutha. Uthe intengo KUFANELE inyukele phezulu njengoba umkhuba owawuhamba phambili wawungu-bullish. Ngathula. Uyabona ukuthi abahwebi bawubonisa kanjani umqondo ongafaka engozini umsebenzi wabo?
Lokhu kwakuyithambo lombango; abanye bacabanga ngokungathí sina ukuthi i-pullback izogcina ihlangana nomkhuba jikelele. Kodwa iqiniso laliwukuthi kungase kube ukuqala komunye umkhuba wesikhathi eside wokuhlehla.
Ukuba nemibono akuyona into enhle ekuhwebeni. Labo abaye bajabulela impumelelo ehlala njalo ezimakethe bayazi ukuthi bangawavuma kanjani amaphutha abo, baphume ekulahlekelweni kwezohwebo futhi babheke izimpawu ezilandelayo ezingase zibe nenzuzo. Kodwa-ke, abathengisi abanemibono yabo abalokothi bavume amaphutha abo futhi bavame ukuthatha isinqumo sokuqhuba ukulahlekelwa kwabo inqobo nje uma imakethe ihamba ngokuphambene nabo. Umhwebi obonayo angase aze aqiniseke ngokwanele ukuvula isikhundla esikhulu kakhulu (njengengozi engu-20% noma engu-40%), ekholelwa ukuthi intengo KUMELE ivune bona. Umuntu angase enqabe ngisho nokumisa ukuze kuvinjelwe inhlekelele.
Ingabe indoda yayiqinisile? Yebo, wayeqinisile, kodwa ukulungiswa kwesikhathi esifushane kuthathe intengo yehla ngamapayipi afika ku-500 ngaphambi kokuba intengo iqonde ekuchemanyeleni okukhulu. Kwezinye izimo, imakethe ingase yehle ngamapayipi angaphezu kuka-1,500 emasontweni ambalwa alandelayo ngaphambi kwanoma yikuphi ukuguqulwa okunengqondo, uma lokho kungenzeka. Uyabona ukuthi abantu benza kanjani izinqumo ezinemiphumela emibi kumaphothifoliyo abo?
Ngabe nami bengiqinisile? Yebo. Nginikeze amathuba amabili wesiqondiso senani - noma phezulu noma phansi. Ukuze ngizuze kulokhu okulindelekile noma ngiqinisekise ukuthi ukunyakaza okungalungile akuphazamisi iphothifoliyo yami, nginciphisa ukulahlekelwa kwami uma nginephutha futhi nginikeze inzuzo yami inkululeko ethile uma ngiqinisile. Anginangqondo: Ngiyazi okufanele ngikwenze noma nini lapho ngifakazelwa ukuthi ngilungile noma akulungile.
Ukuba I-Bearish noma I-Bullish Akwenzi Mahluko
Kuvamile ukuthi abahwebi abaningi bathi “Ngiyi-bearish/bullish kule makethe.” Lokho akwenzi mehluko. Kuzokwenzekani lapho umthengisi we-swing eshoda emakethe ngoba ezwa i-scalper imemezela ukuthi i-bearish? Lapho umhwebi wesikhundla ethi bangama-bullish, ucabanga ukuthi umhwebi we-intraday angenza 'ubufakazi bobuwula' ukuhweba okude?
Ngibheka ishadi le-EURUSD futhi ngithi ngine-bearish, kodwa uyalibuka futhi uthi u-bullish. Ishadi liyishadi, futhi kokubili ibhere nenkunzi kungenza imali emakethe efanayo. Lapho imakethe eshibhile kakhulu ihlangana ngamapayipi angaphezu kuka-600, inkunzi ingakwazi ukuzuza okuthile. Emakethe efanayo, ibhere lingakwazi futhi ukuzuza okuthile lapho inani lihlehla libheke ekuchemameni okubusayo lapho ukuthenga noma ukuthengisa kuvame khona - okwenza umehluko izindlela zesikhathi nezitayela zokuhweba.
Ukuba yi-bullish noma i-bearish akwenzi mehluko. Okwenza umehluko ukuhlonipha kwakho izinto ezingokoqobo ezenzeka ezimakethe. Ukuqinisekiswa kokuhlehla bekungeke kwenzeke ngokuphazima kweso; kuthatha izinsuku noma ngezinye izikhathi, amasonto. Ushintsho olusuka ku-downtrend luye ku-uptrend alwenzeki ngokuphazima kweso; esikhundleni salokho kuzoba nokuncipha kancane kancane kwe-downtrend ebese ihumusha ibe yi-uptrend, okubangela ukuphakama okuphansi phakathi kokuhlanganisa nokushwibeka. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ibaluleke kangakanani iphethini ye-bullish ye-counter-trend noma i-bearish engulfing candle, akusho ukuthi ithrendi isiphelile, ngaphandle uma uchungechunge olulandelayo lwamakhandlela luqhubeka lubambelele ekuphendukeni isikhathi eside ngokwanele. Uma kungenjalo, iphethini ebalulekile ye-bearish noma i-bullish ingaba yi-spike enikeza abahwebi ithuba elihle lokungena emakethe ngenani elihle.
Isiphetho
Izimakethe ze-FX ziphakathi kwezimakethe zokuhweba eziwuketshezi kakhulu emhlabeni, ngakho-ke, lapho ithuluzi elithrenda kakhulu lithatha ukuchema okumisiwe, lingathatha isikhathi eside kunalokho obekulindelwe. Uma sibhekene naleli qiniso, ukuhlehla kumongo wokuchema okumisiwe kungase kube okwedlulayo noma kube isiqalo somnyakazo omude obheke kwelinye icala. Kunokuba ube nombono wakho mayelana nesiqondiso, uzozisiza ngokukhipha abahluliwe futhi ugibele abawinile - okuwukuphela kwendlela yokubhekana nezimakethe ngokunqoba.
Leli qiniso lifingqwe kulesi sicaphuno esingezansi:
“Ngichitha usuku lwami ngizama ukuzenza ngijabule futhi ngikhululeke ngangokunokwenzeka. Uma nginezikhundla eziphambene nami, ngiyaphuma. Uma behamba ngami, ngiyabagcina.” - UPaul Tudor Jones
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