IDola Lase-US Lithepha Iminyaka Eyishumi Eliphezulu Phakathi Kokulindelwe Kwesinqumo Se-Hawkish Fed

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ITHELELELI

IZIPHUMA

The Idola laseMelika ivaliwe ngesonto eledlule njengomdlali onamandla kunabo bonke emakethe ye-forex ngemuva kokuthi inkomba yedola laseMelika (DXY) ifinyelele iphuzu layo eliphakeme kakhulu eminyakeni engamashumi amabili.

Umhlangano wentabamlilo owenziwe ngemali eyodwa ufike ngenxa yokwenyuka kokulindela okuqaphile kokukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo yi-US Federal Reserve emhlanganweni wayo wenqubomgomo ngoMeyi 4. Nakuba idola lehla ngasekupheleni kwesonto, umfutho we-bullish cishe uzoqhubeka isonto elisha.

I-yen yaseJapane ingene njengomdlali wesibili onamandla ngemuva kwedola, ngenxa yendiza eyingozi enkulu ezimakethe zezimali kanye nokuhlanganiswa kwesivuno somgcinimafa.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi lwezinhlobo zemali, imizwa yokugwema ubungozi kanye nokukhathazeka ngezinhlobo zemali ze-China eziyingozi ezifana ne-Aussie ne-Kiwi. I-Euro ibingekho kude njengoba ukuhlasela kweRussia e-Ukraine kwaqhubeka nezijeziso ezengeziwe.

I-Sterling futhi, ngokumangalisayo, i-Swiss Franc nayo ihweba nge-backfoot, kuyilapho u-Loonie ehweba ngemibono exubile.

I-US Dollar izoqhubeka ku-Bullish Momentum?

I-DXY ithephe phezulu kwe-103.92 ngoLwesine olwedlule, iphuzu layo eliphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoDisemba 2002. Kodwa-ke, yehlulekile ukusekela lo mfutho futhi yabuyela endaweni ye-103. Ukwengeza, idola lilahlekelwe amandla uma liqhathaniswa ne-yen, okuqhubekisele phambili izinzuzo ze-DXY.

Ukuqhubekela phambili, osomnotho bayagomela ukuthi ukukhuphuka kwamaphuzu angama-50 (bps) ngoLwesithathu kuqinisekile. Kodwa-ke, abangakwazi ukukuqinisekisa ukuthi i-Fed ingakhuphuka yini futhi ilethe ukukhuphuka kwezinga lama-bps angama-75 ngoJuni, njengoba sekuvele kunentengo yezimakethe. Abahlaziyi abalindele impendulo ecacile kulokhu okungenzeka kuSihlalo we-Fed uJerome Powell emhlanganweni olandelayo we-FOMC.

Sekushiwo lokho, i-NFP nedatha yokuntuleka kwemisebenzi kufanele ilolonge isinqumo sezinga lenzalo ye-Fed ngoJuni.

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