Ukufunda Izilinganiso Zenzalo

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IZIPHUMA

Ayini amanani enzalo?

Kukangaki uzwa igama elithi amanani enzalo? Izinkulungwane zezikhathi ngibheja, kuye ngokuthi unesikhathi esingakanani ukuleli bhizinisi. Ithimba lethu likusho izikhathi eziningi ezibuyekezweni zethu zansuku zonke kanye nokuhlaziywa kwamasonto onke futhi linezihloko ezimbalwa mayelana namabhange amakhulu, athinta lawa manani. Sinesu le forex kanye namazinga enzalo. Kodwa, ake sibheke ngokujulile amanani enzalo, ukuthi ayini, nokuthi ayithinta kanjani imakethe ye-forex.

Ngokuvamile, lapho abantu abavamile bezwa ngezinga lenzalo, ngokuzenzakalelayo bacabanga ngephesenti lonyaka lemali mboleko noma imali abayibolekile abalikhokhela ibhange ngokusebenzisa imali yebhange ukuxhasa ukuthengwa komuzi wabo - futhi lokho kulungile. Izinga lenzalo ngokuyisisekelo liyiphesenti lonyaka okufanele ulibuyisele kumbolekisi ngemali oyibolekile.

Ake sithi, uthathe imali engu-$100,000 ukuze uthenge indlu. Izilinganiso zenzalo ziyabalwa futhi zivezwe minyaka yonke, ngakho-ke ngenani lenzalo elingu-4%, ungakhokha u-$4,000 ngonyaka kumabolekisi ngaphezu kukathishanhloko, okuyimali ebolekiwe engu-$100,000. Uma ubunemali mboleko yeminyaka engu-20 ubuyokhokha enye i-$80,000 ebhange.

Kodwa lokho akukhona lokho i-forex jargon ebhekisela kukho lapho sisho amanani enzalo. Zibalwa ngendlela efanayo kodwa, izinga lenzalo ku-forex izinga amabhange ezinga lesibili azokhokha ngalo ibhange elikhulu ukusebenzisa imali yalo. Amabhange amakhulu aboleka imali kumabhange asezingeni lesibili futhi ngenxa yalokhu, kufanele akhokhe inzalo. Leli izinga lenzalo esibhekisela kulo ku-forex.

Ubani olawula izilinganiso zenzalo nokuthi kungani ehamba?

Nokho, kukhona elinye izinga lenzalo ku-forex. Ngaphandle kokuboleka imali, amabhange asezingeni lesibili nezinye izikhungo ezigcina imali zifaka imali yazo eyengeziwe ebhange elikhulu njengendawo ephephe kunazo zonke zokuyigcina. Ngenxa yalokhu, bathola inzalo njengembuyiselo. Kulesi sihloko, sizogxila esilinganisweni sangaphambili, esaziwa ngokuthi inzalo enkulu

Uma ufuna ukuhwebelana ngamanani enzalo kumele uwaqonde

Njengoba ibhange elikhulu linquma ukwehlisa ama-rates, yibhange elikhulu elibeka amanani. Kodwa, akusebenzi njengomzimba oqinile. Amabhange amakhulu akhiwe ngamalungu amaningana, wonke avotela ukukhuphuka noma ukunciphisa inzalo kuyo yonke imihlangano esemthethweni. Inani lamalungu lincike ebhange; iBank of England (BOE) inamalungu ayisishiyagalolunye, iFederal Reserve (FED) amalungu ayi-12 kanye ne-European Central Bank (ECB) inamalungu ebhodi angama-25. Umnotho nawo ubeke eqhulwini emashumini eminyaka adlule uma kukhulunywa ngenqubomgomo yezimali yamabhange amakhulu.

Ukuthi izilinganiso zenzalo zikuthinta kanjani ukuhweba nge-fx

Sisebhizinisini le-forex futhi sonke sinentshisekelo yokuthi kungani izenzo zebhange eliphakathi ziyithinta kanjani imakethe ye-forex. Kodwa akunzima kangako ukukuqonda. Uma izinga lenzalo liphansi, amabhange asezingeni lesibili azimisele kancane ukugcina imali efakwe ebhange elikhulu, ngakho-ke, imali eyengeziwe ejikelezayo. Siyazi ukuthi imali iyimpahla njengazo zonke ezinye, ngakho uma izimpahla ziningi, ziba ishibhile.

Ake sibone isibonelo, umnotho waseJapan usunesikhathi eside usesimweni sokuwohloka komnotho, ngakho iBank of Japan (BOJ) yehlisa inzalo kabili kule minyaka emihlanu edlule iyenze ibe negative, okusho ukuthi uma amabhange ezinga lesibili egcina inzalo. imali efakwe e-BOJ kuzodingeka bakhokhe inzalo ku-BOJ. Amabhange amakhulu asekhaya nawamazwe ngamazwe ngokusobala awafuni ukukhokha inzalo engu-5% ngakho angathanda ukuhoxisa i-Yen efakwe e-BOJ kunokuba ayilahle emnothweni. Lokhu kuzuzisa umnotho wase-Japan, esisazowubona, kodwa kwenza imali ibe buthaka ngoba kukhona i-Yen eningi esakazwayo. Njengoba ungabona eshadini elingezansi kwe-USD/YEN ikhuphuke ngazo zombili izikhathi lapho kube nokuncishiswa kwezinga okunengqondo.

Manje, kunezikhathi ezintathu zokusabela kwentengo lapho amanani enzalo ehliswa:

1. Ngaphambi kokusika ngenxa yokulangazelela imakethe
2. Emahoreni ambalwa okuqala ngemva nje kokusika
3. Emavikini/ezinyangeni ngemuva kokusikwa njengasesimeni esingezansi

Konke kuncike ekutheni izinga lokusika/ukwenyuka linani lentengo nokuthi imakethe ye-forex ibekwe kanjani. Uma imakethe iye yaxwayiswa yibhange elikhulu ukuthi kuyeza ukuncishiswa/ukukhuphuka kwenani, kusho ukuthi imakethe ikulindele ukuthi azikho izimanga. Izimanga ziholela ekuphenduleni ngokushesha kwemizwa, kubiza amakhulukhulu amapayipi emizuzwini/amahora ambalwa okuqala futhi kulandelwe umnyakazo omkhulu kakhulu ezinsukwini/amasonto noma ngisho nezinyanga ezilandelayo, kuye ngokuthi izinga lisike/linyuke kangakanani. Kudinga ulwazi olufanele ukuhumusha ukusabela okulungile kokuncishiswa/ukwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo, kodwa ungalandela izibuyekezo zethu zemakethe zansuku zonke ukuze ufunde ukuthi imakethe isabela kanjani nsuku zonke.

I-USD/JPY ikhuphuke ngaphezu kwamasenti angu-50 ngemva kokungenelela kwe-BOJ

Izibonelo zokusabela kwemakethe ekushintsheni kwezinga lenzalo

Ngokuvamile, intengo yohlobo lwemali ehlobene iya ohlangothini olufanayo nesinqumo sezinga lenzalo, okusho ukuthi uma amanani enqanyulwa uhlobo lwemali luyehla, futhi uma amanani enyuswa leyo mali iyawazisa. Kodwa kunezikhathi lapho intengo kanye nesinqumo sesilinganiso sihamba ngendlela ehlukile, ngakho-ke ake sibheke kuzo zombili izimo sisebenzisa izibonelo ezimbili zakamuva.

Okokuqala, ake sibheke i-EUR/USD lapho i-FED ikhuphula izinga lenzalo lisuka ku-0.25% liya ku-0.50% ngoDisemba 2015. Ngaphambi kwesimemezelo, i-EUR/USD yayikhuphuka kodwa lapho isimemezelo sokunyuka kwezinga senziwe, intengo yaqala ukushelela, okusho ukuthi i-USD yayiqina - ezinsukwini ezimbili kamuva lo mbhangqwana wazithola usungaphansi kwama-pips angu-200. Bekulindelwe kabanzi ukusuka ku-FED futhi, ngalokho, akubanga yisimanga esikhulu. Njengoba umnyakazo ubungenalo udlame kakhulu, umbhangqwana we-EUR/USD uqhubekile uhweba eduze kokwehla phakathi kuka-1.08 no-1.10 amasonto ambalwa.

I-EUR/USD ihambise amapayipi angama-200 ngaphansi lapho i-FED inyusa amanani kodwa yadubula amapips angama-300 ngaphezulu lapho i-ECB iwasika.

Esibonelweni sesibili, (umcibisholo wesibili ohlangothini lwesokudla lweshadi), i-ECB yehlisa inzalo yezezimali isuka ku-0.05% iye ku-0% kanye namazinga ediphozithi ukusuka ku--0.20% kuya ku-0.30%. I-Euro ekuqaleni yalahlekelwa ama-pips angu-200 okwakubonakala sengathi ukusabela okulungile. Yabe isihlehla futhi yavala usuku mayelana ne-450 pips ephakeme. Kwenzekeni? Ngemva kokuba i-ECB inqume kokubili amanani entengo yenzalo futhi yengeza i-QE eyengeziwe, imakethe yafinyelela esiphethweni sokuthi i-ECB yayiphelelwe yizikhali futhi lezi zenzo zizosiza umnotho we-Eurozone - okuhle kwe-Euro esikhathini eside, futhi ngaleyo ndlela, abatshalizimali. bashesha ukuzibeka kabusha.

Lokhu, empeleni, kubonakale kubi kakhulu ku-USD ngoba lokho okuqale njengokuqinisa i-EUR/USD kuphenduke ukuthengiswa kwe-USD ebanzi ngoba i-USD yalahlekelwa amapayipi angamakhulu ambalwa ngokumelene nawo wonke amanye amapheya ngalolo suku. Ngakho-ke, uma ubona isinqumo sezinga lenzalo ekhalendeni futhi ufuna ukusihweba, hlola zonke izici. Ingabe inenani layo, ingabe kuyamangaza, ingabe ukusika/ukwenyuka kuzoba kukhulu kangakanani?

Njengoba ubona, amanani enzalo athinta ngempela imakethe ye-forex. Ngezinye izikhathi umphumela uba mncane ngoba imakethe ilindele ukukhuphuka noma ukunciphisa amanani, futhi ngezinye izikhathi ukusuka ebhange eliphakathi kufika njengokumangazayo, okuzoba nomthelela omkhulu. Ngokuvamile, intengo yohlobo lwemali ehlobene iya ohlangothini olufanayo nezilinganiso zenzalo kodwa hhayi njalo, ngakho kufanele uqaphele ukufunda isenzo senani futhi uhlaziye ezinye izici eziningi.