I-Inflation Spikes e-Japan As Dollar Falls

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E-Japan, i-yen ibe nesonto elihle ngesonto eledlule, kodwa ibuyele ezindleleni zayo zakudala, iwa ngosuku lwesibili ngokulandelana. Namuhla, imizwa yokubeka engcupheni ibeka ingcindezi kuYen neDola. I USD / JPY izinga lokushintshisana okwamanje liku-113.91, likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.18 ngosuku. Phakathi neseshini yaseNew York, umbhangqwana we-GBP/JPY we-cross-currency ukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.38, uhweba ku-157.15 ngesikhathi sokubhala.

Isimo sengqondo sabatshalizimali sihle, njengoba kubonakala ngokukhuphula izinkomba zemakethe yase-US, ekhuphuke phakathi kwamaphesenti angu-0.19 namaphesenti angu-0.36. Naphezu kokwenyuka kwamandla emali kanye nenqubomgomo yezimali yasebhange elimaphakathi, izici ezifana ne-Q3 yezinzuzo ezinhle zezinkampani zase-US zibathulise abadlali bemakethe. Ngaphezu kwalokho, umuzwa wokuba sengozini wenze buthaka indawo ephephile ye-yen yaseJapane, okusalokhu iyisiga seseshini, yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.39 uma kuqhathaniswa nezimali ezinkulu ze-G8.

Ngokwenqubomgomo yezimali, i-United States ne-Japan zilibangise ezinhlangothini ezihlukene. Emhlanganweni we-FOMC ngesonto elizayo, i-Fed kulindeleke ukuthi iqinise inqubomgomo ngokunciphisa uhlelo lwayo lokuthenga ibhondi. Naphezu kweziqinisekiso zikaSihlalo we-Fed Powell lokho "i-taper yebo, i-rate yokwenyuka cha," izimakethe zizoqagela ngesikhathi sokwenyuka kwezinga, ikakhulukazi njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kungabonisi zimpawu zokwehla noma nini maduze. I-Fed kulindeleke ukuthi inyuse amanani ngo-2023, kodwa kungenzeka maduze uma umnotho wase-US uthuthuka ngokushesha kunalokho obekulindelwe ngonyaka olandelayo.

Ukwehla kwamandla emali eJapan kuyanda

Sekuyiminyaka, ukwehla kwamandla emali eJapan kwehle ngaphansi kweziro. Ohulumeni bazama, kodwa ezimweni eziningi behluleka ukudala ukwehla kwamandla emali okwenqaba ukunyuka phezulu. I-Japan isesikhathini sokwehla kwamandla emali kusukela ngo-2011, kodwa lo mkhuba ungase uphele. I-CPI ayizange ishintshwe ngo-Agasti futhi yenyuka ngo-0.1% ngoSepthemba (YoY).

Lokhu kuphawula impumelelo yokuqala kusukela ngoMashi 2020, lapho kuqala ubhubhane lwe-Covid. I-CPI eyinhloko yaseBank of Japan, okuyinkomba yokwehla kwamandla emali ekhethwa yiBhange LaseJapan, ikhuphuke ngo-0.6% ngoSepthemba, okuyisivinini esishesha kakhulu kusukela ngoJulayi 2019.

Okuhamba phambili kokwehla kwamandla emali yizindleko zamandla aphezulu njengoba amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe enyuke ngeminyaka eminingi. Ukwehla kwamandla emali okuphakeme kuyiqiniso elisha lempilo emhlabeni wonke, futhi ukwehla kwamandla emali ezitolo ezinkulu eJapan kweqe ngamaphesenti angu-6.3, izinga eliphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngo-2008. Nokho, lokhu akuzange kuholele ekwenyukeni kwamandla emali kwabathengi, njengoba amabhizinisi emadolonzima ukudlulisela izindleko eziphakeme kubathengi.

Inhlolovo entsha yokhetho ikhombisa ukuthi i-LDP ebusayo, eholwa nguNdunankulu omusha uFumio Kishida, izogcina kalula iningi layo endlini ephansi yephalamende. IJapan izoya okhethweni ngesonto elizayo kanti uKishida kulindeleke ukuthi ethule okunye ukudambisa imali kanye nokwenyuka kwezindleko ukuze kukhuliswe ukwehla kwamandla emali. Obunye ubuthakathaka kungenzeka kwenze i-yen yehle njengoba amanye amabhange amaphakathi ezithola esemjikelezweni wokuqina, okuholela ekwandiseni isivuno phakathi kweJapan ne-US, kanye namanye amazwe e-G-10.

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