Amathrendi e-Geopolitiki: Ukhetho lwase-UK, i-US-China Tariff Retreat kanye ne-FOMC Rate Decision Sways Risk Sentiment

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Imininingwane yemali izokwehla ngasekupheleni konyaka, noma ngabe kusekhona imicimbi embalwa ebalulekile ehlelelwe isonto elisha.

Imikhakha yamabhizinisi ishaqiswe yimicimbi emikhulu esontweni eledlule, okhethweni lwase-United Kingdom, ukwehla kwamanani entengo phakathi kwe-United States ne-China, kanye nesinqumo se-FOMC. Iphawundi laseBrithani laphela njengelibekiwe kakhulu ekupheleni kwesonto eledlule njengoba kusekelwe ukunqoba kwe-Conservative okhethweni lwezepolitiki lwase-UK, okwaholela ekuxoshweni kobucayi ekuphumeni kweBrithani kwi-European Union. Idola laseCanada selifuna ukukhuphula intengo kawoyela ongacoliswanga, ikakhulukazi osekelwa intela ephansi phakathi kwe-United States neChina. I-Yen yayibuthakathaka kakhulu ngenxa yesifiso esinamandla sobungozi njengoba amasheya ase-US andisa uhla lwamarekhodi awo. Idola lifunwe njengolwesibili elibuthakathaka ngemuva kokuthi uSihlalo weFederal Reserve uJerome Powell edlale phansi ithuba lokunyuka kwenzalo ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, okukhombisa ukuthi inani lenzalo lizohlala kuleli zinga elikhona njengamanje ngaphandle kokuthi kunokwanda kwezinto.

Siyakwemukela ukuthi abaqageli abaningi babephatheke kabi ngokukhishwa kwamanani “okuncane” okulethwe yi-American - Chinese tariff retreat.

Ingxenye enkulu yobuthakathaka bokuphuma kweBrithani kwi-European Union manje kufanele ishiywe ngaphandle njengoba uBoris Johnson kulindeleke ukuthi abuyise umthethosivivinywa wokuhoxiswa ukuze kuxoxwe ngawo e-House of Commons ngaphambi kukaKhisimusi nokufakwa ngaphambi komnqamulajuqu waseBrithani kaJanuwari 31. Ngokunjalo, wabuye wathembisa ukungasikhulisi isikhathi esibekiwe senqubekela phambili ye-2020, izinyanga eziyi-11 kuphela ukuqeda ukushintshana kwe-UK ne-European Union ebudlelwaneni besikhathi esizayo, kubandakanya nezohwebo. Lolu uhlelo oluminyene impela, kepha okwamanje, izinkunzi zaseBritish Pound zinezizathu zonke zokuqhubekela phambili ngokuchema okukhulayo emakethe ekuqaleni.

Ukwesaba eMakethe nge-Slight Tariff Retreat
Ukuphothulwa kwesigaba sokuqala sesivumelwano sokuhwebelana saseMelika neChina bekungokunye futhi ukukhuthazwa okunamandla emkhakheni wezamabhizinisi. Ngokuhambisana nephepha leqiniso elimele i-United States Trade Representative, ukuqonda kungabandakanya izindawo ezibandakanya ukuvikelwa okusha, ukudluliswa kwezinto ezintsha, ezolimo, amabhizinisi ahlobene nemali, imali, ukukhula kwezohwebo kanye nokuxazululwa kwezinselelo. URobert Lightizer uthe ulindele ukuthi lokhu kuqonda kwamakhasi angama-86 kusayinwe nguye nePhini likaNdunankulu waseChina uLiu He ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari eWashington. Amaphuzu ayinhloko azokhishwa ngaleso sikhathi.

Okunye okubalulekile okumele sikuqaphele ukuthi imikhakha yamabhizinisi ibukeka idumele kakhulu ngenxa yokuhlehliswa kwentela. Izindaba ezimnandi ukuthi izimali ezibekwe ku- $ 160 billion kuyo yonke imikhiqizo ikakhulukazi engakhokhiswa intela yaseChina imisiwe unomphela. Imali engu-15% ekhokhweni lokungenisa laseChina elingu- $ 120 billion izohlukaniswa ibe ngu-7.5%. Kodwa-ke, intela engama-25% emikhiqizweni ebiza u- $ 250 billion ishiywe ingashintshiwe. Lokhu kusho ukuthi isimo sentela asisihle kunangesikhathi sonyaka odlule.