Isibikezelo Sonyaka se-EUR / AUD (2021): Ukuhlanganiswa Okude Isikhathi Eside Kusengaphambili

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I-EUR / AUD ibe nonyaka oneziyaluyalu kepha ikwazile ukuphela cishe ngqo lapho iqale khona, i-1.6100. Ngaphambi kokuthi singene kwezobuchwepheshe, ake sibheke ezinye zezici ezibalulekile ezingathinta lo mbhangqwana ngo-2021.

I-European Central Bank ihlela ukwenza buthakathaka i-Euro ukuze inyuse izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali le-Eurozone, uma kubhekwa ukuthi ukungenelela okuqondile kokuhwebelana namanye amazwe kubonakala kungenakwenzeka okwamanje.

I-ECB kungenzeka ilulaze inqubomgomo yayo yezimali kwikota yokuqala ka-2021 ukuqinisa umnotho phakathi kwenkinga yezezimali ebangelwe ubhadane, futhi ngezikhathi ezijwayelekile okungenzeka ukuthi kwayenza buthaka i-Euro. Kodwa-ke, ukuhlangana phakathi kwenqubomgomo yezimali kanye ne-EUR kubonakala sengathi kuguqulwe sekwedlule isikhathi kulandela ukugqashuka kweCoronavirus. Lokho kusho ukuthi ukuqhubeka nokwenza lula kwe-ECB ngo-2021 ngeke kuthinte i-Euro.

Khonamanjalo, i-Aussie nayo isalokhu ishaya amakhala njengoba iReserve Bank yase-Australia iqhubeka nokubamba inqubomgomo engemihle yenzalo (NIRP). I-RBA kungenzeka igcine isilinganiso sayo semali esisemthethweni (OCR) kwirekhodi eliphansi elingu-0.10% emhlanganweni wayo olandelayo kwikota yokuqala ka-2021, njengoba uMbusi uPhilip Lowe nabanye abenzi bezinqubomgomo zeRBA behlala beqinile esinqumweni sabo sokugcina inani lenzalo ngenhla amazinga amabi.

Lokho kusho ukuthi, i-RBA ingaqhubeka nokusebenzisa ibhalansi yayo ukuxhasa umnotho wase-Australia ngemuva kokumemezela izinhlelo zokuthenga "ama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-100 zamabhondi kahulumeni ngokuvuthwa okungaba yiminyaka emihlanu kuya kweyishumi ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezizayo" emuva ngoNovemba.

Kodwa-ke, izinkontileka ze-ASX 30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures ngoFebhuwari 2021 zikhombisa ukuthi elinye izinga lokwehliswa seliseduze, ngokulindela ukwehla kwenzalo engu-65% kwehle kuye ku-0.00% emhlanganweni olandelayo weBhodi weRBA.

Lokho kusho ukuthi, i-EUR / AUD ingaqhubeka nokuhamba kahle kuze kube nguFebhuwari 2 — umhlangano olandelayo we-RBA — njengoba amabhange amakhulu eqhubeka ephinda kabili emizamweni yawo yokufukula umnotho womhlaba.

Isibikezelo se-EUR / AUD Value - 2021

I-EUR / AUD 2021 Bias: Ngaphandle

Amazinga Wokunikezela: 1.6800, 1.7300, no-1.8000

Amazinga Wokudinga: 1.6000, 1.5675, no-1.5120

I-2020 ibone ukuhweba kwe-EUR / AUD kukhuphuka kancane kwalesi siteshi, ngaphambi komcimbi omnyama wangoLwesine ngoMashi, okwenze ukuthi laba babili basondelane nesibalo esiyisiyingi esingu-2.0000. Laba bobabili basebenzise isikhathi esisele sonyaka belulama kusuka kuleso spike kuya esimweni saso sokuqala.

Njengoba kushiwo ngaphambili, i-EUR / AUD kungenzeka ihlale iboshelwe ebangeni ekuqaleni kuka-2021 phakathi kuka-1.6600 no-1.6000.

Ngemuva kwalesi sikhathi, laba bobabili bangaphinda babuyele esiteshini esikhuphukayo. Lokho kusho, okulindelwe okuphansi kwe-EUR / AUD ngu-1.5800, kanti okulindelwe kakhulu kithi isibalo esiyisiyingi esingu-1.7600.

Qaphela: I-Learn2.Trade ayisiye umeluleki wezezimali. Yenza ucwaningo lwakho ngaphambi kokutshala izimali zakho kunoma iyiphi impahla yezezimali noma umkhiqizo owethulwe noma umcimbi. Asinacala ngemiphumela yakho yokutshala imali.