Isibikezelo Saminyaka Yonke se-AUD / NZD (2021): Kusebenza Okungaphezulu KweBullish Phambili

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Amabhange agodliwe e-Australia (RBA) naseNew Zealand (RBNZ) womabili ashicilele umbono omncane wokungabi nathemba we-2021, nawo lowo, ongathinta i-Aussie neKiwi.

I-AUD / NZD, emele inani ledola lase-Australia ngokuya nge-Kiwi, isondela onyakeni ophakeme kunaleyo eyaqala phakathi nokwehla kwamanani okulingana komhlaba namandla. Lokho kusho ukuthi, i-Aussie ibe nonyaka onempilo uma iqhathaniswa ne-NZD.

Okwamanje, bobabili i-RBA ne-RBNZ behlise amazinga abo wenzalo kulo nyaka. I-RBA isike umgomo wayo wesikhashana kusuka ku- + 0.75% kuya ku- + 0.25%, ngenkathi ibhange laseNew Zealand lehlisa amanani alo lisuka ku- + 1.00% laya + 0.25%.

I-AUD iyingozi kakhulu kuzo zombili izimali, okusho ukuthi ijwayele ukuzuza kakhulu embonweni wobungozi obuhle futhi ihlupheka kakhulu ezimakethe ezinobungozi ezimbi kune-NZD. Kodwa-ke, into engahle iqhubeke nokuxhasa i-AUD ngo-2021 ubukhulu bezomnotho wase-Australia.

Ku-2018, i-GDP yaseNew Zealand yayikuma-US $ 205 billion, kuyilapho izibalo zase-Australia zifike ku-US $ 1.43 trillion ophindaphindwayo — kucishe kuphindwe kasikhombisa kunowaseNew Zealand. Lokho kusho ukuthi, umnotho omkhulu uvame ukuqinisa ukuguquguquka kwe-FX-okunikeza imali eyisisekelo uketshezi olukhulu kanye nokufunwa-kuqhathaniswa nokuncane.

Ngakho konke lokhu engqondweni, kusalokhu kungacaci kahle ukuthi ikusasa liphetheni zombili izimali ngazinye, kucatshangelwa ubungozi obuzungeze izimakethe zezimpahla, ezamandla, nezokulingana, phakathi kobhadane lwe-COVID-19. Noma kunjalo, i-2021 ibukeka iyithanda kakhulu i-AUD ngaphezulu kwe-NZD.

Isibikezelo se-AUD / NZD Value - 2021

I-AUD / NZD 2021 Bias: Isi-Bullish

Amazinga Wokunikezela: 1.1000, 1.1200, no-1.1300

Amazinga Wokudinga: 1.0550, 1.0400, no-1.0200

Yize ube nonyaka ongajabulisi, i-AUD / NZD isondela kangcono kunakuqala konyaka. Kakade, amathemba wango-2021 (ngokombono wezobuchwepheshe) abukeka enesasasa kakhulu kulaba bobabili, uma kubhekwa ukuthi isusile esisekelweni sesiteshi sethu esikhuphukayo ekuqaleni kukaDisemba futhi manje isisendleleni eya phezulu esiteshini.

Lokho kusho, ukulindela kwethu okuphezulu kwe-AUD / NZD ngonyaka ka-2021 kumi ku-1.1300 (ukumelana neminyaka eyisithupha), kanti ukulindela kwethu intengo ephansi kakhulu onyakeni omusha kungu-1.0000 (intengo ebhalwe phansi kunazo zonke).

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