Ukubuyiselwa kwe-USD/CAD ukusuka kuMgangatho oPhezulu woNyaka-Okuthe kratya okuPhakamileyo kuninzi phakathi kweHawkish Fed Stance

Ukuhlaziywa:

The USD / CAD igcine ithowuni ethambileyo ye-bullish kwiseshini yase-US ngo-Eva kaKrisimesi kwaye yabonwa ekugqibeleni ukurhweba kwindawo ye-1.2815.

I-Loonie yakhanga abathengi abangaphantsi kwendawo ye-1.2800 ngaphambili namhlanje, kodwa loo ntshukumo yabetha udonga lwezitena kufuphi ne-1.2835 ukumelana. Esi senzo siza emva kokuba isibini se-forex sithintele indawo ephezulu kwi-2021 kwi-1.2963 ngoMvulo. Ukurekhodwa okuphezulu konyaka kwafika emva kokuba amaxabiso eoli ekrwada ehle nge-9.3% phakathi kwe-16 kaDisemba kunye ne-20, exhasa i-USD / CAD.

Imfuno ye-USD/CAD ifakwe kwiNgcipheko ehlaziyiweyo-kwiMood yoMtyali-mali

Nangona kunjalo, iinkunzi ze-USD zazingenalo ukuzithemba ukwenza imali kule nzuzo, ethe yafumana inzuzo ye-USD / CAD phakathi kwemfuno yedola yaseMelika. Ithemba elilandela iingxelo zokuba ukwahluka kwe-Omicron COVID-19 kunokuba yingozi kakhulu kunokothusa ukuzithemba kwabatyali-mali kunye nomdla wokutya womngcipheko. Oku, kulinganisele ii-asethi ezikhuselekileyo kunye neemali, kubandakanywa nedola yaseMelika.

Ngeli xesha, izimvo zamva nje zeFederal Reserve zokuphumeza ubuncinci ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuthathu ngo-2022 kwandise inkxaso kwiUSD. Kwakhona, okulindelwe ngabahlalutyi kuye kwaqinisekiswa ngamanani angcono-kunokuba bekulindelwe e-US yokunyuka kwamaxabiso ngoLwesine. Ngokucacileyo, i-Federal Reserve's go-to-inflation tracker-I-Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index yexabiso-kwaye wabhala ukutsiba kwi-5.7% YoY ngoNovemba, ukukhula okuphezulu konyaka kwiminyaka emashumi amane.

Nangona kunjalo, izinto ezikhoyo ezisisiseko kunye nezobugcisa zibonakala zibuyisela iinkunzi ze-USD/CAD. Oku kubonisa ukuba i-USD / CAD inokugxumeka ibheke phezulu kwixesha elisondeleyo. Nangona kunjalo, umfutho usamile xa kuqwalaselwe imbalela yokuphela konyaka yokungabikho kwemali.

 

Unokuthenga iingqekembe ze-crypto apha: Thenga ivezwa

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Iimveliso zotyalomali ezingalawulekiyo kakhulu. Akukho khuseleko lwabatyali zimali kwi-EU.

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UAzeez Mustapha

U-Azeez Mustapha yingcali kwezorhwebo, umhlalutyi wemali, umhleli weempawu, kunye nomphathi wezezimali ngaphezulu kweminyaka elishumi yamava kwicandelo lezemali. Njengombhali webhlog kunye nombhali wezemali, unceda abatyali mali baqonde iikhonsepthi ezintsonkothileyo zemali, ukuphucula izakhono zabo zotyalo-mali, kunye nokufunda ukulawula imali yabo.

I-USD ilindele i-Fed kunye ne-NFP, Ngaba iBhanki yaseNgilani iya kuphakama kwiSithuba?

Ukuhlaziywa:

I-Fed kulindeleke ukuba ibhengeze ukuba izakuqala ukunciphisa ibhondi yayo enkulu yenyanga kunye nokuthengwa kwe-asethi. I-tapering inokuqala ngokukhawuleza emva kweentsuku ezimbalwa emva kwengqungquthela. Abatyali mali phantse ngokuqinisekileyo baya kuhlawula ngononophelo Usihlalo kaPowell inkomfa yeendaba kuba isiphumo sele sithunyelwe ngokufanelekileyo ngetelegraph.

Iireyithi zexesha elifutshane ziye zanda kakhulu, kodwa izivuno zexesha elide azikwazanga ukulandelwa, okubangele ukucolwa kwegophe lesivuno. Inye kuphela inkcazo kukuba abatyali-mali bakholelwa ukuba abenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo baya kunyanzeliswa ukuba benze ngokukhawuleza kwimilinganiselo yenzala, kodwa ukuba uqoqosho olungazinzanga luya kubathintela ekunyuseni amaxabiso ngokukhawuleza.

Le veki iya kulawulwa sisibhengezo se-tapering esele silindelwe esivela kwi-Fed, kunye nedatha ye-Oktobha yengqesho yongeza kwi-hype. Intlanganiso eqhelekileyo ye-Reserve Bank yase-Australia nayo icwangcisiwe.

IBhanki yaseNgilani, kwelinye icala, inokubangela ezona ziphithiphithi kwimarike njengoko iqwalasela ukuba inganyusa inzala ngokukhawuleza kunokuba ilwe nokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Kumphambili wedatha, izibalo zengqesho ezivela eCanada naseNew Zealand ziya kuba zezinye iimbalasane, ngelixa intlanganiso yenyanga ye-OPEC ayinakwenzeka ukuba ibangele naluphi na utshintsho kwizicwangciso zokwenziwa kwemveliso.

I-Reserve Bank yase-Australia ikwenze kwacaca gca kwiimarike ukuba ayinanjongo yokunyusa inzala kude kube ngu-2024. Uqoqosho, kwelinye icala, lubonakala lulungiswa e-Australia, kunye nokuvalwa okuthe gqolo okuphakanyiswayo njengamazinga ogonyo. ukubamba abo baseYurophu naseMelika. Ngeli xesha, izalathi zamaxabiso ziqalisile ukunyuka phezulu, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuyenyuka.

IBhanki yaseNgilani iye yalawula ngokungaguqukiyo amaxabiso emarike ngokunyuka kwereyithi ukusuka kwintlanganiso yayo yokugqibela ngoSeptemba. Iziphakamiso eziphindaphindiweyo zeFed ukuba ukunyuka kwezinga kuya kuba "ifanelekile" ngaphambi kokuba ukuthengwa kwe-asethi kuphelelwe lixesha - inyathelo elingazange libonwe kwindawo yokunciphisa ubungakanani - linyuse amathuba emarike okunyuka kwenqanaba le-15 ngoNovemba ukuya ngaphezulu kwe-60%, kunye nokunyuka kwentengo ngoFebruwari ngokupheleleyo.

Nangona kunjalo, amanye amalungu e-MPC awabonakali ethanda ukuqiniswa kwangaphambi kwexesha, kwaye i-BoE inerekhodi eliguquguqukayo xa ifika kunxibelelwano olucacileyo. Ngenxa yoko, kukho ithuba lokuba ukubheja kwe-hawkish kuhambe kakhulu.

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U-Azeez Mustapha yingcali kwezorhwebo, umhlalutyi wemali, umhleli weempawu, kunye nomphathi wezezimali ngaphezulu kweminyaka elishumi yamava kwicandelo lezemali. Njengombhali webhlog kunye nombhali wezemali, unceda abatyali mali baqonde iikhonsepthi ezintsonkothileyo zemali, ukuphucula izakhono zabo zotyalo-mali, kunye nokufunda ukulawula imali yabo.

I-BOJ, iFederal Reserve, i-BOE kwiveki entsha

Ukuhlaziywa:

I-BOJ inokubanjwa kule veki xa idibana ngolwesiThathu, kunyulo oluzayo kunye nabagqatswa abanokubakho bethembisa amanyathelo okonyusa imali. Kwiveki ephelileyo, idola kunye ne-yen bezizinkokheli ezingenakuphikiswa kwiimarike zemali. Ngelixa iFed ingenakulindeleka ukuba ibhengeze ukusika kule veki, idatha eyomeleleyo yamva nje icebisa ukuba uNovemba lelona xesha libekiweyo. Amasheya aseMelika naseYurophu aphulukene nobuninzi bokunyuka kwawo njengoko iibhanki eziphambili ziqala ukulungiselela ukunciphisa ukuncipha.

Ngaphandle kwalonto, kukho inkxalabo malunga nokwanda kwakhona kwengxwabangxwaba phakathi kwe China ne-United States, nabahlobo abasondeleyo e-United Kingdom nase-Australia baphoswa kulo mxube. Kwimeko yoqoqosho olucothayo, ubungakanani bempembelelo yengxaki yase-Evergrande yase-China ikwajongana nayo.

Kwiveki ephelileyo ibiyiveki yokumisela, inedatha eninzi yezoqoqosho yokuqinisekisa ngesiqwenga phambi kokuba iibhanki eziphambili zidibane kule veki zigqibe ekubeni zithathe okanye zingathinti. I-Bhanki yase-Japan kungenzeka ihlale imile, kodwa ngaba i-Federal Reserve yase-United States iza kubhengeza ukuba iza kuqala ukunciphisa ukuthengwa kwe-bond? I-BOE ibonakala ngathi iye yanda ngakumbi, kodwa ngaba le meko iya kuqhubeka? Ngaphandle kweentlanganiso zebhanki esembindini, iUnited States iqalile ukuxoxa ngokuphakamisa ukuhlawulwa kwetyala. I-US iyakuphelelwa yimali malunga nenyanga, ngokukaNobhala Wezemali uJanet Yellen, ngaphandle kokuba kuphakanyiswe ityala. Kananjalo, njengoko umdlalo we-Evergrande uqhubeka eTshayina, ngaba baya kusindiswa okanye bagwetyelwe ukusilela?

I-BOJ, FED, kunye neBOE Kule Veki izayo

I-BOJ, i-FED, kunye ne-BOE ziya kudibana kule veki ukuxoxa ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso, ukuthengisa kwintengiso kunye nedatha yengqesho. Ngaba imarike yemasheya ithengisiwe kwiveki ephelileyo konke malunga nokubekwa kunye nokuthatha inzuzo ngaphambi kweentlanganiso zebhanki ephakathi zale veki? I-RBA, i-BOC, kunye ne-ECB ibibambe iintlanganiso kwiiveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo, ubukhulu becala, njengoko bekulindelekile. Kwakungabikho ukuvuvukala okukhulu. Kule veki, nangona kunjalo, izinto zinokwahluka, njengoko i-BOJ, FED, kunye ne-BOE phakathi kwabanye zicwangciselwe ukudibana.

Ngaphandle kwenkomfa yeendaba yezoqoqosho eqhubayo kaKuroda kwiveki ephelileyo, ukwathe nexabiso lentengo liza kuba malunga ne-1% ngo-2023 kwaye ukulungele ukwenza okungaphezulu ukunceda uqoqosho xa kukho imfuneko. I-BOJ inokubanjwa kule veki xa idibana ngolwesiThathu, kunyulo oluzayo kunye nabagqatswa abanokubakho bethembisa amanyathelo okonyusa imali.

NgoLwesithathu, i-Federal Open Market Committee, ebanjwe ngusihlalo weRhuluneli uJerome Powell iya kudibana. Izithethi eziphambili zaxoxwa phambi kwentetho kaPowell kwiJackson Hole Symposium, apho angakhange abonelele ukuba iFed yayikulungele ukubetha. Oku kubonakala ngathi lithuba likaPowell lokwazisa ukuba iFed iza kuqala ukubamba.

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Iimveliso zotyalomali ezingalawulekiyo kakhulu. Akukho khuseleko lwabatyali zimali kwi-EU.

  • Ngaphezulu kwe-100 yemveliso eyahlukeneyo yezemali
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$100 Idiphozithi encinci
9.8
  • I-Cryptos ephezulu yezorhwebo efana neBitcoin, iLitecoin kunye ne-Ethereum kunye nokunye
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  • Iqonga lokurhweba nge-Cryptocurrency yokuwonga amabhaso
  • $ 100 idiphozithi encinci,
  • I-FCA kunye neCysec zilawulwa
$100 Idiphozithi encinci
9.8

UAzeez Mustapha

U-Azeez Mustapha yingcali kwezorhwebo, umhlalutyi wemali, umhleli weempawu, kunye nomphathi wezezimali ngaphezulu kweminyaka elishumi yamava kwicandelo lezemali. Njengombhali webhlog kunye nombhali wezemali, unceda abatyali mali baqonde iikhonsepthi ezintsonkothileyo zemali, ukuphucula izakhono zabo zotyalo-mali, kunye nokufunda ukulawula imali yabo.