Ikhosi yoRhwebo

Isahluko sesi-5 – iSifundo esiSiseko ekuFundeni iZicwangciso ezi-2 zoRhwebo

Ngamanye amaxesha indlela esisiseko ibaluleke ngakumbi kunaleyo yobuchwephesha. Ukusuka eGeorge Soros ukuya eWarren Buffet, abanye babarhwebi abadumileyo kwihlabathi bavumile ukuba banetyala ngenxa yohlalutyo olwenziweyo kule minyaka idlulileyo.

• Amandla emarike aphambili
• Sinokulufumana phi lonke ulwazi?
• Amandla okulindela
• Ukubaluleka kweKhalenda yezoQoqosho
• Ukuququmbela

UGeorge Soros ukhe wenza ngaphezu kwe-1 yeebhiliyoni zeedola kwi-Learn 2 Trade Trade yedwa, ehamba ngokufutshane kwi-AUD / USD, ngokusekelwe kuhlalutyo olusisiseko. Uqoqosho lwaseTshayina lwalubonisa iimpawu zobuthathaka kwaye uqoqosho lwase-Australia luxhomekeke kakhulu ekuthunyelweni kwempahla ekrwada eTshayina. Ukunciphisa uqoqosho lwase-Aussie kunye nokunciphisa inzala ye-RBA yayizizizathu ezibangela urhwebo. Enkosi koku utyebile nge-1 yeebhiliyoni zeedola. Lo ngumzekelo omhle wendlela ekufuneka isetyenziswe ngayo uhlalutyo olusisiseko.

Itshathi ebonisa indlela iSoros ithengise ngayo i-AUD/USD kwaye yenza i-1 yeebhiliyoni zeedola:

Izinto ezisisiseko azifumani ngqalelo eziyifaneleyo. Abathengisi abaninzi kakhulu basebenzisa iindlela zokurhweba zobugcisa kuphela bengazi nto malunga nemeko yezoqoqosho kunye neemarike abasebenza kuzo. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, baninzi abarhwebi abenza okuchaseneyo - balahle uhlalutyo lobugcisa kwaye balandele izinto ezisisiseko kuphela. Indlela yethu kwi-FX Leaders ' Learn 2 Trade Course, njengakwezinye izinto ezininzi, kukuba ukudibanisa ezi ndlela zimbini zilungile. Ukuze uhwebe njengeengcali, ngokuqinisekileyo kufuneka ubazi kakuhle.

Izinto ezisisiseko zisinceda ukuba siqonde intengiso kunye neendlela nzulu, ngokuqondayo nangengqiqo. Abarhwebi abasisiseko bathathwa njengabatyali-mali bexesha elide. Abarhwebi abasisiseko bahlala beqhelene kakhulu namandla emarike kwaye bayazi into enye okanye ezimbini ngoqoqosho, iimarike ezinkulu, kunye ne-microeconomics. Usukelo lwabo kukwenza ingeniso ngokusebenzisa amathuba njengoko evela, ngoko bafanele baqhelane ngokukhethekileyo nemithetho yomdlalo, abadlali nebala lokudlala.

Khumbula Iindaba kunye neziganeko ofikelela kuzo kwi-intanethi, iTV, kunye nerediyo zichaphazela i-Learn 2 Trade market.

Yeyiphi kanye kanye indlela esisiseko esekelwe kuyo? Singayisebenzisa njani kwisicwangciso sethu sokurhweba?

Makhe sicinge ngoqoqosho olwahlukeneyo ehlabathini. Cinga ngoqoqosho lwemarike ohlala kuyo. Cinga ngeemeko zemarike, isixa esingenasiphelo seendaba yonke imihla, iyure ngeyure. Ihlabathi libe lincinci kakhulu - ilali yehlabathi njengoko i-cliche ihamba.

Iimfazwe, unyulo, ezopolitiko, imiba yezentlalo, kunye nezinye izinto ezininzi zichaphazela iiBasuals. Esinye seziganeko ezinkulu ezisisiseko esandula kugungqisa i-Learn 2 Trade market yathumela i-Euro 500 pips phantsi, kwaye yenza i-British Pound yawa malunga neesenti ze-20 (i-2,000 pips) yayiyi-referendum ye-Brexit yokushiya i-EU. Isiganeko ngasinye esitsha okanye isibhengezo sibangela ukusabela kubatyali-mali kunye nabaqikeleli, kungekuphela nje kule marike kodwa kwihlabathi liphela. Oorhulumente, iibhanki ezingoovimba nezorhwebo, imigaqo-nkqubo, kwaneentlekele zemvelo, zonke zinenxaxheba kwiLearning 2 Trade.

Cinga ngale ndlela - ukuba umnini wevenkile ekufutshane nendlu yakho angawanciphisa amaxabiso, mhlawumbi ubuya kuthenga apho ngaphezulu. Ukuba ucinga ukuthenga i-stereo entsha kwigumbi lakho lokuhlala kwaye ufumanise ukuba ngenyanga enye urhulumente uceba ukunyuka kwerhafu kwiimpahla zombane, mhlawumbi uya kuthenga kwangaphambili. Ngoku khawucinge ukuba kukho amashumi eziganeko eziphembelela urhwebo suku ngalunye, ngamanye amaxesha iziganeko ezimangalisayo, ezichaphazela kakhulu imarike. Ngaba uyaqala ukuqonda ukuba kutheni izinto ezisisiseko zibaluleke kangaka?

Ukucwangcisela ixesha elide: Uhlalutyo olusisiseko alusebenzi kangako kwiintsingiselo zentelekelelo kwixesha elifutshane. Le ndlela ichaza kwaye ifundisa ukuba yintoni ngokufanelekileyo "kufuneka" yenzeke ngoku kumaxabiso okuthengisa, ukusabela kwiziganeko. Ngoko ke, yinkqubo enkulu yexesha elide. Icacisa iintsingiselo zehlabathi.

Izinto ezisisiseko zixoxa ngezizathu zeentsingiselo zangoku hayi iintsingiselo ngokwazo. Ezinye iziganeko zihlala ixesha elide kuneempendulo zabarhwebi, zineziphumo ezinde kwiimarike.

Icebiso: Urhwebo olusisiseko alucetyiswa kurhwebo lweentsuku ezimbalwa (kwaye ngokucacileyo ayilulo urhwebo lwe-intraday). Ifanelana nabarhwebi abafuna iindlela zexesha elide, ezinokuthi zibe kwiiveki, iinyanga, kunye neminyaka.

Iindaba zezoqoqosho zisijikelezile-Idatha eyisiseko ivela kwimithombo eyahlukeneyo kwaye ibonakala njengezibhengezo, iingxelo kunye nokukhutshwa. Ungazifunda kwi-intanethi, ngeWebhu, kwiisayithi zeendaba, ezoqoqosho, kwiimarike ezinkulu kunye neZiza ezi-2 zoRhwebo. Imidiya eqhelekileyo ipapasha ezininzi zeziganeko.

Umzekelo wesiganeko sezoqoqosho:

“Ukuhla kwenzala ngaloo pesenti UCanzibe yenza ukuba i-euro yehle." okanye "Ukuzithemba kwabathengi kunyuke nge-4% ukusukela kwingxelo yokugqibela."

Ukuze ube yingcali yorhwebo olusisiseko, kufuneka ubone umfanekiso wonke. Sebenzisa amava akho ukuqaphela uluhlu lweziganeko eziqhagamshelweyo, kwaye ungahlalutyi nje isiqwenga esinye sedatha.

Isibhengezo esinye esisisiseko sinokutshabalalisa lonke uhlalutyo lobugcisa lwangaphambili olwenzileyo kwaye walulandela. Abarhwebi abasebenza kuphela ngezixhobo zobugcisa zexesha elifutshane bahlala bephoswa ngamathuba amakhulu otyalo-mali lwexesha elide (kunye nolunye uhlobo).

Funda ngokuPhambili 2 Imikhosi yeMarike yoRhwebo

Umgangatho wenzala:

Ixabiso leNzala lixabiso lemarike umthengi (okanye umboleki) ekufuneka ahlawule umthengisi (okanye umbolekisi). Inzala ichaphazela amandla emali yalapha xa ithelekiswa nezinye iimali. Izinga lenzala kwilizwe ngalinye limiselwa yibhanki yalo enguvimba, njengenxalenye yomgaqo-nkqubo wemali. Ukuhambelana kwamazinga enzala kwiimeko zemarike kunceda ukugcina uzinzo. Iibhanki ezingoovimba zinyusa izinga lenzala ukuze zinciphise ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ukuba zikholelwa ukuba ziphezulu kakhulu. Ngamanye amazwi, ukunyusa izinga lenzala kuya kubangela ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuthothe kwaye kuphele, nto leyo ekhokelela ekwehleni kwamaxabiso ngelixa uqinisa imali! Intsingiselo, imodareyitha isantya uqoqosho olukhula ngaso.

Khumbula: Kuqoqosho olusempilweni inzala idla ngokuhluka phakathi kwe-3% kunye ne-5%.

Kwabo bangaqinisekanga ncam ukuba kuyintoni na ukunyuka kwamaxabiso – lizinga lokukhula kwamaxabiso. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso sisizathu sokuba ibha yetshokolethi exabisa i-5 cents kwiminyaka engamashumi amabini eyadlulayo ixabisa amaxesha angama-30 ngaphezulu namhlanje. Kuzo zonke, iibhanki eziphambili zinomdla ekukhuleni kweemarike, kodwa ukulawula ukunyuka kwamaxabiso (ngoko akuyi kunyuka kakhulu), baphakamisa inzala ngamaxesha kwaye ngaloo ndlela banqande kwaye balawule ukukhula.

Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso angaphezulu kwe-2% akuqhelekanga ukuba sempilweni. Okufanayo kuya kwimarike engenakho ukunyuka kwamaxabiso konke konke.

Impembelelo yeRhafu yokunyuka kwamaxabiso:

umzekelo: Cinga ukuba kwinyanga edlulileyo, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwimarike yakho kwakuyi-2.6%. Ngaloo nyanga ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunyuke ukuya kwi-3%. Ngokuqinisekileyo siya kufuna ukwazi ukuba zeziphi izenzo eziza kuthatyathwa yibhanki enguvimba, kwaye ngoba. Singakuqinisekisa ukuba eli nyathelo liya kuchaphazela imarike. Ngoba? Ngenxa yokuba ibhanki ephakathi iya kwandisa inzala yokulwa nokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Oko kuthetha ukuba imali efanelekileyo iya kuvavanywa ngakumbi.

Inzala ephezulu yenzala inenye impembelelo: Itsala abatyali-mali bangaphandle ukuba bangene kwaye batyale imali kuqoqosho, kwaye ngokwenza oko, yomeleza imali. Khawucinge ukuba une-$ 1,000 phantsi kweebhodi zomgangatho wakho. Unqwenela ukuyibeka kugcino kwaye sele uza kwenza isigqibo phakathi kweebhanki ezimbini. Unobhala weBhanki A ukuthembisa i-5% yenzala yonyaka (i-$ 50 yenzuzo). Unobhala weBhanki B ukuthembisa i-10% yenzala yonyaka (i-$100 yenzuzo). Ewe kunjalo, uya kukhetha iBhanki B.

Ngenxa yesi sizathu, ukuba sijonga umsebenzi weemarike, izinga eliphezulu lenzala liya kubangela ukuba abadlali abaninzi kwelinye icala basindise ngaphezulu, kwaye kwelinye icala, ukunciphisa ukuboleka (kungabalulekanga kangako kubo ngenxa yokuhlawula okuphezulu).

Cinga ngendlela ekunokuba mnandi ngayo ukuba sifumanisa ihlabathi eligcwele amathuba okutyala imali yethu eyinkunzi kwiiakhawunti ezikwaziyo ukuvelisa imbuyekezo yamashumi kunye namakhulu eepesenti ngonyaka.

Kulungile… ilizwe elinjalo lamathuba likhona ngokwenene - iMarike yoTshintsho lwaNgaphandle okanye Funda uRhwebo olu-2! Ukuqonda okusisiseko kunokuvelisa inzuzo enkulu, ngokwazi amandla entengiso kunye nabadlali bayo. Kukho iimali ezininzi, njengeBrazilian Real, Russian Ruble, okanye Vietnamese Dong ezifumene amandla amaninzi kwiinyanga nje ezimbalwa. Abarhwebi abanamava benze uqikelelo lwethamsanqa kunye nokukhapha ezo ntshukumo. Sithetha ngamashumi amawaka eedola nangaphezulu (ngaphandle kokukhankanya ingeniso enokwenzeka, njengoko ufundile kwisifundo esidlulileyo).

Inzala nayo inefuthe eliphezulu kwizalathisi. Ngokuqhelekileyo, amasheya aya kunyuka xa ibhanki ephakathi iphakamisa inzala kuba yayithetha ukuba uqoqosho luphucula (njengeengxaki zemali ze-2008). Namhlanje, i-indices inyuka xa inzala inqunyulwa, kuba ithetha ukuba imali eninzi iya kuphuma kwi-stocks, nangona uqoqosho olubi.

Amazinga enzala kwihlabathi jikelele aneyona mpembelelo inkulu kwi-Learn 2 Trade market!

Uzinzo lweMarike ligama lomdlalo wemali eyimeleyo.

Khumbula: Izibhengezo malunga nenzala zichaphazela kakhulu iintshukumo zorhwebo lwemali.

umzekelo: Ekuqaleni kwe-2000, izinga lenzala e-US lehlile. Eli nyathelo libe nefuthe elikhulu kwidola yaseMelika kwiminyaka emininzi ezayo, kwinkqubo eyathatha phantse ishumi leminyaka (kude kube malunga no-2007-2008). Ukunciphisa inzala kwenza buthathaka idola xa kuthelekiswa nezinye iimali, ngaloo ndlela kwatshintsha ubuso bezindlu zase-US kwisiqingatha sokuqala sale minyaka ilishumi.

Izinga leNzala liyenyuka = ​​Ukukhula okusezantsi koqoqosho + Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuyacotha

Ukucuthwa koMyinge weNzala = Ukukhula koqoqosho oluphezulu + nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kukhawuleza

Ulandelelwano lweziganeko kufanele ukuba lulandele ulandelelwano lwale mizekelo ingasentla, kodwa ayisoloko isebenza ngolo hlobo. Injongo yalo mfanekiso ungasentla kukubonisa ngokulula indlela izinto ekumele ukuba zihambe ngayo kwihlabathi eligqibeleleyo. Kodwa asiphili kwihlabathi eligqibeleleyo, kwaye yiloo nto kufuneka uqonde izinto ezisisiseko. Sibhale le khosi ngenxa yoko - kwaye unokulandela uhlaziyo lwethu lwemarike ephilayo ukuqonda i-Funda imarike yoRhwebo ye-2 ngexesha lokwenyani.

Awona maxesha abalulekileyo kwimarike enikiweyo kuxa amazinga enzala kulindeleke ukuba atshintshe. Ukuba izinga lenzala sele lihamba kwicala elithile ngamaxesha ambalwa, kufuneka lilinganiswe emva. Yiloo nto abaqikeleli bakhela phezu kwayo urhwebo lwabo.

Ukwahluka kwenzala - indlela yokurhweba esekwe kumaxabiso eemali ezimbini: Abarhwebi abaninzi bakhetha izibini ngokuthelekisa inzala yeemali ezimbini. Ukuba "umlinganiselo wenzala" (umsantsa phakathi kweenzala ezimbini) uya ukhula, kuya komeleza imali eyomeleleyo yezi zibini (kunye ngokuphambene). Esi sicwangciso sibizwa ngokuba yi "Carry Trade Strategy" (uya kufunda ngakumbi ngeCarry Trading kamva kwikhosi).

• Nangona enye inzala kufuneka inyuke kwaye ngexesha elifanayo, enye iya kuhla, oku kunokubangela utshintsho olunzulu kwixabiso.

IiBhanki eziPhakathi kunye neeBhanki ezinkulu zorhwebo:

IBhanki Embindini yibhanki karhulumente umsebenzi wayo ukulawula kunye nokuqhuba umgaqo-nkqubo wezemali welizwe ngelixa igcina amandla kunye nokuzinza kwemali.

Umgaqo-mali webhanki enguvimba ujolise ekuqinisekiseni uzinzo lwamaxabiso kunye nokukhula kwemarike. Ukwalawula ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, inzala, ubonelelo lwemali kunye noovimba beebhanki.

Kwiimarike eziqinileyo ezinoqoqosho olukhula ngokuqhubekayo, iibhanki ezingoovimba ziya kusabela ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso aphezulu ngokunyusa izinga lenzala. Njengoko sele sikhankanyile, oku kukhwela rhoqo kuhamba phakathi kwesidingo sokugcina uzinzo kunye nomnqweno wokutsala abatyali-mali bangaphandle. Thina njengabahwebi sinokuphendula ngokurhweba ngokwemigaqo-nkqubo yemali, iinjongo zayo kunye neenjongo.

Iibhanki ezikumbindi nazo zinokuprinta iibhanki ezininzi ukwenzela ukwandisa unikezelo lwemali. Oku kunokutshintsha amandla ayo xa kuthelekiswa nezinye iimali. Ingenza imali ibe buthathaka ngenxa yokuba imali eninzi emarikeni ifumana ngexabiso eliphantsi.

kubalulekile: Esi sizathu sokuba kubaluleke kakhulu ukulandela ukukhutshwa kwezoqoqosho kunye neziganeko zonyaka wonke, eziphuma kwiibhanki eziphambili!

UJerome Powell yintloko yangoku ye-American central bank- iFed (Federal Reserve Bank). Kucetyiswa ukuba ulandele izibhengezo azenzayo kumajelo eendaba. Khumbula, umgaqo-nkqubo we-Fed unempembelelo enkulu kwihlabathi kwimakethi ye-Learn 2 Trade.

Abanye abadlali abaphambili abafanele ukukhankanywa ziibhanki ezinkulu zorhwebo (ezifana ne-UBS, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Barclays okanye Citibank). Banemali enkulu. Imali engena nokuphuma kula maqumrhu ihambelana nemigaqo-nkqubo yawo kunye novakalelo lwemarike kwaye inokusetyenziswa njengobungqina beendlela ezikhoyo nezinokwenzeka. I-Capital Flow yintshukumo yemali ngaphakathi nangaphandle kwemarike. Sihlala sisiva ezindabeni ukuba enye yeebhanki ezinkulu ijonge ukutyala imali kuqoqosho oluthile oluqikelele ukukhula okungaqhelekanga; le yenye yeendlela ekufuneka inefuthe ngayo kwimarike yoRhwebo lwe-Learning 2.

umzekelo: Kwiminyaka embalwa edlulileyo, iBrazil ibiyimarike ekhulayo enoqoqosho olukhula ngokukhawuleza. Iibhanki zorhwebo kunye neenkampani ezisuka kwihlabathi liphela, kunye nabaqikeleli, iifemu zorhwebo, kunye noongxowankulu bamashishini bagqibe ekubeni benze utyalo-mali kakhulu kulo mkhondo, bedlulisela isixa esikhulu semali eyinkunzi eBrazil.

Izehlo eziMikhulu, Iindaba, kunye neZibhengezo:

Kukho eminye imisitho ebalulekileyo yezoqoqosho enempembelelo enkulu kwimakethi yokuFunda 2 yoRhwebo. Khawufane ucinge ukuba zonke iijenali zezoqoqosho ezinkulu kunye neendawo zeendaba ezibandakanya i-CNN, i-CNBC, kunye ne-Bloomberg ingxelo yokuba inkampani ethile eyaziwayo, enkulu isengozini yokwenyani. Unokucinga ukuba kuya kwenzeka ntoni kwixabiso lesabelo sayo kwezi ntsuku zilandelayo.

Ngoku, khupha ikomishini kweli bali kwaye ubeke endaweni yoqoqosho lwelizwe endaweni yalo. Unokuyithelekelela into eza kwenzeka kwimali yayo. Ngokwenyani, akufuneki ucinge!

Iyenzeka kwihlabathi liphela kunye noqoqosho lwase-USA, Spain, Italy, Greece, Portugal, kunye nezinye ezisemngciphekweni. Isiphumo sifana nezitokhwe kunye nezabelo. Omnye umahluko obalulekileyo phakathi kwesitokhwe kunye noRhwebo olu-2 kukuba ulwazi lwangaphambili ngesitokhwe alukho mthethweni ngokupheleleyo, ngelixa ulwazi lwangaphambili ngeemali alukho, ngakumbi ukuba lunokunceda ukuqikelela iintsingiselo.

Eminye imicimbi ebalulekileyo ebalulekileyo:

I-NFP (Imirhumo engeyiyo eyeFama) – Ikhutshwe kwisiseko senyanga, ngoLwesihlanu wokuqala wenyanga nganye. Ibonisa utshintsho kwinani labantu abangaphangeliyo kwinyanga ephelileyo (khumbula ukuba inani labasebenzi abarhola iintlawulo liyatshintsha phakathi kwamaxesha ahlukeneyo, ngokweeholide, ukuphela konyaka kunye neeholide). I-NFP idlala indima enamandla, ebonisa imeko jikelele yemarike. Okukhona i-NFP inethemba, kokukhona ingcono imeko yemarike. Kufuneka ithelekiswe nenyanga edlulileyo kunye nokulindelwe yimarike.

I-GDP (iMveliso yeLizwe lonke) – Iimpahla neenkonzo zizonke eziveliswa ngabasebenzi bemarike (ayibandakanyi izinto ezithengwa kumazwe angaphandle). Ilinganisa umgangatho wokuphila wemarike kunye nempilo yayo. Ukuba iyenyuka (xa kuthelekiswa nengxelo yangaphambili), oku kubonisa uqoqosho olusempilweni oluya kuthi ekugqibeleni lukhokelele ekunyukeni kweqondo lenzala. Ingxelo ye-GDP ingaba ngaphantsi kunengxelo yangaphambili kodwa ihlala ilungile. I-GDP engalunganga, ngakumbi ukuba ibonisa amanani angalunganga ngaphezu kwexesha elilodwa ngokulandelelana, kufuneka ilayite ukukhanya okukhulu okubomvu malunga nokuzinza kwemali yayo. I-GDP inempembelelo enkulu kwizigqibo ezenziwe ngamabhanki amakhulu malunga nomgaqo-mali. Inzuzo yayo (kwamehlo abahwebi) kukuba inika umfanekiso oqhelekileyo, ocacileyo wemarike enikeziweyo, ngaphandle kohlalutyo olunzima.

CPI (Isalathiso seXabiso loMthengi) – Ibhaskithi yempahla kunye neemveliso, epapashwa kanye ngenyanga. Izinga lemarike ekufuneka umthengi (okanye umboleki) ahlawule umthengisi (okanye umbolekisi). Ukuba inyuka, ibonisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso (okuya kuthi ekugqibeleni kubangele ukuba ibhanki ephakathi inyuse izinga lenzala). Ngoko ke ithathwa njengesalathiso sokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Amaxabiso abandakanyiweyo kwesi salathisi avela kwintengiso. Xa i-CPI iphakanyisiwe kodwa kwinqanaba elingaphantsi kunexesha elidlulileyo, oku kubonisa ukuchithwa kwexabiso (amaxabiso aqhubeka nokunyuka, kodwa kwinqanaba eliphantsi kunangaphambili).

khumbula: Kukho ubudlelwane obuhle phakathi kwe-CPI kunye nezinga lenzala. I-CPI eyonyukayo inokubangela ukunyuka kwizinga lenzala.

PPI (Isalathiso seXabiso loMvelisi) – Isalathiso sotshintsho kumaxabiso empahla yabathengi (ukuya kuthungelwano lokuthengisa). Kule meko, utshintsho oluqhelekileyo lubonisa utshintsho kumaxabiso kamva kwikhonkco - amaxabiso abathengi. I-Index ibandakanya zombini amaxabiso emveliso kunye namaxabiso ezinto ezifunekayo kwimveliso.

I-COT (Ingxelo yokuZibophelela kwabarhwebi) – Ingxelo eyahlukileyo kancinane. Ayizilinganisi iimeko zoqoqosho, kodwa ipapasha iibhanki, iinkampani kunye ne-venture capital holds kwimarike. Ikhutshwa rhoqo ngooLwezihlanu ngo-2:30 pm EST (okt, eNew York). Isinceda siqonde ukuba imikhosi emikhulu eyahlukeneyo kwimarike iza kutyalomali njani kwimali yabo. Ikwasinceda ukuba siqonde iatmosfera ngokubanzi kunye nokuqikelela ukuba umoya uya kubhenela kweliphi icala kwixesha elizayo. Le ngxelo sisixhobo esikhulu kubarhwebi bexesha elide. Ikwabalulekile 'kwabajingi'.

Icebiso: Ukuba ingxelo ye-COT ibandakanya idatha kwi-"net extreme long / short", unokwazi ukuba ibonisa utshintsho kwindlela kwiseshoni elandelayo!

I-COT inokuboniswa njengengxelo okanye igrafu (ngezantsi kwetshati yemali). Ngokungafaniyo nobuninzi bezalathi zobugcisa, i-COT ilinganisa umthamo othengisiweyo.

izinga lentswela – Ingxelo ngepesenti yabangaphangeliyo abafuna imisebenzi, ngaphandle kwetotali yabasebenzi abanokubakho. Oku kupapashwa kanye ngenyanga kwaye kunceda ukufumana umbono wemarike jikelele. Uqoqosho olomeleleyo, olusempilweni luphawulwa kukuhla kwamanani abantu abafuna umsebenzi, kunye namazinga asezantsi entswela-ngqesho. Ukuhla kwala manani kukhokelela kwimali eyomeleleyo, kwaye ekugqibeleni ukunyuka kwamaxabiso enzala.

imizwa Consumer – Ikhutshwa kanye ngenyanga. Ivakalisa isimo sengqondo sabathengi kuqoqosho.

Icebiso: Ukuba usebenzisa le ngxelo, thelekisa izinto zayo kunye nezo zikwiNgxelo yoVavanyo lwabathengi ukusuka kolunye uqoqosho. Kuya kukunceda ukuba wenze isigqibo kwiqabane elilungileyo lokurhweba ngedola yaseMelika (okanye nayiphi na enye imali enkulu).

Ukuhamba kweNkunzi – Umlinganiselo wemali engenayo nephumayo kwimarike. Idatha inokuba yinto efanelekileyo okanye embi. Ukuba ngaba i-positive, abatyali-mali abaninzi baya kungena kwiimarike, kwaye baqinise imali yayo, ngendlela efanayo nomlinganiselo wokubonelela / wemfuno. Ukunyuka kwemfuno kubangela imali eyomeleleyo.

balance Trade – Le ngxelo ibonisa umlinganiselo wokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe kumazwe angaphandle. Ukuba iimpahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle ziphezulu, umlinganiselo ulungile! Umlinganiselo omhle, ngakumbi ukuba uphezulu kuneengxelo zangaphambili, uqinisa imali, okwenza le mali ibe "yinqweneleka".

Sales lwezezimali – Isalathiso esigqwesileyo samandla oqoqosho. Ikhutshwe kanye ngenyanga, malunga ne-12 yenyanga, ibonisa utshintsho kwiindlela zemarike malunga nokuthengwa kwabathengi.

FOMC – IKomiti ye-Federal Open Market yibhodi emisela umkhombandlela wexesha elizayo womgaqo-mali wase-United States. I-FOMC ibandakanya amalungu alishumi elinesibini (abaongameli bebhanki abagciniweyo, usihlalo we-Fed, kunye nabalawuli), abadibana namaxesha asibhozo ngonyaka kwaye benze izigqibo malunga nokunikezelwa kwemali, izibambiso zikarhulumente, inzala kunye nenkqubo yebhanki. Iintlanganiso zeFOMC ziyimfihlo; ke ngoko zingumxholo woqikelelo lwentengiso kunye neentshukumo ezinkulu zeemali, uninzi lweUSD.

Izibalo zeZindlu – Oku kuthetha lukhulu malunga nembuyekezo ekukhuleni kweemarike. Ukusukela kwintlekele yehlabathi ka-2007-2008, le ngxelo idlale indima ebalulekileyo. Ukunyuka kwamaxesha eentlekele kunempembelelo enkulu kumandla emali. Kule minyaka imbalwa idlulileyo, iHousing Starts ibiphantsi kweglasi yokukhulisa, ichaphazela idola yaseMelika kunye nemarike yaseMelika ngokubanzi. (Ukusukela ngo-2007 ukuwa, i-American kunye ne-real estate market yaseMelika ifumene iingxelo ezingenathemba).

Iinkonzo/Ushishino/Uveliso lwePMI – Esi salathisi sibonisa ubume bamacandelo oqoqosho abalulekileyo kulo naliphi na ilizwe. Olunye uqoqosho luthembele ngakumbi kwicandelo leenkonzo ngelixa ezinye zithembele ngakumbi kumacandelo emveliso nezoshishino. Uqoqosho lwase-US kunye ne-UK luxhomekeke ngakumbi kwicandelo lenkonzo ngoko esi salathisi sezoqoqosho sibaluleke kakhulu kula mazwe mabini ngelixa icandelo lokuvelisa libaluleke kakhulu eJamani, eChina, eJapan, eFransi, e-Italy njl.

beige Book – Ipapashiwe 8 amaxesha ngonyaka. Le ngxelo ineenkcukacha ishwankathela uqoqosho lwemarike kwaye inika umbono oqukayo jikelele kwimarike. Ihlola:

• Isixa seeodolo ezintsha zokwenziwa kwempahla yabathengi
• Isantya sokuhanjiswa kwezinto ezintsha zokuthengisa ukusuka kubathengisi ukuya kubathengisi
• I-avareji yenani lezicelo zokuqala ze-inshurensi yokungaphangeli
• Umndilili weeyure zeveki ezisetyenzwa ngabasebenzi kwimveliso
• Isixa seeodolo ezintsha zempahla eyinkunzi (ngaphandle kokhuselo)
• Iipemethe ezintsha zokwakha izakhiwo zokuhlala
• Uluvo lwabathengi
• Unikezelo lwemali olulungelelaniswe nokunyuka kwamaxabiso
• S&P 500 stock index
• Ukusasazwa phakathi kwamazinga enzala amafutshane kunye nexesha elide

Bona ukuba yintoni echaphazele intengiso ye-Learn 2 Trade kakhulu kule minyaka mi-3 idlulileyo:

Uninzi lweengxelo eziguquguqukayo

Sinokulufumana Phi Olu lwazi?

Ukuze abathengisi benze izigqibo ezibalulekileyo zokurhweba, kufuneka ubhikice lonke ulwazi olufunekayo. Unokuzifumana phi ezo ngxelo? Imibuzo emihle! Imithombo yeendaba ibonelela ngemithombo yeendaba engapheliyo, nokuba ikushicilelo lokushicilela, iTV yezoqoqosho okanye i-Intanethi. Nantsi eminye imithombo yolwazi ephilayo:

Iinkokeli zeFX yenye yezona ndawo zidumileyo kwintsimi yayo. Uya kuba nakho ukufumana uhlaziyo lwemarike ephilayo, Funda iindlela zokurhweba ezi-2 kunye neengcebiso malunga nendlela yokukhetha okulungileyo Funda i-2 Trade broker ukuze ihambelane neemfuno zakho zorhwebo.

Iindawo zeendaba ezicetyiswayo ezihlaziywa 24/7 ziquka:

• Bloomberg
• CNBC
• CNN
• The Wall Street Journal

Ukubaluleka kweeKhalenda zoQoqosho

Ikhalenda yezoqoqosho yinto ebalulekileyo kwaye iyinxalenye yeqonga lakho lokurhweba. Ibonisa zonke izibhengezo zezoqoqosho ezibalulekileyo kunye nokukhutshwayo kunye nezinye iziganeko ezibalulekileyo kwihlabathi jikelele yonke imihla, ezinokuthi zibe nefuthe kwimarike.

Awona maqonga angcono orhwebo kwi-intanethi, anje ngeMT4 kunye neMT5, abonelela ngeenkonzo zekhalenda, iijenali zezoqoqosho ezibonisa zonke iziganeko ezibalulekileyo ezivela kwihlabathi liphela. Banikezela ngemihla, idatha kwisiganeko ngasinye kunye noqikelelo. Iikhalenda ziqulathe zonke iindidi zeziganeko, ezifana nezibhengezo zikarhulumente, iinkomfa zengqungquthela, ukukhutshwa kweebhanki ezingoovimba, iingxelo nokunye.

Ngokusebenzisa ikhalenda, uzilungiselela iziganeko eziphambili zeveki/usuku oluzayo.

Kunokwenzeka ukurhweba ngexesha elifanayo njengeziganeko okanye ukuphendula ngokwemikhosi yemarike njengoko kwenzekayo. Nangona kunjalo, njengoko siza kubona, kukho ezinye iziganeko apho amalungiselelo alungileyo kunye nokungena kwiimarike ngaphambi kokuba umcimbi ozayo uvelise inzuzo ephezulu (ekubeni uya kuba khona ngaphambi kokuba imarike iphendule ekukhululweni). Le ndlela ifanele abarhwebi abanamava kakhulu abangathandabuzi ukuqikelela.

Jonga kwiKhalenda yoQoqosho ye-eToro:

IKhalenda yoQoqosho yeMarkets.com:

Makhe sibone ukuba singajonga ntoni kwikhalenda yezoqoqosho (ukusuka ekhohlo ukuya ekunene):

Umthombo we-eToro.com Iinkonzo zeKhalenda yoQoqosho ngokufunda i-2 Tradepros

ixesha – Ixesha lomsitho

imali yeloo lizwe – Imali echaphazelekayo

ukubaluleka – Inqanaba lokubaluleka kwimarike nakwimali

umcimbi – Kwisihloko (igama lesiganeko). Ngokucofa '+ amaqhosha' ekunene uvula ibhokisi eneenkcukacha ngesiganeko esithile, kuquka iingcaciso zefuthe laso.

Eyona - Ukukhululwa kwangempela (Uhlaza luthetha ngcono kunokuba kulindelwe ngelixa ubomvu buthetha kakubi kunokuba kulindelwe. Umnyama uthetha njengoko kulindelekile).

yaqikelelwa – Amanani aqikelelweyo ngokwemvumelwano

egqithileyo – Ukukhutshwa kwangaphambili

Amandla Okulindela

Kwezinye iimeko, ukulindela kuphela kunokuchaphazela ukunyakaza okukhulu kwexabiso. Kukho iziganeko ezenza i-buzz, ngaloo ndlela ibangela ukuthengiselana okukhulu kunye ne-traffic enzima kwiipips ngenxa yoko. Iziganeko ezinkulu zinokuba ziingxelo zengqesho okanye izibhengezo zebhanki ezingoovimba malunga nenqanaba lenzala, umzekelo. Ulindelo lulodwa lunokubangela ukuba amashumi eepips ashukume, ukuya kuthi ga kwi-100 ipips, yonke into ngaphambi kwesiganeko! Isizathu soku kukuba abarhwebi abaninzi kunye nabaqikeleli bazilungiselela ngaphambi nje komsitho ozayo. (Cinga ukuba umsitho ubonisa imeko eyahlukileyo ngokupheleleyo kuneyo ibilindelekile, impendulo inokuba lixabiso elibuyela umva, nto leyo edala elinye ithuba elimangalisayo lokungena kwiseshini kwaye uvule indawo).

Inkqubo yemvumelwano -Phambi kwawo wonke umnyhadala omkhulu, zonke iintlobo zobuchwephesha zihlalutya iziphumo. Uninzi lwabo luza kwisigqibo kwaye kuvunyelwene. Abadlali abanzima abalindi ezona ziphumo. Baqalisa ukuthenga okanye ukuthengisa. Ngoko ke, ukuthengiselana okukhulu kuqala ngaphambi nje kokukhululwa, kwaye ngokucacileyo ngaphambi kokuba "iintlanzi" ezincinci zingene kwimarike. Umphumo we-Consensus kukuba ukuba iziphumo zihambelana nokulindela, asiyi kubona umthamo ophezulu weentengiselwano kuba sele zenziwe.

Kodwa! Ukuba sibona isibhengezo esothusayo, kokungcono okanye okubi, kufuneka silindele indibano enkulu! Ngoba? Kuba bonke abadlali abakhulu bangxamele ukulungisa iintshukumo zabo zangaphambili! Nali ithuba elihle lokwenza imali! Yiloo nto iNkqubo ye-Consensus imalunga nayo.

Masenze umzekelo ngenzala: abaqikeleli kwihlabathi jikelele bazilungiselela ngokulindelekileyo phambi kokuba ibhanki enguvimba ikhululwe ngeqondo lenzala. Siza kukwazi ukujonga iintsingiselo ezibukhali phambi kwesibhengezo. Isibhengezo esahlukileyo kunoko besilindelekile siya kulandelwa ziintsingiselo ezibukhali ngakumbi.

khumbula: Abarhwebi abaninzi (ubukhulu becala abaqikeleli abaqhelekileyo) basakhetha inkqubo eqinileyo nekhuselekileyo “yokungakhethi cala”, ethi ngokuqhelekileyo ilandele imigaqo, ilindele ukuba isiganeko senzeke kwaye kuphela kunokugqiba ukuba mabenze ntoni, ngokusekelwe ekubeni ngaba ilungile okanye imbi kwimali.

Ukuququmbela

Ezona ndaba zinefuthe kakhulu zivela e-US, zithathwa njengenombolo ye-1 yezoqoqosho emhlabeni (kwaye nangenxa yemali yayo, eyona mali ithengiswa kakhulu kwihlabathi).

Uhlalutyo olusisiseko lusebenza kakuhle kakhulu kwii-majors. Ii-Majors zichaphazeleka kakhulu kwiziganeko zehlabathi, kwaye ukongezelela, iikhomishini kwii-majors ziphantsi.

kubalulekile: Kucetyiswa ukuba ujonge umfanekiso wonke. Ngokuqhelekileyo kukho ukukhutshwa kweendaba ezininzi kunye neziganeko zoqoqosho ezenzeka ngexesha elinye, ezichaphazela imarike ngaxeshanye, ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo.

Ngokomzekelo, ukuba inani labantu abangaphangeliyo e-US laliphantsi kwinyanga edlulileyo, kodwa idola liyancipha, isizathu sinokuthi kwixesha elide, ukutyekela kusekho, kwaye abatyali-mali abanakugqiba ukuba lixesha elifanelekileyo thenga iidola. Esinye isizathu esinokwenzeka kukuba nangona amanani akhuthazayo kwingxelo yamva nje, amanani ngokubanzi asadanisayo. Isizathu sesithathu sinokuba yimpembelelo yexesha lokukhululwa: ngaba kulungile emva kweKrisimesi okanye ecaleni kwenye iholide ebalulekileyo (amaxesha abonakaliswe ngabasebenzi abakhulu, bexeshana)?

Qwalasela:

• Ngubani umthombo wesi siganeko (Abahlalutyi, abarhwebi, ibhanki, iibhanki ezingoovimba, njl.)? Imithombo efana noorhulumente kunye neebhanki ezingoovimba zihlala zithembeke ngakumbi. Akunjalo kumazwe angoozwilakhe okanye aphakathi kwamagunya afana neTshayina, iRashiya, okanye iTurkey. Bathanda ukukhohlisa idatha ukwenza imbonakalo engcono ukuze ihambelane ne-ajenda yabo kwimida yasekhaya neyamazwe ngamazwe.
• Ngaba kungenxa yamarhe, iinyani okanye izimvo?
• Kufuneka unikele ingqalelo kumagama: njengoko kulindelekile/ngcono kunokulindelekile/kubi kuno...njl. Khumbula ukuba abahwebi abanamava sele benze izikhundla zabo ngokusekelwe kwizinto abazilindeleyo.
• Nika ingqalelo utshintsho kwixabiso ngexesha leeyure phambi kwesibhengezo esilindelekileyo.
• Uhlalutyo olusisiseko ludla ngokuchaneka. Uninzi lwexesha baya kuhlalutya iimeko zemarike kunye neziphumo zabo. Nangona, ngamanye amaxesha, imarike ayivumelani neziseko. Ukusukela ngo-2012 ukuya kutsho ngo-2014, i-EUR/USD yahlala inenkani ilandela i-2,000 pip uptrend ngaphandle kweengxaki zemali eGrisi, ukudodobala koqoqosho eYurophu kunye nokuchacha okumangalisayo koqoqosho lwase-US. Ingxaki kukuba zinxulumana namaxesha amade, yintoni eyenza kube nzima kakhulu ukuqikelela ixesha elichanekileyo lentsingiselo elindelekileyo. Iza kuvela nini kanye kanye? Umbuzo omhle…
• Indlela yokuziphatha yangaphambili yemibutho yezemali isinika izalathisi ezilungileyo kakhulu malunga nokuziphatha kwixesha elizayo.

Icebiso: Kungcono ukwenza uthelekiso oluninzi lweengxelo malunga nenzala kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso njengoko unako. Thelekisa iingxelo kumaxesha angaphambili kunye nezinye iimarike ukuze wenze isigqibo esifundisiweyo malunga nokuba yeyiphi na imali eya kuba mfutshane kwaye yeyiphi emayihambe ixesha elide.

Zenza

Lixesha lokuba ubuyele kwiiakhawunti zakho zedemo. Ngaba iqonga livuliwe phambi kwakho? Makhe sihlolisise oko besikufunda kwesi sifundo:

• Jonga ikhalenda yesiza. Uyifumene? Jonga iminyhadala embalwa eboniswayo. Zama ukuzifunda kwaye uziqonde, ufumanise ukuba zinokuba yintoni iziphumo zazo. Zingayichaphazela njani imarike?
• Ukwahlula phakathi kweziganeko ezidlulileyo kunye nezekamva; isaziso semihla elindelekileyo yezaziso. Qaphela ukuba kukho uqikelelo kwezinye zeziganeko
• Zulazula phakathi kweendawo ezimbalwa zeendaba eziphambili, njengeBloomberg umzekelo. Yiya ku-learn2trade.com kwaye uyifunde

imibuzo

1. Cinga ukuba uqikelele ukuba ukuvuseleleka koqoqosho lwaseYurophu sele kuza kuguquka kube kukudodobala koqoqosho. Kwelinye icala, iingxelo ezinika ithemba ngoqoqosho lwaseMelika zikhutshwa. Loluphi uhlobo lwenyathelo onqwenela ukulithatha?
2. Ingaba ukonyusa izinga lenzala kuya kuyichaphazela njani iUSD? Ngoba?
3. Qaphela iingxelo ezi-3 ezibalulekileyo
4. Ubuya kusabela njani kolu hlaziyo lulandelayo?

5. Ungarhweba njani ngezi ndaba?

iimpendulo

1. Thengisa EUR / USD
2. I-USD iya kuba namandla. Ixabiso liya kuhamba ixesha elide. Abatyali-mali abaninzi baya kuthenga le mali ngokuthengisa ezinye.
3. Ukuqaliswa kweZindlu; Iintengiso zeeNtengiso; CS; CPI; GDP; iPPI; I-COT...
4. Tyala ngokuchasene nedola yaseMelika- Thengisa iUSD
5. Thengisa i-EUR / USD - oku kuthetha ukuthenga iDola yase-US

KwiSahluko se-6 - Ubuchwephesha bokufunda i-2 ye-Trade Strategies uya kufunda indlela yokuba ngumhlalutyi wezobugcisa kwaye usebenzise ezinye zezona ndlela ziqhelekileyo zokurhweba zobugcisa.