Uqikelelo lonyaka lwe-AUD / NZD (2021): I-Bullish Runs ngaphambili

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Imirhumo yenyanga iqala kwi-£58.

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Iibhanki zokugcina i-Australia (i-RBA) kunye ne-New Zealand (i-RBNZ) ziye zapapasha umbono ongenathemba nge-2021, eya kuthi ichaphazele i-Aussie ne-Kiwi.

I-AUD / NZD, emele ixabiso ledola lase-Australia ngokwe-Kiwi, isondeza unyaka ophakamileyo kunokuba iqale phakathi kokuhla kwamaxabiso e-equity kunye namandla. Oko kwathethi, i-Aussie yayinonyaka osempilweni ngokuthelekiswa ne-NZD.

Okwangoku, zombini i-RBA kunye ne-RBNZ bawanciphisile amaxabiso abo kulo nyaka. I-RBA isike ithagethi yexesha elifutshane ukusuka kwi-0.75% ukuya kwi-0.25%, ngelixa ibhanki yaseNew Zealand isike amaxabiso asuka kwi-1.00% ukuya kwi-0.25%.

I-AUD yeyona nto iphambili kuzo zombini ezi mali, oko kuthetha ukuba ihlala izuza ngakumbi kwimvakalelo yomngcipheko kwaye ihlupheka ngakumbi kwiimarike ezinobungozi ezimbi kune-NZD. Nangona kunjalo, into enokuqhubeka ixhasa i-AUD ngo-2021 bubungakanani boqoqosho lwase-Australia.

Kwi-2018, i-GDP yase-New Zealand yayikwi-US $ 205 yezigidigidi, ngelixa amanani e-Australia engena nge-US $ 1.43 trillion-ephantse iphindwe kasixhenxe kunale yaseNew Zealand. Oko kwathiwa, uqoqosho olukhulu ngokwenyani luqinisa ukutshintsha kweFX-ebonelela ngemali esisiseko kunye nokufunwa okukhulu- xa kuthelekiswa nencinci.

Ngayo yonke loo nto engqondweni, kuhlala kungacacanga ukuba ikamva liphethe ntoni kuzo zombini ezi mali, kuthathelwa ingqalelo umngcipheko ojikeleze iimveliso, amandla kunye neemarike zokulingana, phakathi kobhubhane we-COVID-19. Nangona kunjalo, i-2021 ijongeka ilunge ngakumbi kwi-AUD ngaphezulu kwe-NZD.

Uqikelelo lwexabiso le-AUD / NZD - 2021

I-AUD / NZD 2021 Bias: Ukunyusa

Amanqanaba okubonelela: I-1.1000, 1.1200, kunye ne-1.1300

Amanqanaba okufuna: I-1.0550, 1.0400, kunye ne-1.0200

Ngaphandle kokuba unyaka ongathandekiyo, i-AUD / NZD ijikeleze ngcono kunokuba iqale unyaka. Kakade, amathemba e-2021 (ngokwembono yezobuchwephesha) ibonakala inomdla kakhulu kwisibini, kuthathelwa ingqalelo ukuba isukile kwisiseko sejelo lethu elinyukayo ekuqaleni kukaDisemba kwaye ngoku isendleleni eya phezulu kwisitishi.

Oko kwathethi, ulindelo lwethu oluphezulu lwe-AUD / NZD ngo-2021 limi kwi-1.1300 (ukumelana kweminyaka emithandathu), ngelixa elona xabiso lethu liphantsi lonyaka omtsha li-1.0000 (elona xabiso lakha laphantsi).

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