Emva kweThemba eliPhakanyisiweyo lesivumelwano seBrexit, iSterling Rose ukuya kwiNyanga ezintlanu eziPhakamileyo

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I-GBPUSD okwangoku njengokuba ngexesha lokubhala ithengisa ngaphezu kwe-1.28 yamanqaku erekhoda ixabiso eliphezulu ukusuka ngoMeyi. Iindaba ezihamba phambili kwi-Brexit deal zinamahemuhemu okuba i-DUP ayichasani nesivumelwano ngelixa uthethathethwano luqhubeka eLondon naseBrussels.

Ngeli xesha, u-Boris Johnson, uNdunankulu wase-UK ugxile ekufumaneni inkxaso ye-Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) ukuba ingamelani nesivumelwano seBrexit. Okwangoku, i-DUP ihleli ecingweni kwaye isizwe siseza kuvuma oko abaxoxisi benzayo eBrussels kwaye ngenxa yemeko, i-GBPUSD yehla ukusuka phezulu kwaye inokumisa.

Uthethathethwano luqhubekile eBrussels ukukhupha indawo engwevu, njengoko ingqalelo isiya eLondon. Iingxoxo ubukhulu becala zijolise ekuqinisekiseni iqela elincinane lezopolitiko ngezicwangciso zalo zokuphuhlisa lo mmandla. Ngaphandle kweengxoxo kunye nenkokeli ye-DUP Arlene Foster kunye namanye amagosa, uNdunankulu wase-UK u-Boris Johnson unokuphinda adibanise iqela lakhe ukuba libe neengxoxo kunye nekomiti ye-backbencher ye-1922 ye-Conservative Party yakhe.

Nangona kunjalo, unokufuneka alwe namalungu e-diehard afana noNobhala we-Brexit wangaphambili uDavid Davis kwaye alindele ukuva kwi-DUP ngaphambi kokuba isicwangciso sakhe se-Brexit sivunywe.

Zonke Iimeko Zinokucingeleka
Isiphumo esinokwenzeka seNgxowa-mali kunye nokubuyela kwakhona kwi-GBPUSD:
Ngaphezu koko, yintoni le ntengiso yeBrexit? Amaxwebhu asemthethweni asaza kukhutshwa, nangona kunjalo, uJohnson uvumile ukugcina uMntla Ireland kumanyano lwezithethe ze-EU ngelixa ewuhlukanisa kwintsalela yase-UK.

Iziphumo ezinokwenzeka:
Ngokuphathelele i-EU, iya kusindisa ukuthembeka kwemarike enye yomanyano.

Iya kuvumela umda ovulekileyo kwi-Emerald Isle njengoko wonke umntu efuna.
Ngokombono we-PM, kuya kwenza ukuba iBritane ivume kubudlelwane obutsha bemarike obunzima beBrexit okanye obuthambileyo.

I-drawback ye-DUP kukuba oku kuqonda kuya kwenza umda we-customs kuLwandle lwase-Irish - ukwahlula umfelandawonye.

Kwaye kumacandelo oshishino, ukucaca kuyathandeka ngaphezu kokuba sesichengeni. Iingcali zezemali aziyithandi le Brexit inzima, kwaye ityekele kwi-Brexit ethambileyo kwaye inqwenela ukuba ikhululwe. Nangona kunjalo, ukuhlehliswa okuya kuvula indlela yokungena kukhetho olunjalo kuya kuvula indlela yokungena kwi-Brexit engekho-bargain.

Ngokubanzi, nayiphi na i-bargain sisivumelwano esifanelekileyo ngoku, kwaye seso sizathu sokuba i-sterling inyukele phezulu ngoLwesibini.

I-Brexit edlulileyo
Isalathiso seXabiso loMthengi e-UK isetelwe ukubonisa ukunyuka okuncinci kwixabiso lentengo, kodwa kukho inkuthazo yokuyibuza. Kusisiseko ukuqaphela ukuba ukusabela kwe-sterling kuxhomekeke kwimeko yengqondo malunga neengxoxo zeBrexit.

Intsebenziswano yase-US-Sino yajika yaba ngwevu kakade. Njengoko abezomthetho base-US bafuna umthetho oza kuhlalutya imeko yentengiso ethandwayo yaseHong Kong emva koxinzelelo.

I-China iye yasabela ngomsindo kule nkqubela phambili. Ngaphandle koko, iBeijing iqhelanise ne-50 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ezixabisa ukuthengwa kwe-agrifoods yase-US kwi-Washington's exemptions yerhafu. Ezi nkqubela phambili zithwalise umthwalo kwiimarike.

Ingxelo yentengiso yentengiso yase-US isetelwe ukubonisa ukuqonda kwimeko yedatha yabathengi base-US ebinoxanduva lokuqhubela phambili koqoqosho lwehlabathi.

Ngokubanzi, i-Brexit toplines isetelwe ukuyalela ukubaluleka kunye nekhefu leendaba elithambileyo kwiimeko ezahlukeneyo.