Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-PCE yase-US kuqikelelo olungaphumelelanga, kuthoba idola

Ukuhlaziywa:

Idola liyabuthathaka ngexesha leseshoni yase-US, ngakumbi ngokuchasene ne-yen. Ngomhla ka-Meyi, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso nge-PCE kukhawuleze kakhulu kodwa kwehla ngandlela ithile kuqikelelo. I-Sterling, kwelinye icala, sesona sithutha sibuthathaka namhlanje, sandisa i-post-BoE selloff. Imingcipheko yokunyuka kosulelo lwe-coronavirus ikwafaka uxinzelelo kwiPawundi. Iimali zezinto zorhwebo zezona zinamandla, ikamva laseMelika licebisa ukuba kuqhekezwe irekhodi.

Ingeniso yomntu wase-US yehle nge-2.0% mama, okanye i-414.3bn yeedola ngoMeyi, ngokuhambelana nokulindelweyo. Ukuwa kwengeniso yobuqu bekubonakaliswa ikakhulu kukuhla kweenzuzo zikarhulumente kwezentlalo. Iindleko zehle nge -0.4% MoM, ekwahambelana nokulindelweyo. Isalathiso sexabiso sePCE sisonke sikhawulezisile saya kwi-3.9% y / y ukusuka kwi-3.6% y / y, ngaphantsi kokulindelweyo kwe-4.0% y / y. Isalathiso sexabiso sePCE sikhawulezisiwe saya kwi-3.4% y / y. I-YoY i-3.1% ye-YoY, isilela kulindelo kwi-3.5% YoY.

Ukuphendula ukudipha kwedola ngenxa yamanani aphoxayo e-PCE, i-EUR / USD ngoku ithengisa kwindawo ephezulu yeentsuku ezi-2. Nangona kunjalo, uloyiko lokunyuka kwamaxabiso lwaphela ngokuhambelana nokulindeleka emva kokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-US, njengoko kulinganiswa yi-PCE, inyuke ngepesenti ye-0.5 ngenyanga ngenyanga kaMeyi kunye neepesenti ezingama-3.4 ngonyaka, kungashiyanga ndawo yothuselo kunye nokubeka idola phantsi koxinzelelo olongezelelekileyo.

Ngaba i-US Core PCE ekhuthaza amalungu aMdliweyo ukuba atshintshe izimvo zabo?

Kukholelwa ukuba i-Core PCE e-US ngumlinganiso we-Fed owuthandayo. Ibandakanya onke amakhaya kunye nemibutho engenzi nzuzo ekhonza amakhaya. Ke ngoko, kuthiwa i-Fed ikhetha eli zinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwabanye.

Njengesikhumbuzo, kwintlanganiso ye-FOMC yamva nje, “Iitshathi zamachaphaza” ibonakalise ukuba amalungu ebelindele ukunyuka kwamazinga ama-2 ukuphela kuka-2023, kwaye amalungu ayi-7 ebelindele ukunyuka kwenqanaba eli-1 ngasekupheleni kuka-2022. Ngelixa ukuprintwa kweCore PCE yanamhlanje kubuthathaka kancinci kunokuba bekulindelwe, iseyindlela yokusebenza eyomeleleyo.

Ke ngoko, ukuba le yenye yeempawu ezithandekayo zokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwiFed, ngaba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwanamhlanje kuya kubakhokelela ekuthambekeni kwangoko kunokuba bebengathanda? Amalungu eFed ebehamba iveki yonke, exoxa ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu okwethutyana. Amanye amagosa acinga ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kukudlula nje kunabanye. Imithombo yeendaba yanamhlanje ibonisa ukuba nangona ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuphezulu, ayikhuli. Kuya kuba ngumdla ukubona ukuba intetho yeFed iyitshintsha indlela ehambelana nayo ngenxa yoshicilelo lwanamhlanje.

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UAzeez Mustapha

U-Azeez Mustapha yingcali kwezorhwebo, umhlalutyi wemali, umhleli weempawu, kunye nomphathi wezezimali ngaphezulu kweminyaka elishumi yamava kwicandelo lezemali. Njengombhali webhlog kunye nombhali wezemali, unceda abatyali mali baqonde iikhonsepthi ezintsonkothileyo zemali, ukuphucula izakhono zabo zotyalo-mali, kunye nokufunda ukulawula imali yabo.