Ikhosi yoRhwebo

IiNdibaniselwano eziPhumeleleyo kwiiQhinga loRhwebo

Kwisahluko 9 siza kukubonisa ukuba zeziphi iindlela zokurhweba onokuzidibanisa ukuze ufumane ezona ziphumo zihle (ezimbini zihlala zibhetele kunenye).

• Elliott Wave: Ipatheni yokuqikelela
• Ukurhweba ngeDivergence: Qikelela ikamva
• Isicwangciso sokurhweba: iSicwangciso soBuyiselo/ sokubuyisela umva
• Isikhundla sokuvula kunye nokuvala: Izicwangciso ezimbini ezilula zokurhweba
• Ukudityaniswa kwemali: iQhinga eliSisiseko-dlala iimali zakho njengomdlalo wechess
• I-Carry Trade: Isicwangciso esiliqili esingcono

Izalathisi ezidibanisayo

Kwisifundo esidlulileyo, sazise izikhombisi ezibalulekileyo zobugcisa. Sikwakhuthaze ukusetyenziswa kwezalathi ezibini ukuya kwezintathu ngaxeshanye phambi kokuthatha isigqibo malunga nentsingiselo kunye nenyathelo ekufuneka lithathwe, kodwa hayi ngaphezulu.

Ufunde malunga nezalathi zobugcisa kwaye wabona imizekelo yendlela ezisebenza ngayo ngabanye. Kodwa, njengoko besitshilo kwizifundo zangaphambili kule khosi, eyona ndlela ingcono yokwakha isicwangciso se-forex kukudibanisa izikhombisi.

Ngoku makhe sijonge ukuphumelela ezintandathu (ngokoluvo lwethu) indibaniselwano yezalathi ze-forex, ukuze sisonge lo mbandela:

Ukuhambisa i-Avareji + Stochastic

Le ngenye ye isicwangciso sethu sokurhweba esisithandayo nesona sidumileyo. kurhwebo lwexesha elifutshane, kwaye rhoqo kwiimpawu zexesha elide ngokunjalo. Njengoko ubona, istochastic sithengwe kakhulu kwaye ixabiso lilungile ngaphantsi kwe-100 ehambayo ehambayo ngaphambi kokuba ijike emazantsi. Esi sisicwangciso esisebenzayo kakhulu se-forex, ngakumbi ukuba kukho i-candlestick formations. Sisicwangciso esisisiseko sokurhweba kwii-indices nakwiimarike zemveliso ngokunjalo.

Iibhendi zeBollinger + Stochastic

MACD + RSI

Parabolic SAR + EMA

Parabolic SAR + Stochastic

Fibonacci + MACD

Lumnka!

Sikubonise imizekelo yokubonisa ukuba kusinceda njani ukusebenzisa izixhobo zobugcisa misela iindlela, imiyalelo yexesha elizayo, amangeno kunye nokuphuma kunye nezinye iinkcukacha eziyimfuneko zemarike.

Ngaba yonke into ilula ngolo hlobo? Ngaba siphila kwihlabathi eligqibeleleyo? Akunjalongo noko!

Ingxaki yokuqala kukuba izilumkiso ezivela kwimarike ngamanye amaxesha azilunganga.

Khawufane ucinge ukuba ungumdlali weNBA. Iqela lakho lidlala ngokuchasene noKobe Bryant kunye ne-LA Lakers. Abaqeqeshi bakho asingabo abafunxayo, baya kulungiselela isicwangciso somdlalo, kwaye bahlalutye abo bakhuphisana nabo ngokubukela iiteyiphu kunye namanani. Cinga ukuba uhlalutyo lubonisa ukuba ngexesha lemidlalo emihlanu yokugqibela uKobe wathatha i-avareji ye-7 yokuphosa ezintathu, kwaye kwakhona amanqaku angama-90% ukusuka kumgca. Bayazi nokuba uthanda ukuya ebhaskithini ukusuka kwicala lasekunene, ngesandla sakhe sasekhohlo. Abaqeqeshi baya kukulungiselela ukuba uzame kwaye ukhuphisane nezi nyaniso, ngenxa yokuba la manani kunye nedatha iya kufana ngexesha lomdlalo ngomso ebusuku. Ngaba unazo iziqinisekiso zokuba iya kusebenza? Ngaba uqinisekile ukuba uKobe uza kulandela la manani? Akunjalongo noko!

Kungakhathaliseki, kucetyiswa ukuba uzilungiselele. Kuyafana nokurhweba. Izalathisi zisebenza kakuhle kakhulu, kodwa zinokuphazama kwaye zilahlekisa.

Thatha itshathi elandelayo umzekelo enezalathisi ezibini-EMA (kwitshathi) kunye ne-MACD (Ngaphantsi kwayo):

Uyabona kwitshathi ukuba imiqondiso yayingalunganga! Kwindawo ekhohlo ephawulwe kwitshathi, i-MACD (Thenga) iyifumana ingalunganga- unokuqaphela ukuhla kwexabiso kanye emva kophawu lwe-BUY. Kwindawo echanekileyo ephawulweyo i-EMA iyifumana ingalunganga- ayiboneleli naluphi na uphawu konke konke kwi-uptrend ezayo, ngelixa i-MACD ibonelela ngophawu oluchanekileyo lwe-BUY.

Enye ingxaki kukuba kukho amaxesha apho izikhombisi ezahlukeneyo zibonelela ngemiqondiso eyahlukeneyo.

Omnye umzekelo onezikhombisi ezi-3 kwitshathi - Stochastic, RSI (zombini ngaphantsi kwetshathi) kunye neParabolic SAR (kwitshathi):

Uyabona ukuba zonke izikhombisi zisikhomba kwizenzo ezifanayo. Bravo! Kuluyolo ukwenza ishishini nawe…

Phambili, masijonge izikhombisi kwaye silandele izilumkiso.

Apha, kwelinye icala, ityala lihlukile. I-Parabolic SAR + Stochastic + RSI ibonisa ukuba izikhombisi zihlala zingahambelani enye kwenye enokubangela ukudideka phakathi kwabarhwebi. Kwimeko apho isalathisi ngasinye sikunika izilumkiso ezahlukeneyo, kungcono ungenzi naluphi na umnyakazo! Linda amanye amathuba. Ukuba ufuna ukuvula isikhundla nakanjani - hamba nesininzi.

Elliott Wave – Ipateni yokuQikelela

Enye yeziseko eziphambili zohlalutyo lobugcisa ibizwa ngokuba nguRalph Nelson Elliott, ingcali yezoqoqosho. Le yindlela yokuchonga yeepateni zorhwebo. Isebenza njengesixhobo esilungileyo sokuqikelela izikhokelo zentsingiselo. Ithiyori ye-Elliot Wave isebenza kumgaqo wokushukuma kwamaza - abarhwebi baguquguquka ngokwendalo, ukuqhubeka, ukunyakaza okuphindaphindiweyo, njengokulandelelana kwamaza abetha elunxwemeni. Sibhekisela kumaza njengezigaba. Inqanaba ngalinye lamanqanaba asibhozo, yakha intshukumo enye enokuthi ihlale amaxesha ahlukeneyo (uya kuyifumana ngemizuzu emi-3, ungakhathazeki). Ngokwengqondo, abarhwebi badla ngokusabela ngendlela efanayo kumaza ngamnye. Ezi mpendulo zidala ipateni enokuthi ukuqhubeka kwayo kubonwe kwangaphambili. U-Elliot ufumene intshukumo ehambelanayo, eyahlukileyo ehlala iphindaphinda.

Ingxaki -Abathengisi abaninzi badla ngokuthembela kakhulu kule pateni, kwaye akulunganga ukubeka onke amaqanda akho kwingobozi enye! Ukongezelela, kwiimeko ezininzi, amaza e-Elliott anzima ukuchonga. Abarhwebi benza iimpazamo zokuqaphela kunye nokutolika okungalunganga kweetshathi.

Makhe sibone ukuba injani iPatheni ye-Elliott Wave kwiitshathi ezilandelayo:

Uyabona ukuba ipateni ihlanganiswe kwinqanaba lokuqala eliphambili (kule meko- uptrend), eyakhiwe ngamanqanaba ama-5 (Amaza 1 ukuya ku-5), kunye nesiqhelo esincinci sesibini (kwimeko yethu i-downtrend), eyakhiwe ngamanqanaba e-3. Amaza A ukuya kuC).

Inani lemithetho:

• I-Wave #2 ayisoze idlule kwindawo yokuqala yamaza #1;
• I-Wave #3 ayisoze ibe yeyona mfutshane kwizigaba ezihlanu ezakha indlela yokuqala;
• I-Wave #4 ayizukungena kuluhlu lwexabiso lamaza #1. Ukuthatha i-uptrend, iyakuhlala iphezulu kune-wave #1's top;
• I-Wave #2 kunye ne- #4 idla ngokuphela malunga ne-Fibonacci ratios

Nika ingqalelo kuzo zonke izigaba ezisi-8 ze-Elliot Wave kwitshathi elandelayo:

Ngaba ipateni iyaphinda kwakhona? Ibhingo!

Ukuchonga i-Elliot Wave ngexesha kunokuvelisa inzuzo enkulu!

Nanku umzekelo omhle wokuchonga indawo yokuvula yamaza #3 nge Fibonacci's uncedo (Umlinganiselo 0.618):

Makhe sibone ukuba kwenzeka ntoni ngokulandelayo:

Kwiimeko ezininzi, ukuphakama kwamaza kuphantse kulingane nemilinganiselo emithathu yeFibonacci (.50, .382, kunye .618).

Ukurhweba ngeDivergence- Cingela iKamva

Ngaba bekungayi kuba kuhle ukuba unokuxela kwangaphambili iziganeko ezizayo? Yitsho, amanani awinileyo kwilotho elandelayo? Masingathabatheki… Asinakuvuma ukuba siyayazi indlela yokwenza (ngokucacileyo asingoHarry Potter), kodwa Iindlela zokuRhweba ngokwahlukana sincede siqikelele ezinye iintshukumo zamaxabiso.

Ukwahlukana kwenzeka xa izikhokelo kwitshathi yexabiso nakwigrafu ebonisa ukwahlulwa. Xa iyantlukwano isenzeka, isinceda siqonde ukuba sibona indawo elungileyo yokuphuma/yokungena. Ukurhweba ngeDivergence kusivumela ukuba silinde kunye nokubulawa kwethu kude kube kufutshane neyona ndawo iphambili kwindlela, kwaye ngokwenza oko, sandise inzuzo kwaye sinciphise umngcipheko ngaxeshanye!

Ungakwenza njani oku xa usebenza? Ngokulula, thelekisa ukunyakaza kwexabiso kwitshathi kwinto ebonisa isalathisi.

Masidibane neentlobo ezimbini zokwahlukana kwaye sijonge ukuba zisebenza njani ngokwenene:

Ukwahlukana rhoqo – Isixelela ukuba isibini sibuthathaka kwaye umkhwa sele uza kuphela. Isalathiso esihle sotshintsho kwicala lendlela.

Xa ixabiso lihamba ukusuka phezulu ukuya phezulu, kwaye isalathisi sisuka phezulu ukuya phezulu, kufuneka uzilungiselele ukuhlukana kwe-bearish:

Naka u le ixabiso, ehamba ukusuka kwi-low ukuya kwi-high low, kunye nesalathisi esisuka kwi-low ukuya kwi-low low. Kule meko, igrafu ibonisa ukunyuka okuqhubekayo.

Umzobo olandelayo ubonisa umahluko ofihlakeleyo we-bearish kwaye ubonisa ukuqhubeka kokuhla kwexabiso:

Umzekelo kwi-EUR/USD, itshathi yeyure e-1:

Makhe sibone ukuba ukuhlukana okufihlakeleyo kubonakala njani kwitshathi yokwenyani, usebenzisa iStochastic:

Uyakwazi ukuqaphela ogqibeleleyo "HL / LL eHidden Divergence". Olu hlobo lwe ukungafani uphawu kukuqhubekeka kwe-uptrend. Yilento izakwenzeka apha?

Icebiso: Ukwahlukana kusebenza ngakumbi kurhwebo lwexesha elide.

Khumbula: Izalathi ezicetyiswayo zokusebenzisa indlela yeDivergence ubukhulu becala yi-MACD, iRSI kunye neStochastics. Apha ngamanye amaxesha sisebenzisa ukungafani kwethu Iimpawu ze forex zexesha elide.

Ukwahluka-Ungalibali:

1. Ukuzoba imigca. Umsantsa phakathi kwexabiso eliphezulu okanye ezimbini ezisezantsi kufuneka zicace, ngaphandle kokuphazamiseka.
2. Sebenzisa isalathisi esifanelekileyo.
3. Thelekisa umgca oqhotyoshelweyo kwitshati yexabiso kumgca oqhotyoshelweyo kwigrafu yesalathisi.
4. Ukuba uqaphela umahluko emva kwexesha, akukho maxhala! Yiba nomonde kwaye ulinde ukuba kuvele olandelayo.

Isicwangciso soRhwebo – iSicwangciso soBuyiselo kunye nokuBuyisa umva

Ukubuyisela ngokuqhelekileyo kwenzeka xa isibini sifikelela kwimilinganiselo emithathu yeFibonacci - 61.8%, 50% okanye i-38.2%, kwaye iyeka, ngaphambi kokuba ibuyele kwindlela yayo yonke.

Ukuba ixabiso liwela onke la manqanaba kwaye lidlula i-61.8%, kunokubakho ithuba elihle lokubuyisela umva.

Makhe sijonge umzekelo kwisibini se-EUR/CHF:

Esinye isixhobo esihle yi Umgca wendlela Strategy Trading. Ukuba sicuthwa ngexabiso, kusenokwenzeka ukuba siza kubona ujiko:

Abarhwebi abanamava sele beyazi into okanye ezimbini malunga neemali. Bayazi ukuba kwiimeko ezininzi, izibini ezinkulu zifika kwiincopho zazo zemihla ngemihla ngexesha leeyure ezingxamisekileyo zeeseshini zokuqala ze-NY xa iseshoni yaseLondon isavuliwe. Bayazi kananjalo ukuba ngokusebenzisa izikhombisi ezininzi banokuqikelela iindawo ngokubanzi kwitshati apho ixabiso liya kudinwa, licothe, lihlehle, libuyele umva, libuyele kumndilili walo wemihla ngemihla.

Enye into abanokuyenza kukufumana uluhlu lwexabiso lemihla ngemihla lesibini esithile, kunye nexesha elikhethiweyo (ngokusebenzisa isixhobo se-ADR sokubala i-pips yemihla ngemihla! pips ngosuku- ngaphandle kokuba kukho into emangalisayo eyenzekayo namhlanje, sinokucinga ngokukhuselekileyo ukuba kuya kuba luluhlu oluqikelelweyo lwanamhlanje, kwaye ngomso, njalo njalo, de kubekho isiganeko esikhulu esisisiseko kwaye sichaphazela imarike.

Umzekelo wokurhweba:

Okokuqala, siqwalasela idatha ebalulekileyo kwitshathi, ukuya kwinqanaba langoku. Kumzekelo wethu, sirhweba ngeseshoni yaseLondon. Itshathi engezantsi yi-10 min. itshathi (Ikhandlela ngalinye limele imizuzu eli-10). Itshathi imele isakhelo seeyure ezi-5: 8 am ukuya ku-1 pm GMT (ixesha laseLondon). Ithetha ntoni le nto? Kuthetha ukuba ngeyure yokugqibela, iseshoni ye-NY yaqala kwaye yajoyina iseshoni yaseLondon.

Ngapha koko, sinqwenela ukufumana uluhlu lwamaxabiso aphakathi kwemihla ngemihla. Oku kuya kusinika isalathiso malunga nexabiso ngosuku lonke lomsebenzi, kuzo zonke iiseshini. Kwitshathi engezantsi sinokubona ukuba ngexesha lokuvula namhlanje eLondon, ixabiso laliyi-1.2882.

Okulandelayo, cinga ukuba sithetha apha kwi-EUR/USD.

Uya kuqaphela i-downtrend ngexesha leseshoni yaseLondon. Ixabiso lihla liye kwi-1.279 ephantsi kwaye liphakamisa umva kancinci kwi-1.2812 emva nje kokuba iseshoni ye-NY iqale.

Ngoku, sisebenzise isixhobo se-ADR kwaye safumanisa ukuba uluhlu lweepips zemihla ngemihla kwesi sibini kwiintsuku ezingama-20 ezidlulileyo zimi kwi-120 pips ngosuku. Ithetha ntoni le nto?

Kuthetha ukuba ngoku sinokugxila kumanqaku aphezulu kunye nemizuzu kwitshathi yethu ukuza kuthi ga ngoku: I-Maxpoint yi-1.2882, kunye ne-min point yi-1.2789. Sinokuzisebenzisa ukubala inkxaso enokwenzeka kunye nokuchasana kamva ngaloo mini, ngexesha leseshini ye-NY. Inqanaba lokuxhasa elinokwenzeka liya kuba yi-1.2762 (1.2882-120); kunye nenqanaba lokuchasana elinokwenzeka liza kuba yi-1.2909 (1.2789 + 120).

Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kuhle, akunjalo?

Kulungile ngoku kuza inxalenye ekhohlisayo. Eli linyathelo lobungcali. Ukuba unqwenela ukurhweba njengeepros kuyafuneka ukuba uphinde ujonge kwaye uqinisekise isicwangciso sakho:

Ngoku siza kuphonononga isibini sethu kwiiFreyimu zamaxesha amaninzi. Makhe sijonge isibini sethu kwitshathi yeeyure ezi-2 (ikhandlela ngalinye limele iiyure ezi-2). Ngaloo ndlela sinokubona ukuba inkxaso enokubakho kunye nokuxhathisa esikubalile kuphantse kwafana nezi zilapha, okanye zahluke ngokupheleleyo.

Khumbula iFibonacci kunye neeNqaku zePivot zezona zizalathisi zisebenzayo zokubuyisela umva/ukubuyisela umva iSicwangciso.

Ewe, izikrokro zethu ziqinisekisiwe! Uyabona kwitshathi ukuba i-1.2909 ngokwenene inqanaba elinamandla lokumelana! Nika ingqalelo kwinto eyenzekayo kwi-1.2762- Ihlala ngokuthe ngqo phezulu kwe-0.5 Imilinganiselo yeFibonacci! Qaphela ukuba ekuqaleni isetyenziswe njengenkxaso, kwaye xa iphulwa, ijika ibe yinkcaso. Silindele ukuba ijike ibe kwinqanaba lenkxaso kwakhona kamva ngexesha leseshini ye-NY yangoku!

Okwangoku sinesicwangciso sokurhweba esibalaseleyo somhla wonke! Sifumene apho inkxaso kunye nokuchasana kuya kuba khona, kwaye sifumene uluhlu lwexabiso lemihla ngemihla. Sizimisele ukuhamba.

Ngoku, siyazi ukuba lo mhlathi wawunzima ngakumbi. Thatha ixesha lakho ukuyiyeka izike ngaphakathi.

Esinye isalathisi esisebenza kakuhle nesi sicwangciso ngamanqaku ePivot. Ukuba ixabiso liyaphula iinkxaso okanye ukuchasana, kunokubakho ithuba elihle lokubuyisela umva. Ukuba nje ixabiso lingophuli zonke iipivots ezi-3, siya kungqina ukuphinda sibuyele kwindlela eqhelekileyo:

Izikhundla zokuvula kunye nokuvala

Umalunga nokufunda iindlela ezilula kakhulu, ezicacileyo kunye nezisisiseko sokurhweba, ezishwankathela iinxalenye zemathiriyeli ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kakuhle.

Swing Trade – Isicwangciso sexesha elifutshane lokurhweba. Ngokuqhelekileyo ithatha iintsuku ezimbalwa ukuya kwiveki. Injongo yesi sicwangciso kukukhwela iindlela ezikhoyo zemarike kwaye uthathe inzuzo enkulu kubo njengoko unako, ukuze wenze inzuzo ekhawulezayo, ngelixa usabela ngokukhawuleza kwiinguqu zokuziphatha kweemarike. Umbono kukukhwela i-wave. Yonke intsingiselo ephambili yakhiwe ngamaqela amaza. Indlela kukugqiba ixesha lokuthenga kunye nexesha lokuthengisa ngokuqwalasela amaza.

Fibonacci ukusihlangula kwakhona:

Kwakhona, ngeli xesha kuphela kunye neFibonacci-makhe sijonge ngakumbi kwiintsingiselo zangaphakathi kwinxalenye yesibini ye-uptrend jikelele-okanye njengoko zibizwa njalo-'umkhwa ngaphakathi kwendlela'. Elo gama livela kwiitshathi zexesha elincinci, ukuba ujonga itshathi yeeyure ezi-4 uya kubona i-uptrend enkulu. Kodwa, ukuba utshintshela kumaxesha amancinci ngexesha lokuphinda umkhondo, njengetshathi yemizuzu eli-15, konke onokukubona kukwehla. Siza kujonga ukuba i-pullback esempilweni iyenzeka ngenene (xa i-pullback idibana neendlela ze-Fibonacci ngaphakathi kwendlela yonke):

Amaza amabini phezulu, malunga nobukhulu obufanayo, izilungiso ezimbini, kabini kumlinganiselo we-0.50 okanye i-50% yenqanaba lokubuyisela iFibonacci - Ewe, sinepateni. Amathuba amahle okuba i-swinging uptrend iqhubeke!

Imiba emibini ebalulekileyo ekufuneka ithathelwe ingqalelo:

Ukuba nesicwangciso sorhwebo kubalulekile kweli shishini. Isicwangciso sisenokungafani ncam kulo lonke urhwebo, okt ungalutshintsha ukusuka kolunye urhwebo ukuya kolunye ngokuxhomekeke kuhlalutyo, kodwa ukuba nesicwangciso sorhwebo kuyimfuneko. Musa ukuba ndlongondlongo kakhulu ngokuzama ukuphumelela yonke into. Akunakwenzeka ukuqikelela ngokuchanekileyo iincopho kunye nokuhla. Musa ukuzinyanzela ukuba ufike emva kwexesha kwindlela ethile. Lindela ukuba kufike olandelayo! Njengoko ilizwi kwi-forex lihamba, musa ukulandela ixabiso, malize kuwe.
Cwangcisa iilahleko zokumisa. Oku kubaluleke kakhulu! Sikucebisa ngamandla ukuba uzibeke kwindawo nganye nganye yakho! Ziqhelanise nokusebenza 'ngelahleko yokuyeka' kunye 'nokuthatha inzuzo' imiyalelo.

Ukuqhekeka -Iqhinga leBreakout lisebenza ngokufanelekileyo ngokususela kwiimeko eziqhelekileyo. Kule ndlela, sijonga kwinqanaba lenkxaso kunye nokumelana. Nje ukuba sichonge ugqabhuko-dubulo, leyo iya kuba yindawo yethu yokungena, kulandela ulindelo lokuba umkhwa uya kulandela olo lwalathiso:

Ungalibali ukuseta i-Stop Loss! Kumzekelo wethu, sibeke iqhezu ngaphezu kwendawo yokuqhawuka (ukuba sibona ubungqina obungeyonyani, okuthetha ukuthi, asilungile!). Nje ukuba ixabiso lizuze umgama ukusuka kwindawo yethu yokungena, sinokutshintsha i-Stop Loss yethu kancinci ezantsi, ngaphantsi kwendawo yethu yokungena. Iiplatifti ezininzi ze-forex, ezifana ne-MT4 kunye ne-MT5, ngoku zinika ukhetho ukuba ilahleko yokuyeka ukuhamba. Kuthetha ukuba ubeka ilahleko yokuyeka (yithi i-50 pips) kwaye njengoko urhwebo luqhubela phambili kwinzuzo, ilahleko yakho yokuyeka iqhubeka ihamba ngendlela efanayo, inyusa inzuzo yenzuzo nokuba ibangelwa.

Khumbula: Ukuqinisekisa iingeniso hambisa i-Stop Loss yakho kwicala lendlela!

• Oonxantathu zizixhobo ezintle (udibene nazo kwizifundo ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo) kwisicwangciso seBreaout:

Xa unxantathu i-symmetrical, imeko iyahluka kancinci. Ukuqhawuka kunokwenzeka kumacala omabini, ngoko ke sivula isenzo se-OCO (Enye Khansela enye). Siseta amangeno ama-2 - enye ingaphezulu kwe-vertex kunye nenye ngaphantsi kwayo. Kuya kufuneka ukhumbule ukurhoxisa leyo ibonakale ichasene necala elitsha lendlela:

Unxulumano lweMali (iSicwangciso esiSiseko)

Dlala iimali zakho njengomdlalo wechess

Izibini ezahlukeneyo zemali zigcina ubudlelwane obuntsonkothileyo phakathi kwazo. Kwezinye iimeko, isondele kwaye iqine kwaye kwezinye ikude kwaye ingathanga ngqo (njengabazala besithathu). Unxulumano lulinganisa ubudlelwane babo. Ngamanye amazwi, ibhekisa kuqhagamshelwano phakathi kwezibini ezimbini – indlela isibini esizakusabela ngayo kwintshukumo yesinye isibini. Ngamanye amaxesha unxulumano lulungile kwaye ngamanye amaxesha lubi.

Kubalulekile: Kuhlala kukho ubudlelwane phakathi kwezibini ezi-2. Akukho sibini sisodwa sisodwa kuzo zonke ezinye izibini. Iimali ezihambelanayo nazo zilungele a uthango cwangciso lo shishino.

Abarhwebi abanamava badla ngokuvula ngaphezu kwesinye isikhundla ngaxeshanye (urhwebo kwi-2 okanye ngababini ngababini ngaxeshanye). Emva kokuba uziqhelanise neentsuku ezimbalwa uya kujika ube ngumrhwebi ongcono kwaye uya kunqwenela ukuvula ngaphezulu kwesikhundla esinye ngexesha ngalinye. Yiyo loo nto kufuneka silumkele olu budlelwane! Ukurhweba ngenani lezibini ngaxeshanye kuhle kakhulu ekunciphiseni iingozi.

Ukubala Unxulumano luyaguquguquka kwisikali ukusuka ku-1 ukuya ku-1. I-1 ichaza ulungelelwaniso olufanelekileyo olufanelekileyo (100% ulungelelwaniso) phakathi kwezi zibini. Izibini kunye nokulungelelaniswa kwe-1 zihamba kwiindlela ezifanayo 100% yexesha. Xa ulungelelwaniso lulingana no -1, imele unxulumano olubi olugqibeleleyo phakathi kwezibini ezimbini. Izibini ezimbini zihamba zisiya kumacala ahlukeneyo 100% yexesha.

Izalathisi ezifana ne-FTSE 250, i-NASDAQ, i-DAX njl.njl. zidla ngokunxulunyaniswa ngokufanelekileyo, kwaye zinokuhluka ukusuka ku-0.5 ukuya ku-1. Phakathi kwezi, nangona kunjalo, ezinye iinkampani ezidweliswe kolu tshintshiselwano lwesitokhwe zinokunxulunyaniswa kakubi, ngokuxhomekeke kushishino. Umzekelo, iinkampani ezigxile kwitekhnoloji yokuhamba zenza iinjini ezintsha okanye iinjini ezisebenzisa amafutha amancinci okanye zingabikho kwaphela. Ke, xa ezi nkampani zisakha iimodeli zenjini ezintsha kwaye zinciphisa ukusetyenziswa kwamafutha, ixabiso lesabelo sezi nkampani liyenyuka, ngelixa ixabiso lesabelo kwiinkampani zeoyile liyancipha. Sinokuthi unxibelelwano phakathi kwala mashishini mabini lunxibelelene kakubi.

Ukulinganisa ukulinganisa u-0 kubonisa ukuba akukho nxibelelwano lubonakalayo phakathi kwezibini ezimbini. Kwimeko enjalo, akunakwenzeka ukwenza izigqibo malunga nefuthe lesibini kwelinye.

kubalulekile: Akukho mfuneko yokuba ubale nto! Kukho iisayithi zemali ezikwenzela wonke umsebenzi ngokubonisa iitheyibhile zokulungelelanisa emva kokubala umlinganiselo. Inye kuphela into osele ukuyenza kukufunda idatha ekwitafile.

Umzekelo, masijonge amanqanaba onxulumano phakathi kwe-EUR/USD kunye nezinye izibini eziphambili zamaxesha ahlukeneyo (ukusukela ngama-30 kaJulayi 2016):

Ukusuka kwitheyibhile: Uyakwazi ukubona, umzekelo, ukuba unxulumano phakathi kwe-EUR/USD kunye ne-USD/CHF inokubi kakhulu okanye intle kakhulu, kuwo onke amaxesha anikiweyo kwitheyibhile (ngaphandle kwexesha elinye okanye amabini). Ithetha ntoni le nto? Yithi unqwenela ukurhweba kwezi zibini zimbini - musa ukuvula ezimbini imiqondiso Forex okanye i-2 yorhwebo ihamba kwicala elinye (ithetha ukuba, zombini ziya kuhamba nge-bullish okanye i-bearish), ngaphandle kokuba usebenzisa iqhinga lokubiyela, kodwa kumacala achaseneyo. Ukuba ucinga ukuthenga iperi enye, kufuneka uthengise enye.

Ngenxa yoqhagamshelwano lwabo oluqinileyo (unxulumano olunamandla kakhulu phakathi kwabo), ngenene asinakurhweba ngezi zibini zimbini ngaxeshanye. Ayizukwenza nayiphi na ukunciphisa imingcipheko yakho! Enyanisweni, ukuhamba okunje kuya kuphakamisa umngcipheko wakho! Kungangcono kakhulu ukwahlula urhwebo lwakho phakathi kwezibini ngolungelelwaniso oluyinxenye.

Umzekelo: Yiloo ndlela i-EUR / USD (itshathi esekhohlo) kunye ne-GBP / USD (itshathi ekunene) ibonakala ngathi, kwitshathi yeeyure ze-8 (ixesha lilonke lenyanga ye-1). Yiya etafileni: unokubona ukuba ulungelelwaniso phakathi kwabo ngu-0.96, phantse i-positive egqibeleleyo. Ngoku uyasiqonda isizathu sokuba iitshathi zabo zifane. Bekungayi kuba bubulumko ukurhweba kuzo zombini ezi zibini kuba kuya kwandisa umngcipheko wethu. Cinga nje, kuya kufana nje nokuthenga iipakethe ezimbini zesibini esifanayo!

• Akukhuthazwa ukurhweba ngababini abanonxibelelwano olulungileyo / olubi, okanye oluphantse lugqibelele. Akukho nto yokuthenga isibini ngelixa uthengisa enye, ucinga "ngoku ndinesicwangciso esilungeleleneyo". Kufana nokuthenga iperi kwaye kwangaxeshanye uyithengise ngexabiso elifanayo. Kwaye, uya kuhlawula ikhomishini ephindwe kabini kuba uhlawula umrhwebi wakho ngezikhundla ezibini!
• Khumbula: Unxulumano luyatshintsha ngamaxesha ahlukeneyo. Jonga kwitafile yethu. Ulungelelwaniso lweveki phakathi kwe-EUR / USD kunye ne-GBP / USD ilingana ne-0.96, ngelixa ulungelelwaniso lwenyanga phakathi kwababini abafanayo lulingana ne-0.42! Kufuneka ulumkele olu tshintsho. Ulungelelwaniso loreshiyo luyatshintsha ngenxa yezizathu ezingundoqo' phakathi kwazo utshintsho kumazinga enzala, iziganeko zezopolitiko, kunye nezinye izizathu.
• Ungalibali ukuba iindaba malunga nesibini esithile zinokuba nefuthe kwezinye iimali (kwaye ke kwezinye izibini).
• Unxulumano lusinceda ukuba sisasazeke kwaye sinciphise imingcipheko.

Ingcebiso: Yahlula urhwebo lwakho ngababini ngolungelelwaniso oluqinileyo (kodwa alunamandla kakhulu). Uluhlu oluhle luyi-0.5-0.7 kunye -0.5 - -0.7.

Icebiso: Ikuvumela kwakhona ukuba uvavanye imiqondiso yorhwebo ye-forex kwiperi ethile. Ukuba ukholelwa ukuba isibini esithile siza kuqhawuka kwitshati, unokuhlolisisa itshathi yezibini ezifanayo ukuze ubone ukuba kuqhubeka ntoni apho.

Icala elifanayo elihambisa imali ngababini:

• I-EUR/USD kunye ne-GBP/USD
• I-EUR / USD kunye ne-AUD / USD
• I-EUR/USD kunye neNZD/USD
• I-USD / CHF kunye ne-USD / JPY
• I-AUD/USD kunye neNZD/USD

Izibini ezihamba ngokuphambeneyo:

• I-EUR / USD kunye ne-USD / CHF
• I-GBP/USD kunye ne-USD/JPY
• I-USD / CAD kunye ne-AUD / USD
• I-USD / JPY kunye ne-AUD / USD
• I-GBP / USD kunye ne-USD / CHF

Ukuthwala uRhwebo-ISicwangciso esiNcinci esisesinye esiNgcono

I-Carry Trade Strategy isebenza ngokuthengisa, okanye "ukubolekisa" (ukunciphisa) imali enenzala ephantsi; kunye nokuthenga (“ukuboleka”) imali enenzala ephezulu. Okwangoku i-CHF, i-JPY, kunye ne-EUR zinezinga eliphezulu lenzala, ngelixa i-NZD kunye ne-AUD zinezinga eliphezulu. Sibonise oku kwitheyibhile kumaphepha ambalwa okuqala ale khosi, ngoko qwalasela ezi zimali ukuba ufuna ukusebenzisa esi sicwangciso.

Ukuthwala urhwebo yinkqubo esebenzayo yenzuzo xa imarike "iphumle". Ingeniso enokwenzeka ivela kumahluko (umahluko) phakathi kwamazinga enzala emali-mboleko, kunye nolindelo lotshintsho lwexesha elizayo kwezo nzala zimbini. Oko kukuthi, inxalenye yengqwalasela yomthengisi xa ukhetha isibini ukuba "uphathe urhwebo" luya kuba lulindelo lwakhe ukuba ngexesha elifutshane, utshintsho kwizinga lenzala enye okanye zombini zeemali zesibini ziya kwenzeka. Ukuba ulwahlulo lukhula, umrhwebi uzuza, kwaye ngokuphambene noko.

Umzekelo:

Yithi uye ebhankini ucele i-20,000 yeedola. Ibhanki iphumeza inzala ye-2%. Ngayo yonke imali oyibolekile uthenga iibhondi zotyalo-mali, eziya kukuvelisa inzala yonyaka eyi-10%.

Kuhle, ubungacingi? Yileyo ndlela iCarry Trade isebenza ngayo.

Ukubanjiswa kweCarry Trade zithandwa kakhulu phakathi kwabarhwebi abanamava. Kukho ngaphezu kwabathengi abambalwa abanikezela le nkonzo ngokuzenzekelayo kwiqonga labo.

Abarhwebi kufuneka balumkele utshintsho olungalindelekanga kuqoqosho oluphuhlileyo, kumazwe ehlabathi lesithathu kunye namaxesha angazinzanga.

kubalulekile: Le nkqubo idla ngokusebenza kakuhle kubadlali “abanzima” kunye nabaqikeleli bemali enkulu, abatyala imali eninzi, abanqwenela ukuvelisa ingeniso entle ngenzala.

Umzekelo woBuchule boRhwebo lwe-Forex:

Makhe sicinge ukuba une-$ 10,000 yotyalo-mali. Esikhundleni sokuya ebhankini yakho kwaye mhlawumbi ufumane i-2% yenzala yonyaka (i-$ 200 ngonyaka), unokutshala imali yakho kwi-Forex kwaye uhambe ukuRhweba kwi-pair ekhethiweyo. Ngokusekwe kwinto oyifundileyo malunga ne-avareji, unokukhetha ukonyusa i-10,000 yakho ye- $ 5 ngokufanelekileyo- sebenzisa amaxesha ama-10,000. I-50,000 yakho yeedola ngoku ixabisa i-50,000 yeedola. Kulungile, nikela ingqalelo ngoku: uvule isikhundla esixabisa i-$ 10,000 kunye ne-$ 5 yokwenyani. Cinga ukuba kunyaka ozayo, umlinganiselo ohlukeneyo uya kuba ngu-2% (ngamanye amazwi, umehluko phakathi kweentlawulo zenzala yezixhobo ezi-5 zesibini esikhethiweyo uya kwanda nge-2,500%). Ubuya kufumana i-$2,500 ngonyaka! (I-5 yi-50,000% ye-2,500) Ngokutyala imali kwizinga lenzala yokutshintsha kunye nemilinganiselo. I-$ 25 yi-XNUMX% yoqobo lwakho, utyalo-mali lokuqala kwesi sikhundla!

Kukho izinto ezi-3 ezinokwenzeka apha:

1. Ukuba imali oyithengayo iyawohloka kwaye ilahlekelwe yixabiso, uya kulahlekelwa yi-investment yakho (kungakhathaliseki ukuba yiyiphi inkqubo ye-"carry trade". Uya kulahlekelwa ngenxa yokuba imali ilahlekelwe yixabiso elingaphezu kwento obuya kuyifumana kumahluko wenzala).
2. Ukuba isibini esithengiswayo ngaphezulu okanye ngaphantsi sigcina ixabiso laso, sibe nonyaka ozinzile ngaphandle kweenguqu, uya kuzuza kwi-5% ye-different ratio! Le yinjongo yeCarry Trade: yenza imali ngenzala, hayi iintshukumo zexabiso kwiitshathi.
3. Ukuba imali oyithengayo yomelela kwaye ixabiso layo liyenyuka, uphumelela kabini! Zombini ukusuka kwi-5% yokwahlukana komlinganiselo kunye nexabiso elinamandla lesibini kwimarike

kubalulekile: Ukuba umlinganiselo wokwahlukana wesibini esithile ulingana ne #%, oko kuthetha ukuba ukuba unqwenela ukuyithengisa (uthenge i-counter currency ngokuthengisa isiseko semali), umlinganiselo uguqulwe (-#%). Ngokomzekelo, njengoko inzala imile ngoJulayi 2016, ukuba umlinganiselo wokungafani we-NZD / JPY xa uthenga i-NZ Dollars yi-0.2.60%, kuya kuba yi-2.60% ukuba unqume ukuvula indawo yokuthengisa kule bini, intsingiselo, ukuthenga iiyens ngokuthengisa iidola.

Ukuthwala urhwebo yindlela yokurhweba ekhuthazwayo kwiimali ezisezantsi, ezimele iimarike ezinamandla ezinoqoqosho oluzinzileyo.

Ungakhetha njani isibini esifanelekileyo?

Okokuqala, sijonga isibini esinomlinganiselo ophezulu wokwahlukana. Isibini kufuneka sele sizinzile ixesha elide. Iimeko ze-Uptrend zangoku zikhethwa, ngakumbi ukuba imali eyomeleleyo yezo zimbini yeyona imele ukomeleza. Singafuna ukukhetha isibini esinemali enenzala ephezulu nelindeleke ukuba inyuke nangakumbi kwixesha elizayo elingekude; kwaye kwelinye icala, imali enenzala ephantsi kakhulu (umzekelo, i-NZD okanye i-JPY), ekulindeleke ukuba igcine inqanaba elifanayo kwixesha elizayo.

Khumbula: Izibini ezidumileyo zeCarry Trade ngoku ziyi-AUD / JPY; I-AUD/CHF; I-EUR/AUD EUR/NZD, AUD/CHF, kunye neNZD/USD.

Jonga kumzekelo olandelayo wetshati yeNZD/JPY:

Le yitshathi yemihla ngemihla (ikhandlela ngalinye limele usuku). Uya kuqaphela indlela eyomeleleyo ye-bullish ezantsi emva kwe Uvavanyo-zimvo lweBrexit. Siyazi ukuba inzala kwi-JPY kwi-2016 yi-0.10. Izinga lenzala kwi-NZD ngexesha elifanayo li-2.25%, elinamandla okunyuka. Intsingiselo, sinesibini esinokwahlukana okuphezulu (ukuthenga iDola zaseNew Zealand nge-2.25% yenzala ngelixa uthengisa i-yen yaseJapan nge-0.1% yenzala. Amazinga ahlukeneyo adibanisa ukuya kwi-2.35% inzala!). Ngaphandle koko, qaphela iingeniso eziphezulu onokuthi uzenze kwi-bullish trend yesi sibini ngokwaso!

Ukurhweba nge-Swing okanye ukuxhamla kwinzala yenye yeenzuzo ze-forex ukuba ezinye iimarike zezimali, ezifana ne-indices okanye i-commodities, azinikezeli. Ukuthenga isitokhwe esahlukileyo kuyafana kakhulu kuba isahlulo sithatha indawo yenzala.

Zenza

Yiya kwiakhawunti yakho yokuziqhelanisa kwaye masiqhelisele izifundo esisanda kufunda:

• Zama ukufumana ezinye iimeko apho izalathisi ezibini ezahlukeneyo zibonisa iimpawu ezichaseneyo kwitshathi enye.
• Zama ukuchonga iipateni ze-Elliott Wave kwaye uhwebe ngazo.
• Sebenzisa indlela yoRhwebo lweSwing kwaye uvule izikhundla ezisekelwe kuyo.
• Ukurhweba ngokusebenzisa isicwangciso soRhwebo lweDivergence (Rhoqo kwaye sifihliwe). Khetha ukuba yeyiphi isalathisi osebenza nayo.
• Jonga amanqaku eBreakout ngokwento oyifundileyo.
• Vula izikhundla ezibini ngaxeshanye (kwizibini ezimbini ezahlukeneyo) ngokwesicwangciso esisisiseko soKunxulumaniswa kwemali.

imibuzo

1. 1. Yintoni i-Elliott Wave? Zikhangeleka njani iipateni? Bhala phantsi imigaqo nemiqathango; Chonga amaza asi-8 (izigaba) kule tshathi ilandelayo:

1. Unxulumano: Kweziphi iimeko apho kungekho sizathu sokusebenzisa le ndlela?
2. Phatha uRhwebo: Sityala ntoni xa sisebenzisa obu buchule? Sikhetha njani isibini eSiza kuThwala ngaso uRhwebo?

iimpendulo

1. I-Wave #2 ayinakuze ibende kune-wave #1.

I-Wave #3 ayinakuze ibe mfutshane kumaza ama-5 okuqala (indlela yokuqala).

I-Wave #4 ayinakuze ingene kuluhlu lwamaxabiso amaza #1. Thatha i-uptrend - iya kuhlala iphelela kwindawo ephezulu kune-wave #1s 'phezulu.

2. Xa unxulumano lungolubi ngokupheleleyo / luchazi, okanye luphantse lube lulonke, intsingiselo, unxulumano lulingana no-1 okanye -1, okanye ukuvala; xa ulungelelwaniso lulingana no-0, akukho budlelwane phakathi kweemali ezimbini.

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3. Sityala imali kwinzala yokwahluka phakathi kweemali ezimbini. Isibini esilungileyo sokuqhuba urhwebo siya kuba nomlinganiselo ophezulu wokuhlukana, okulindeleke ukuba unyuke.

Izabelo zibonelela ngezabelo ezinokuthathwa njengenzala. Oku kusinika ithuba lokusebenzisa 'isicwangciso sorhwebo'. Uthenga izabelo kwinkampani enezabelo eziphezulu kunye nenkangeleko engcono ngelixa uthengisa izabelo zenye inkampani enesabelo esisezantsi kunye nenkangeleko encumisayo.