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Panyaya yemutemo wezvemari, iyo RBA inoramba yakazvipira kune yayo matatu-makore goho tarisiro. Ichasarudza kuti ivandudze chirongwa ichi, chakanangana naNovember 2024 (parizvino Kubvumbi 2024) zvisungo gare gare gore rino.
Sekutaura kwakaita Chief Economist Bill Evans mushure memusangano weRBA, tinotarisira kuti kuwedzerwa uku kuitike, sezvo iyo RBA ichitenda kuti kukwira kwemari kucharuramiswa pasati pasvika 2024.
Panyaya yekutenga zvinhu, iyo RBA inomira yakagadzirira "Ita zvimwe zvekutenga mabonds chero bedzi zvichibatsira kufambira mberi kusvika pakazara basa uye inflation zvinangwa," sezvakaziviswa muna Kubvumbi, pane kungoita "Sezvaidiwa" munaKurume, zvichizadzikisa kuzvipira kweBhangi kuzadzisa chinangwa chake chehupfumi.
Hupfumi hwepasi rose
Dhata uye zviitiko kunze kweAustralia vhiki ino zvakaramba zvichikwevera kune simba reUS. Zvichitevera rapera svondo rapfuura mushumo weUS nonfarm payrolls mushumo, iyo yakashuma angangoita mamirioni 1.1 emabasa matsva munaKurume, akagadziridzwa muna Ndira naFebruary, uye makore makumi matatu makumi matatu neshanu muongororo yekugadzira yeISM vhiki ino: ISM isiri-yekugadzira PMI yakadhindwa pakakwirira; IMF yakagadzirisa tarisiro yayo yekukura kweUS nepasi rese, uye maminetsi emusangano weFOMC wakaitwa munaKurume wakaratidza kuti Komiti iri kufadzwa kwazvo nebudiriro yakaitwa.
Nekudaro, zviri pachena zvakare kubva kumaminetsi aKurume uye kubva kumashoko akatevera naChairman Powell pachiitiko cheIMF kuti iyo US ichine nzira refu yekuenda kuzere kupora. Nekudaro, mutemo unofanirwa kuramba wakachinjika kudzamara kufambira mberi kwakakosha kwaitwa. Panyaya yemabasa, Sachigaro Powell vakataura pachiitiko cheIMF icho “Nhevedzano” yemhedzisiro, yakadai saKurume, inodikanwa pasati kutemwa kwekutenga kweaseti kungatariswe, zvichipiwa kuti basa rinosara mamirioni 8.4 pazasi pehutachiona hwehutachiona.
Nezve njodzi dzemaonero aya, nepo FOMC iri kuongorora zvakanyanya kuwedzera kwehupfumi uye inflation, vanogona kuona njodzi huru kuhupfumi inosangana nemamiriro emari kana tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo ikakwira kubva pano uye ichitora rezita remari yemari yemari, ichivafunga.
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