Kutengesa Kosi

Kuhwina Masanganiswa eKutengesera Strategies

MuChitsauko 9 tichakuratidza kuti ndedzipi nzira dzekutengesa dzaungasanganise kuti uwane mhinduro dzakanakisa (maviri anowanzo kuve ari nani pane one).

• Elliott Wave: Kufanotaura maitiro
• Divergence Trading: Kufanotaura ramangwana
• Chirongwa chekutengesa: Retracement / Reversal Strategy
• Kuvhura nekuvhara chinzvimbo: Nzira mbiri dzakareruka dzekutengesa
• Currency Correlation: Yakakosha Strategy - tamba mari yako semutambo wechess
• Carry Trade: Yakakura imwe nzira

Kubatanidza zviratidzo

Muchidzidzo chapfuura, takasuma zvakakosha zvehunyanzvi zviratidzo. Isu takakurudzirawo kushandiswa kwezviratidzo zviviri kusvika zvitatu panguva imwe chete tisati tafunga nezvemaitiro uye danho rekutora, asi kwete zvimwe.

Iwe wakadzidza nezvehunyanzvi zviratidzo uye wakaona mienzaniso yemashandiro avanoita ega. Asi, sezvatakataura muzvidzidzo zvakapfuura mune ino kosi, nzira yakanakisa yekuvaka forex zano kusanganisa zviratidzo.

Zvino ngatitarisei kuhwina kutanhatu (mumaonero edu) musanganiswa wezviratidzo zve forex, kuitira kupeta nyaya iyi:

Kufamba Avhareji + Stochastic

Ichi ndicho chimwe che yedu yatinofarira uye inonyanya kufarirwa nzira yekutengesa. yekutengeserana kwenguva pfupi, uye kazhinji kune zviratidzo zvenguva refu zvakare. Sezvauri kuona, iyo stochastic yakawandisa uye mutengo uri pasi peiyo zana inofamba pakati isati yatendeukira kumaodzanyemba. Iri izano rinoshanda kwazvo forex, kunyanya kana iwe uripo maumbirwo emwenje. Ndiyo yekutanga yekutengesa nzira mumaindices uye misika yezvinhu zvakare.

Bollinger Mabhendi + Stochastic

MACD + RSI

Parabolic SAR + EMA

Parabolic SAR + Stochastic

Fibonacci + MACD

Chenjera!

Takakuratidza mimwe mienzaniso kuratidza kuti kushandisa maturusi ehunyanzvi kunotibatsira sei sarudza mafambiro, mafambiro emangwana, kupinda uye kubuda uye mamwe anodiwa data remusika.

Zvese zviri nyore kudaro? Tiri kurarama munyika yakakwana here? Kwete!

Dambudziko rekutanga nderekuti chenjedzo dzinobva kumusika dzimwe nguva hadzina kunaka.

Fungidzira kuti uri mutambi weNBA. Chikwata chako chinotamba naKobe Bryant uye LA Lakers. Varairidzi vako havasi vanoyamwa, vanogadzirira chirongwa chemutambo, uye ongorora vakwikwidzi vako nekuona matepi uye manhamba. Fungidzira kuti kuongorora kunoratidza kuti mukati memitambo mishanu yekupedzisira Kobe akatora avhareji ye7 katatu akakanda, uye akawanawo 90% kubva pamutsetse. Vanoziva zvakare kuti anofarira kuenda kubhasikiti kubva kurudyi, neruoko rwake rweruboshwe. Varairidzi vachakugadzirira kuti uedze uye kukwikwidza neizvi chokwadi, nekuda kwekunyanya mukana wekuti nhamba idzi uye data zvichafanana panguva yemutambo mangwana manheru. Une vimbiso yekuti zvichashanda here? Iwe une chivimbo chakazara chekuti Kobe achatevera manhamba aya? Kwete!

Zvisinei, zvinokurudzirwa kuzvigadzirira. Zvimwe chetezvo nekutengesa. Zviratidzo zvinoshanda zvakanyanya, asi zvinogona kunge zvisirizvo uye zvinokurasisa iwe.

Tora inotevera chati semuenzaniso ine zviratidzo zviviri - EMA (pachati) uye MACD (Pasi payo):

Unogona kuona kubva pachati kuti masaini aive asina kunaka! Kuruboshwe kwakaiswa nzvimbo pachati, MACD (Tenga) inowana zvisizvo- unogona kuona mutengo uchidzikira mushure meiyo BUY chiratidzo. Panzvimbo yekurudyi yakanyorwa EMA inoiwana zvisizvo- haipe chero chiratidzo zvachose kune iri kuuya kumusoro, nepo MACD ichipa chaiyo BUY chiratidzo.

Rimwe dambudziko nderekuti pane dzimwe nguva apo zviratidzo zvakasiyana zvinopa zviratidzo zvakasiyana.

Mumwe muenzaniso une 3 zviratidzo pane chati - Stochastic, RSI (zvose zviri pasi pechati) uye Parabolic SAR (pachati):

Iwe unogona kuona kuti zviratidzo zvose zvinotiratidza kune zviito zvakafanana. Bravo! Zvinonakidza kuita bhizinesi newe…

Pamberi, ngatitarisei zviratidzo uye titevere chenjedzo.

Pano, kune rumwe rutivi, nyaya yacho yakasiyana. Iyo Parabolic SAR + Stochastic + RSI inoratidza kuti zviratidzo kazhinji hazviwirirane pamwe chete izvo zvinogona kukonzera nyonganiso pakati pevatengesi. Kana chiratidzo chega chega chichikupa chenjedzo dzakasiyana, zviri nani kusaita chero kufamba zvachose! Mirira mimwe mikana. Kana iwe uchida kuvhura chinzvimbo zvakadaro - enda nevazhinji.

Elliott Wave - Prediction Pateni

Chimwe chezvakakosha zvekuongorora kwehunyanzvi chinopihwa zita raRalph Nelson Elliott, nyanzvi yezvehupfumi. Iyi inzira yekuzivikanwa yekutengeserana mapatani. Inoshanda sechishandiso chakanaka chekufanotaura mafambiro emaitiro. Iyo Elliot Wave Theory inoshanda pamafungu ekufamba musimboti - vatengesi vanochinja-chinja mune zvakasikwa, kuenderera, kudzokororwa mafambiro, sekutevedzana kwemafungu achirovera pamahombekombe. Tinonongedzera kumasaisai sematanho. Imwe neimwe nhanho yematanho masere, gadzira chinhanho chimwe chinogona kutora nguva dzakasiyana dzenguva (iwe uchachiwana mumaminetsi matatu, usazvinetse). Mupfungwa, vatengesi vanowanzoita zvakafanana kune imwe neimwe wave. Aya maitiro anogadzira pateni iyo kuenderera kwayo kunogona kufanoona. Elliot akawana kufamba kwakasiyana, kwakasiyana kwairamba kuchingozvidzokorora.

Dambudziko - Vatengesi vazhinji vanowanzovimba nemaitiro aya zvakanyanya, uye hazvina kunaka kuisa mazai ako ese mudengu rimwe! Mukuwedzera, muzviitiko zvakawanda, mafungu eElliott akaoma kuziva. Vatengesi vanoita zvikanganiso zvekuzivikanwa uye dudziro isiriyo yemachati.

Ngationei kuti Elliott Wave Pateni inotaridzika sei pane anotevera machati:

Iwe unogona kuona kuti iyo pateni yakaunganidzwa pane yekutanga maitiro makuru (munyaya iyi- uptrend), yakavakwa ne5 nhanho (Mafungu 1 kusvika 5), ​​uye diki yechipiri maitiro (munyaya yedu downtrend), yakavakwa ne3 nhanho ( Mafungu A kusvika C).

Mitemo yakati wandei:

• Wave #2 haimbofa yakapfuura panotangira wave #1;
• Wave #3 haizombofa yakapfupika pamatanho mashanu anovaka maitiro ekutanga;
• Wave #4 haizopinde mumutengo weiyo wave #1. Tichifunga uptrend, ichagara ichipera yakakwirira kupfuura wave #1's top;
• Wave #2 uye wave #4 kazhinji inopera yakatenderedza Fibonacci ratios

Teerera kune ese 8 matanho eElliot Wave mune inotevera chati:

Iyo pateni ichazvidzokorora zvakare here? Bhingo!

Kuziva iyo Elliot Wave munguva inogona kuburitsa purofiti yakakura!

Heino muenzaniso wakanaka wekuzivisa nzvimbo yekuvhura yewave #3 ne Fibonacci's rubatsiro (Chiyero 0.618):

Ngationei zvichaitika zvinotevera:

Kazhinji, urefu hwesaisai hunenge hwakafanana nereshiyo nhatu huru dzeFibonacci (.50, .382, uye .618).

Divergence Trading- Fungidzira Ramangwana

Hazvingave zvakanaka here kana iwe uchigona kufanotaura zviitiko zvenguva yemberi? Iti, nhamba dzinokunda mune inotevera lottery? Ngatirege kukukurwa… Hatigone kubvuma kuti tinoziva kuzviita (zviri pachena hatisi Harry Potter), asi. Divergence Trading Strategies tibatsire kufanotaura mamwe mafambiro emitengo.

Divergence inoitika kana mafambiro ari pamutengo chati uye pane inoratidza girafu yakakamurwa. Kana mutsauko ukaitika, unotibatsira kuona kana tiri kupupurira pekubuda / kwekupinda kwakanaka. Kutengeserana kweDivergence kunotibvumira kumirira nekuuraya kwedu kusvika pedyo chaipo pekupedzisira pane maitiro, uye nekuita kudaro, wedzera purofiti uye kuderedza njodzi panguva imwe chete!

Ungaita sei izvi uchidzidzira? Zviri nyore, enzanisa kufamba kwemutengo pane chati kune izvo chiratidzo chinoratidza.

Ngatisanganei mhando mbiri dzekusiyana uye titarise kuti dzinonyatsoshanda sei:

Regular Divergence - Inotizivisa kuti vaviri ava vari kupera simba uye kuti maitiro ava kuda kupera. Chiratidzo chakanaka chekuchinja munzira yemaitiro.

Kana mutengo ukafamba kubva pakakwirira kuenda pakakwirira, uye chiratidzo chichibva pakakwirira kuenda pazasi, iwe unofanirwa kuzvigadzirira iwe kune iyo bearish divergence:

Teerera kune ari mutengo, iyo inofamba kubva pasi kusvika kune yakakwirira yakaderera, uye kune chiratidzo chinofamba kubva pasi kusvika pasi pasi. Muchiitiko ichi, girafu inoratidza kuenderera mberi.

Iyo inotevera dhizaini inoratidza yakavanzika yakavanzika divergence uye inoratidza kuenderera kwekuderera kwemutengo:

Muenzaniso paEUR/USD, 1 awa chati:

Ngationei kuti musiyano wakavanzika unotaridzika sei pane chaiyo chati, uchishandisa Stochastic:

Iwe unogona kuona iyo yakakwana "HL/LL Yakavanzika Divergence". Iyi mhando ye kusiyana chiratidzo kuenderera mberi kwekusimudzira. Ndizvo zvichaitika pano here?

Zano: Divergence inonyanya kushanda kune kutengeserana kwenguva refu.

Rangarira: Zvinokurudzirwa zviratidzo zvekushandisa Divergence nzira inonyanya MACD, RSI uye Stochastics. Pano isu dzimwe nguva tinoshandisa divergence yedu kwenguva refu forex yekutengesa zviratidzo.

Divergence - Usakanganwa:

1. Kutara mitsetse. Mukaha uripo pakati pemitengo miviri yakakwira kana iyo miviri yakaderera inoda kujeka, pasina kukanganisa.
2. Shandisa chiratidzo chakakodzera.
3. Enzanisa mutsara wakabatanidzwa pane chati yemutengo kune mutsara wakabatanidzwa pane girafu yechiratidzo.
4. Kana ukaona mutsauko wanonoka, hapana kunetseka! Iva nemoyo murefu uye mirira kuti anotevera aonekwe.

Kutengeserana Chirongwa - Retracement uye Reversal Strategy

Kudzokororwa kunowanzoitika kana vaviri vasvika pazvikamu zvitatu zveFibonacci - 61.8%, 50% kana 38.2%, uye vanomira, vasati vadzokera kunzira yayo yose.

Kana mutengo ukayambuka ese aya mazinga uye ukapfuura 61.8%, panogona kuve nemukana wakanaka wekuchinja.

Ngatitarisei muenzaniso mune maviri EUR/CHF:

Chimwe chishandiso chakanaka ndeche Trendline Trading Strategy. Kana tichideredzwa nemutengo, isu tave kuda kuona shanduko:

Vatengesi vane ruzivo vanotoziva chinhu kana zviviri nezve mari. Vanoziva kuti muzviitiko zvakawanda, vaviri vakuru vanosvika panhongonya dzavo dzemazuva ese panguva yekumhanya-mhanya kwezvikamu zvekutanga zveNY apo chikamu cheLondon chichiri kuvhurwa. Ivo zvakare vanoziva kuti nekushandisa akati wandei zviratidzo vaigona kutofembera nzvimbo dzakajairwa pachati umo mutengo waizoneta, unonoke, kudzoka shure, uye kudzokera kunzvimbo yayo yemazuva ese.

Chimwe chinhu chavanogona kuita ndechekutsvaga avhareji yemitengo yemazuva ese yeimwe pair, pamwe nenguva yakasarudzwa (nekushandisa ADR chishandiso chekuverenga avhareji yepips yezuva nezuva! pips zuva- kunze kwekunge chimwe chinhu chinoshamisa chaitika nhasi, tinogona kufungidzira kuti ingave yemazuva ano yekufungidzira, uye mangwana, zvichingodaro, kusvikira chimwe chiitiko chikuru chikaitika uye chinokanganisa musika.

Trading muenzaniso:

Kutanga, isu tinofunga nezveimwe yakakosha data pane chati, kusvika kune yazvino. Mumuenzaniso wedu, tinotengesa pamusangano weLondon. Chati iri pazasi ndeye 10 min. chati (Chigadziko chemwenje chega chega chinomiririra maminitsi gumi). Iyo chati inomiririra 10-maawa furemu: 5 am kusvika 8 pm GMT (London nguva). Izvi zvinorevei? Zvinoreva kuti mukati meawa yekupedzisira, chikamu cheNY chakatanga uye chakabatana neLondon chikamu.

Zvakadaro, tinoshuvira kuwana avhareji yemutengo wemazuva ese. Izvi zvichatipa chiratidzo maererano nemutengo muzuva rose rekuita, mukati mesesesheni yese. Pane chati iri pazasi tinogona kuona kuti panguva yekuvhura yanhasi muLondon, mutengo waive 1.2882.

Tevere, fungidzira kuti tiri kutaura pano pairi EUR/USD.

Iwe unozoona iyo downtrend panguva yeLondon chikamu. Mutengo unodzika kune 1.279 yakaderera uye inosimudza kumashure zvishoma kune 1.2812 ichangobva NY chikamu chatanga.

Ikozvino, takashandisa chishandiso cheADR uye takaona kuti avhareji yepips yemazuva ese yevaviri ava mukati memazuva makumi maviri apfuura inomira pa20 pips pazuva. Izvi zvinorevei?

Zvinoreva kuti isu tinogona ikozvino kutarisa pane max uye min mapoinzi pane yedu chati kusvika parizvino: Maxpoint ndeye 1.2882, uye min point i1.2789. Isu tinogona kuzvishandisa kuverenga zvinogoneka zvinotsigira uye zvinopokana kune gare gare zuva iro, panguva ye NY chikamu. Iyo inogoneka yekutsigira nhanho yaizova 1.2762 (1.2882-120); uye inogona kuramba nhanho ingave 1.2909 (1.2789 + 120).

Kusvika zvino zvakanaka, handiti?

Zvakanaka zvino inouya chikamu chinonyengera. Iri ndiro danho rehunyanzvi. Kana iwe uchida kutengeserana semapros zvakakosha kuti utarise zvakare uye uone zano rako:

Iye zvino tichaongorora vaviri vedu paMultiple Time Frames. Ngatitarisei vaviri vedu pane 2-awa chati (Chigadziko chemwenje chega chega chinomiririra maawa maviri). Nenzira iyoyo taigona kuona kana tsigiro inobvira uye kuramba kwatakaverenga kwakada kufanana nezviri pano, kana kuti zvakasiyana zvachose.

RangariraFibonacci uye Pivot Mapoinzi ndiwo anonyanya kushanda zviratidzo zvekudzoreredza / kudzosera Strategy.

Zvakanaka, fungidziro dzedu dzakasimbiswa! Iwe unogona kuona pane chati kuti 1.2909 ichokwadi yakasimba yekupikisa level! Teerera kune zvinoitika pa1.2762- Inogara chaizvo pamusoro peiyo 0.5 Fibonacci ratios! Cherechedza kuti pakutanga inoshandiswa sechitsigiro, uye kana ichiputsika, inoshanduka kuva kushorwa. Isu tinotarisira kuti ichashanduka kuita nhanho yekutsigira zvakare gare gare panguva yeiyo NY chikamu!

Parizvino isu tine chirongwa chekutengesa chakatanhamara kwezuva rose! Takafunga kuti kutsigirwa uye kushorwa kuchave kupi, uye takafunga nezvemutengo wemazuva ese. Tagadzirira kuenda.

Zvino, isu tinoziva kuti iyi ndima yanga yakati omei. Tora nguva yako kuisiya ichinyura mukati.

Chimwe chiratidzo chinoshanda nemazvo neiyi zano iPivot Points. Kana mutengo ukatyora zvinotsigira kana kuramba, panogona kuve nemukana wakanaka wekudzosera kumashure. Chero bedzi mutengo usingatyore ese matatu pivots, isu tinopupurira kudzoka kune yakajairika maitiro:

Kuvhura uye Kuvhara Nzvimbo

Iwe wave kuda kudzidza zvakapusa, intuitive uye nzira dzekutanga dzekutengesa, dzinopfupikisa zvikamu zvezvinhu kusvika zvino zvakanyanya.

Swing Trade - Yenguva pfupi yekutengesa zano. Kazhinji inotora kubva pamazuva mashoma kusvika pavhiki. Chinangwa chechirongwa ichi ndechekukwira maitiro emusika aripo uye kutora mukana wakawanda kwavari sezvaunokwanisa, kuitira kuti uwane purofiti nekukurumidza, uchiita nekukurumidza kune shanduko mumusika maitiro. Pfungwa ndeyekukwira masaisai. Yese maitiro makuru anovakwa nemapoka emafungu. Nzira yacho ndeyekusarudza nguva yekutenga uye nguva yekutengesa nekucherechedza masaisai.

Fibonacci kutinunura zvakare:

Zvekare, panguva ino chete neFibonacci - ngatitarisei zvakanyanya maitiro emukati muchikamu chechipiri che general uptrend - kana sekudaidzwa kwavanoitwa - 'maitiro mukati memaitiro'. Iro zita rinobva kune madiki timeframe machati, kana iwe ukatarisa iyo 4-awa chati uchaona yakakura uptrend. Asi, kana ukachinja kuita madiki nguva panguva yekudzokorodza, senge 15-maminetsi chati, zvese zvaunogona kuona ndeye downtrend. Isu tichatarisa kana kudhonzwa kune hutano kuchiitika (kana iyo yekudhonza inosangana neiyo Fibonacci maitiro mukati memaitiro ese):

Mafungu maviri kumusoro, akaenzana saizi, maviri ekugadzirisa, kaviri pachiyero 0.50 kana 50% Fibonacci retracement level - Zvakanaka, isu tine pateni. Mikana yakanaka yekuti swinging uptrend ienderere mberi!

Zvinhu zviviri zvakakosha zvekufunga nezvazvo:

Kuve nechirongwa chekutengesa kwakakosha mubhizinesi iri. Urongwa uhwu hunogona kunge husina kunyatsofanana pakutengesa kwega kwega, kureva kuti unogona kuchichinja kubva pane chimwe kutengeserana kuenda pane chimwe zvichienderana nekuongorora, asi kuve nehurongwa hwekutengesa unotofanira. Usanyanya kuita zvehasha nekuedza kuhwina maitiro ese. Hazvibviri kunyatsofanotaura mapeaks uye pasi. Usazvimanikidza kana wanonoka pane imwe muitiro. Mirira kuti anotevera asvike! Sezvo chirevo chiri mu forex chinoenda, usatevedze mutengo, ngauuye kwauri.
Seta Stop Losses. Izvi zvakakosha zvakanyanya! Isu tinokupa zano rakasimba kuti uzviise pane imwe neimwe yenzvimbo dzako! Jaira kushanda ne 'stop loss' uye 'tora purofiti' maodha.

Breakouts -Iyo Breakout zano rinoshanda zvakanyanya kune akasiyana maitiro mamiriro. Munzira iyi, tinotarisa padanho rekutsigira uye rekudzivirira. Kana tangoziva kubuda, ndiyo ingave nzvimbo yedu yekupinda, tichitevera tarisiro yekuti maitiro achatevera iwo nzira:

Usakanganwa kuseta Stop Loss! Mumuenzaniso wedu, takaiisa chidimbu pamusoro penzvimbo yekubuda (kana tikapupurira fake-kunze, zvichireva kuti, takanganisa!). Kana mutengo wangowana chinhambwe kubva panzvimbo yedu yekupinda, tinogona kushandura Stop Loss yedu zvishoma pasi, pazasi pekupinda kwedu. Mazhinji mapuratifomu eforex, akadai seMT4 uye MT5, zvino anopa sarudzo kana yekutevera kumira kurasikirwa. Zvinoreva kuti iwe unoisa kurasikirwa kwekumira (taura makumi mashanu pips) uye sezvo kutengeserana kunofamba kwakadzika mupurofiti, kurasikirwa kwako kwekumira kunoramba kuchifamba munzira imwechete, kuwedzera purofiti inogona kunyangwe ikakonzereswa.

Rangarira: Kuita purofiti fambisa yako Stop Loss munzira yemaitiro!

• Matatu maturusi akanakisa (wakasangana nawo mashoma apfuura) eiyo Breakout zano:

Kana iyo katatu iri symmetrical, mamiriro acho akati siyanei. Kuputika kunogona kuitika pamativi ese, saka isu tinomisikidza chiito cheOCO (Imwe Kanzura Imwe). Isu tinoisa 2 zvinyorwa - imwe pamusoro pe vertex uye imwe iri pasi payo. Iwe unofanirwa kurangarira kukanzura iyo inoratidzika kunge inopesana neiyo nzira nyowani yemaitiro:

Currency Correlation (Yakakosha Strategy)

Tamba mari yako semutambo wechess

Mari dzakasiyana-siyana dzinochengetedza hukama hwakaoma pakati pavo. Mune zvimwe zviitiko, padhuze uye yakasimba uye mune vamwe kure uye zvisina kunanga (seyechitatu makunakuna). Kuwirirana kunoyera hukama hwavo. Nemamwe manzwi, zvinoreva kubatana pakati pezviviri zviviri - mabatiro achaita imwe peya pakufamba kwechimwe. Dzimwe nguva kuwirirana kwakanaka uye dzimwe nguva kwakaipa.

Zvakakosha: Panogara paine hukama pakati pevaviri vaviri. Iko hakuna peya imwechete iyo yakaparadzaniswa zvachose kubva kune mamwe ese maviri maviri. Mari yakabatana yakanakirawo a ruzhowa urongwa hwokutengesa.

Vatengesi vane ruzivo vanowanzovhura zvinopfuura imwe nzvimbo panguva imwe chete (kutengesa pa 2 kana kupfuura pairi panguva imwe chete). Mushure mekudzidzira kwemazuva akati wandei iwe unozochinja kuita mutengesi ari nani uye ipapo iwe ungangoda kuvhura anopfuura chinzvimbo chimwe nguva yega yega. Ndicho chikonzero nei zvakakosha kuziva nezvehukama uhwu! Kutengeserana nenhamba yezviviri panguva imwe chete kwakanakira kuderedza njodzi.

Kuverenga Correlation kunochinja pachiyero kubva pa1 kusvika -1. 1 inotsanangura kuwirirana kwakanaka kwakanaka (100% kuwirirana) pakati pezviviri zviviri. Paya dzine correlation 1 dzinofamba munzira dzakafanana 100% yenguva. Kana kuwirirana kuchienzana -1, inomiririra kuwirirana kusina kunaka pakati pemaviri maviri. Vaviri vaviri vari kufamba nenzira dzakasiyana 100% yenguva.

Indices dzakadai seFTSE 250, NASDAQ, DAX nezvimwe zvinowanzobatanidzwa zvakanaka, uye zvinogona kusiyana kubva ku0.5 kusvika ku 1. Mukati meizvi, kunyange zvakadaro, mamwe emakambani akanyorwa mune izvi zvekutsinhanisa masheya anogona kubatanidzwa zvisina kunaka, zvichienderana neindasitiri. Semuyenzaniso, makambani anoita zvekufambisa tekinoroji anogadzira mota nyowani kana injini dzinoshandisa mafuta mashoma kana kusatomboshandisa. Saka, makambani aya paanovaka mhando dzeinjini itsva uye nekuderedza kushandiswa kwemafuta, mutengo wekugoverana wemakambani aya unokwira, ukuwo mutengo wemakambani emafuta uchidzika. Tinogona kutaura kuti kuwirirana pakati pemaindasitiri maviri aya kwakashata.

Correlation yakaenzana 0 inoratidza hapana chinooneka chinongedzo pakati pembiri mbiri. Muchiitiko ichocho, hazvibviri kutora chero mhedziso pamusoro pesimba reimwe pair pane imwe.

kosha: Haufanire kuverenga chero chinhu! Kune masaiti emari anokuitira basa rese nekupa matafura ekubatanidza mushure mekuverenga mareshiyo. Chinhu chega chauchasara kuita kuverenga data riri patafura.

Semuyenzaniso, ngatitarisei mazinga ehukama pakati peEUR/USD nemamwe mapeya makuru enguva dzakasiyana (kubvira 30 Chikunguru 2016):

Kubva patafura: Unogona kuona, semuenzaniso, kuti kuwirirana pakati peEUR/USD neUSD/CHF kungave kwakashata zvakanyanya kana kwakanaka kwazvo, mukati menguva dzese dzakaratidzwa patafura (kunze kwenhambo imwe kana mbiri). Izvi zvinorevei? Iti unoshuvira kutengesa pane maviri maviri aya - usavhure maviri Forex anonongedzera kana 2 kutengeserana ichifamba munzira imwechete (zvinoreva kuti, ese ari maviri achaenda bhiza kana bhiza), kunze kwekunge uri kushandisa hedging zano, asi zviri kutarisana. Kana wafunga kutenga imwe peya, unofanira kutengesa imwe.

Nekuda kwekubatana kwavo kwakasimba (kuwirirana kwakasimba pakati pavo), isu hatinganyatso tengeserana maviri aya maviri panguva imwe chete. Hazvizokonzerese kudzikiswa kwenjodzi dzako! Muchokwadi, kufamba seizvi kuchasimudza njodzi yako! Zvingave zvirinani kugovera kutengeserana kwako pakati pezviviri zvine chikamu chekubatanidza.

Muenzaniso: Ndiwo maratidziro akaita EUR/USD (chati yekuruboshwe) uye GBP/USD (chati yekurudyi) yaitaridza senge, mune 8-awa chati (nguva yakazara yemwedzi mumwe). Enda kutafura: iwe unogona kuona kuti kuwirirana pakati pavo ndeye 1, inenge yakakwana yakanaka. Zvino iwe unonzwisisa kuti sei machati avo akafanana. Hazvingave zvine hungwaru kutengesa mune ese maviri maviri aya nekuti zvinongowedzera njodzi yedu. Funga nezvazvo, zvingangofanana nekutenga mapakeji maviri epairi imwe chete!

• Izvo hazvikurudzirwe kutengesa mapairi ane akakwana akanaka/negative correlation, kana kunyange akakwana. Hapana chikonzero chekutenga imwe peya uchitengesa imwe, uchifunga kuti "ikozvino ndine chirongwa chakaenzana". Zvakafanana nekutenga peya uye panguva imwe chete uchitengesa nemutengo wakafanana. Uye, iwe waizobhadhara kaviri komisheni nekuti iwe unobhadhara broker yako yezvinzvimbo zviviri!
• Rangarira: Hukama hunochinja munguva dzakasiyana dzenguva. Tarisa patafura yedu. Iko kuwirirana kwevhiki nevhiki pakati peEUR/USD neGBP/USD yakaenzana ne0.96, nepo kuwirirana kwemwedzi pakati pemaviri akafanana kwakaenzana ne0.42! Iwe unofanirwa kunyatsoziva nezve shanduko idzi. Hukama hwehukama huri kuchinja nekuda kwezvikonzero zvakakosha' pakati pazvo shanduko mumari yemubereko, zviitiko zvezvematongerwo enyika, uye zvimwe zvikonzero.
• Usakanganwa kuti nhau dzechimwe chikwata dzingave nemhedzisiro pane dzimwe mari (uye nekudaro pane mamwe mapeya).
• Kuwirirana kunotibatsira kuparadzira uye kuderedza njodzi.

Zano: Govanisa kutengeserana kwako muzviviri zvinesimba (asi zvisina kusimba zvakanyanya) kuwirirana. Mitsara yakanaka ndeye 0.5-0.7 uye -0.5 - -0.7.

Zano: Inobvumidza iwe zvakare kuti uedze wakapihwa forex kutengeserana masaini pane imwe peya. Kana uchitenda kuti dzimwe mbiri dzava kuda kupaza pachati, unogona kuongorora chati yezviviri zvakafanana kuti uone zviri kuitika ipapo.

Yakajairika nzira imwe chete inofambisa mari mbiri:

• EUR/USD uye GBP/USD
• EUR/USD uye AUD/USD
• EUR/USD uye NZD/USD
• USD/CHF uye USD/JPY
• AUD/USD uye NZD/USD

Mapeya akajairika anopesana:

• EUR/USD uye USD/CHF
• GBP/USD uye USD/JPY
• USD/CAD uye AUD/USD
• USD/JPY uye AUD/USD
• GBP/USD uye USD/CHF

Carry Trade - Yakakura Alternative Fundamental Strategy

The Carry Trade Strategy inoshanda nekutengesa, kana "kukweretesa" (enda kupfupi) mari ine mubereko wakaderera; uye kutenga (“kukwereta”) mari ine mubereko mukuru. Parizvino CHF, JPY, uye EUR dzine mibairo yakaderera, ukuwo NZD neAUD dzine mitengo yepamusoro. Isu takaratidza izvi mutafura mumapeji ekutanga ekosi ino, saka funga nezve mari idzi kana iwe uchida kushandisa zano iri.

Carry trade inzira inoshanda yepurofiti kana musika "uchizorora". Mhindu inobvira inobva mukusiyaniswa (musiyano) pakati pemari dzemari dzemari, uye zvinotarisirwa zvekuchinja kweramangwana mune mbiri idzi mhindu. Izvi zvinoreva kuti, chikamu chekufungisisa kwemutengesi pakusarudza peya kuti "kutakura kutengeserana" ichava zvaanotarisira kuti munguva pfupi, kuchinja kwehuwandu hwemari yeimwe kana mbiri dzemari dzevaviri zvichaitika. Kana mutsauko uchikura, mutengesi anowana, uye zvinopesana.

muenzaniso:

Iti unoenda kubhangi unokumbira chikwereti che$20,000. Iyo bhangi inobvumidza pane yegore 2% mubereko. Nemari yese yawakwereta unotenga mabhondi ekudyara, izvo zvinokubudisira 10% mubereko wepagore.

Zvakanaka, haungafungi here? Ndiwo mashandiro anoita Carry Trade.

Carry Trade catches inonyanya kufarirwa pakati pevatengesi vane ruzivo. Kune vanopfuura vashoma vatengesi vanopa iyi sevhisi otomatiki papuratifomu yavo.

Vatengesi vanofanira kungwarira kuchinja kusingatarisirwi kwechido muhupfumi hwakasimukira, nyika dzechitatu uye nenguva dzisina kugadzikana.

kosha: Sisitimu iyi inowanzo shanda kune vatambi "vanorema" uye vanofungidzira mari hombe, vanodyara mari yakawanda, vachishuvira kuburitsa mihoro yakanaka pamitengo yemubereko.

Forex Trading Strategy Muenzaniso:

Ngatifungei kuti une $10,000 yekudyara. Panzvimbo pekuenda kubhangi rako uye pamwe kuwana 2% yegore mubereko ($200 pagore), unogona kuisa mari yako mu Forex woenda Carry Trading pane vaviri vakasarudzwa. Zvichienderana nezvawadzidza nezve kukwidziridzwa, unogona kusarudza kukwidziridza yako $10,000 zvine musoro- kukwidziridza iyo kashanu. Yako $5 yava kukosha $10,000. Zvakanaka, teerera izvozvi: wavhura chinzvimbo chakakosha madhora zviuru makumi mashanu nemadhora zviuru gumi. Fungidzira kuti mukati megore rinotevera, chiyero chekusiyanisa chichava 50,000% (mune mamwe mazwi, mutsauko pakati pemari yemubereko yezviridzwa zviviri zvevaviri vako vakasarudzwa uchawedzera ne50,000%). Iwe waizowana $10,000 pagore! (5 i2% ye5) Kungoisa mari mukuchinja kwemhindu uye mareshiyo. $2,500 ndeye 2,500% yako yepakutanga, yekutanga investimendi pane iyi chinzvimbo!

Pane 3 zvinogoneka pano:

1. Kana mari yauri kutenga ikaparara uye ikarasikirwa nekukosha, iwe unorasikirwa nekudyara kwako (zvisinei nezve "kutakura kutengeserana" hurongwa. Iwe unorasikirwa nekuti mari yacho yakarasa kukosha kupfuura yawaizowana kubva mukusiyana kwechimbadzo).
2. Kana iyo inotengeswa vaviri kana zvishoma ikachengeta kukosha kwayo, iine gore rakagadzikana pasina shanduko, iwe uchawana pundutso kubva ku5% yekusiyanisa ratio! Ichi ndicho chinangwa cheCarry Trade: ita mari kubva pamitengo yemubereko, kwete mafambiro emitengo pamachati.
3. Kana mari yauri kutenga ichisimbisa uye kukosha kwayo kunowedzera, iwe unokunda kaviri! Zvese zviri zviviri kubva ku5% yekusiyanisa ratio uye kukosha kwakasimba kwevaviri mumusika

kosha: Kana chiyero chekusiyanisa cheimwe pair chakaenzana ne #%, zvinoreva kuti kana iwe uchida kuitengesa (tenga iyo counter currency nekutengesa base currency), chiyero chinopindurwa (-#%). Semuyenzaniso, sezvo mibairo yakamira muna Chikunguru 2016, kana chiyero chekusiyanisa cheNZD/JPY kana uchitenga NZ Dollars iri 0.2.60%, ingave -2.60% kana ukafunga kuvhura Sell chinzvimbo chevaviri ava, zvichireva, kutenga yens nekutengesa madhora.

Takura kutengeserana inzira inokurudzirwa yekutengesa mari ine njodzi shoma, inomiririra misika yakasimba ine hupfumi hwakagadzikana.

Ungasarudza sei peya yakakodzera?

Kutanga, tinotarisa peya ine mwero wakanyanya kusiyanisa. Vaviri vacho vanofanira kunge vakatogadzikana kwenguva yakareba. Uptrend ikozvino mamiriro anosarudzwa, kunyanya kana iyo yakasimba mari yezviviri ndiyo yekusimbisa. Tinoda kusarudza peya ine mari ine mubereko wepamusoro unotarisirwa kukwira zvakanyanya munguva pfupi iri kutevera; uye kune rumwe rutivi, mari ine mubereko wakaderera kwazvo (semuenzaniso, NZD kana JPY), iyo inotarisirwa kuchengetedza mwero wakafanana munguva pfupi iri kutevera.

yeuka: Anozivikanwa maviri maviri eCarry Trade izvozvi AUD/JPY; AUD/CHF; EUR/AUD EUR/NZD, AUD/CHF, uye NZD/USD.

Tarisa muenzaniso unotevera weNZD/JPY chati:

Ichi chati chezuva nezuva (kenduru imwe neimwe inomiririra zuva). Iwe unozoona yakasimba bullish maitiro ekudzika kunze mushure meiyo Brexit referendamu. Isu tinoziva kuti kufarira paJPY muna 2016 ndiko -0.10. Chibereko chemari paNZD panguva imwechete yenguva i2.25%, ine mukana wakanaka wekukwira. Zvichireva, tine peya ine musiyano wepamusoro (kutenga New Zealand Dollars ine 2.25% mubereko uchitengesa Japanese yen ne -0.1% mubereko. Mitemo yekusiyanisa inowedzera kusvika 2.35% mubereko!). Kunze kwezvo, cherechedza purofiti yakakwirira iwe yaungadai wakaita chete pane iyo bullish maitiro evaviri vacho pachayo!

Kushambadzira kutengesa kana kubatsirikana kubva mumitengo yemitengo ndeimwe yezvakanakira forex izvo mamwe misika yemari, senge indices kana zvigadzirwa, hazvipi. Kutenga masheya akaparadzana kwakafanana nekuti dividend inotsiva mubereko.

Dzidzira

Enda kuakaundi yako yekudzidzira uye ngatidzidzise zvidzidzo zvatichangobva kudzidza:

• Edza kutsvaga mamwe mamiriro apo zviratidzo zviviri zvakasiyana zvinoratidza zviratidzo zvakapesana pane imwe chati.
• Edza kuona Elliott Wave mapatani uye kutengeserana navo.
• Shandisa iyo Swing Trade nzira uye yakavhurika zvinzvimbo zvichibva pairi.
• Kutengeserana nekushandisa Divergence Trading strategy (Yagara uye Yakavanzika). Sarudza chiratidzo chekushanda nacho.
• Tsvaga mapoinzi eBreakout zvinoenderana nezvawadzidza.
• Vhura zvinzvimbo zviviri panguva imwe chete (pamaviri maviri akasiyana) zvinoenderana neiyo yakakosha Currency Correlation strategy.

Mibvunzo

1. 1. Chii chinonzi Elliott Wave? Mapeteni anotaridzika sei? Nyora pasi mitemo nemamiriro; Ziva masaisai masere (matanho) pane inotevera chati:

1. Correlation: Muzviitiko zvipi pasina chikonzero chekushandisa nzira iyi?
2. Carry Trade: Muchii chatinodyara kana tichishandisa nzira iyi? Isu tinosarudza sei peya yekutakurisa Trade nayo?

mhinduro

1. Wave #2 haizomborebe kupfuura wave #1.

Wave #3 haingambove yakapfupika pamafungu mashanu ekutanga (First maitiro).

Wave #4 yaisazombopinda wave #1's mutengo renji. Fungidzira uptrend - inogara ichipera panzvimbo yepamusoro pane wave #1s 'pamusoro.

2. Kana kuwirirana kuine mhedziso yakaipa / yakanaka, kana inenge yakakwana, zvinoreva, hukama hwakaenzana na1 kana -1, kana kuvhara; kana kuwirirana kwakaenzana ne0, hapana hukama pakati pemari mbiri idzi.

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3. Isu tinodyara mumitengo yemubereko misiyano pakati pemari mbiri. Peya yakanaka yekutakura kutengeserana paizove neyakasiyana reshiyo, iyo inotarisirwa kuwedzera.

Mastock anopa ma dividends ayo anogona kutorwa semari yemubereko. Izvi zvinotipa mukana wekushandisa iyo 'kutakura trade strategy'. Iwe unotenga migove mukambani ine yakakwira dividend uye maonero ari nani paunenge uchitengesa migove yeimwe kambani ine yakaderera dividend uye maonero asina kunaka.