USD/JPY Ikukwera ndi Hawkish Fed, Dovish BOJ

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ZINTHU

Kusinthanitsa kwa USD/JPY kwakhala paulendo kuyambira koyambirira kwa 2021, ndi ng'ombe zomwe zikutsogolera m'masabata aposachedwa. Awiriwo adagunda kwambiri 150.00 chaka chatha, mlingo wabwino kwambiri kuyambira 1990, asanakhale ndi kuwongolera kwakukulu komwe kunabweretsa pansi pa 130.00 pakati pa January 2023. Komabe, dola ya US idayambanso kukwera, ndipo ngati ndalama za Treasury zikukwera. , kuchira kungakhale ndi malo ochulukirapo.

Dalaivala wamkulu wa kukwera kwaposachedwa kwa USD/JPY ndi momwe US ​​Federal Reserve imayendera. Bungwe la Fed lawonetsa njira yowonjezereka yowonjezereka kwa chiwongoladzanja poyankha deta yotentha kwambiri kuposa momwe amayembekezera ku US, monga CPI ndi zotsatira za msika wa ntchito. Zotsatira zake, mitengo ya Treasury yaku US yakwera mwezi watha, pomwe zokolola zazaka 10 zidatenganso 4.0% kwakanthawi, kuchuluka kwambiri kuyambira Novembala 2022.

Dovish BOJ Amasunga Yen Yachijapani Yosasangalatsa

Kumbali inayi, Bank of Japan yasungabe malingaliro ake, kukana kusintha mfundo zake zaposachedwa, kuphatikiza kuchepetsa kuchulukira komanso kuwongolera kokhotakhota. Bwanamkubwa wa BOJ akubwera Kazuo Ueda posachedwapa adabwereza zomwe bankiyo adanena, ponena kuti momwe chuma chilili panopa sichiyenera kusintha ndondomeko. Izi zikutanthauza kuti zokolola za ku Japan zidzakhalabe zochepetsetsa, kuchepetsa kukopa kwa yen mu danga la FX.

USD/JPY Itha Kupitilira Kukwera

Ndondomeko zosiyana za Fed ndi BOJ zimasonyeza kuti USD / JPY ikhoza kupitiriza kukwera. Ngati mitengo ya US Treasury ikukwera, dola yaku US ikhalabe yokopa kwa osunga ndalama, ndipo yen idzavutikira kupikisana. Komabe, mikangano ya geopolitical, kutsika kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi, ndi zinthu zina zimatha kuyambitsa kusokonekera kwamisika kosayembekezereka, kotero amalonda ayenera kukhala osamala.

Pomaliza, USD/JPY yakhala ikuyenda movutikira kuyambira koyambirira kwa 2021, dola yaku US pakadali pano ikukwera motsutsana ndi yen yaku Japan chifukwa cha Fed ya hawkish ndi BOJ. Ngati ndalama za Treasury zikukwera, USD / JPY ikhoza kukwera, koma zochitika zosayembekezereka nthawi zonse zimatha kukhudza misika, kotero amalonda ayenera kukhala tcheru.

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