New Zealand Dollar Ikukwera Poyankha Kukwera kwa Mavuto Okwera

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Zoyembekeza za inflation zinatulutsidwa ku New Zealand, ndipo chizindikirocho chinakwera kachisanu ndi chimodzi motsatizana. Zoyembekeza za inflation zimatha kubweretsa kutsika kwenikweni, chifukwa chake metric iyi imawerengedwa bwino. Kutulutsidwa kwa kotala lachitatu kunali 2.96 peresenti, kuchokera pa 2.27 peresenti m'gawo lapitalo.

Chotsatiracho chinawonjezera Ndalama ya New Zealand ndikuwonjezera mwayi wokwera mitengo ya chiwongola dzanja cha RBNZ pamsonkhano wake wamalamulo sabata yamawa. Ndi kukwera kwa 25-bps mu Okutobala, RBNZ idakhala imodzi mwamabanki apakati oyamba kukweza mitengo kuyambira pomwe mliri udayamba. Banki yayikulu ikukonzekera kukwera mitengo motsatizana mpaka chaka cha 2022, ndipo nkhawa yayikulu pamsika ndiyakuti ikweza mitengo ndi 25 basis points kapena ipitirire kusweka ndi kukwera kwa 50-basis-point.

Kutsika kwa mitengo ku United States kukukulirakulirabe, koma izi sizinalepheretse ogula kuwononga ndalama, popeza malonda ogulitsa adakwera 1.7 peresenti mu Okutobala, kuchokera pa 0.7 peresenti mwezi watha. Malonda apakati adakwera ndi kuchuluka komweko, kuchokera pa 0.8 peresenti mpaka 0.9 peresenti. Misika ikukula ndi nkhawa kuti Fed ikhoza kukakamizidwa kuyankha kukwera kwa inflation kwaposachedwa, chifukwa mkangano woti inflation ndi cyclical ikuwoneka ngati yosagwirizana ndi zenizeni. Misika yazachuma ikhoza kukhala ndi chipwirikiti ngati Fed imachepetsa kugula kwake.

Kutsika kwa mitengo kukuyambitsa zowawa ku White House, pomwe ovota aku US atha kulanga ma Democrats pachisankho chapakati pa 2022 chifukwa chokwera mtengo. Purezidenti Joe Biden adzayeneranso kupanga chisankho chofunikira chokhudza yemwe angatsogolere Federal Reserve posachedwa. Okondedwa ndi mamembala a Fed Jerome Powell ndi Lael Brainard, pomwe Brainard akusokonekera kwambiri, zomwe zingatanthauze kuti chiwongola dzanja chizikhala chotsika kwa nthawi yayitali, zomwe zingakhale zabwino pazachuma komanso zosakomera ndalama zaku US.

Newzealand dollar ikuyembekezeka kukwera mpaka 0.74 Dollar US

Akatswiri azachuma amaneneratu kuti dola ya New Zealand idzakhala ndi chaka chabwino mu 2022. Akuyembekeza kuti NZD / USD idzakwera pang'onopang'ono kupita ku 0.74 m'chaka chomwe chikubwera. Msikawu uyenera kuchepetsa ziyembekezo zake za kutsika mtengo mu 2022, koma zizindikiro za kukwera kwa inflation kwa chaka chonse ziyenera kuyambitsa malingaliro akuti kuzungulira kwachuma kuyenera kupitilira mu 2023-24 ndikuyika malire pansi pa dola ya New Zealand.

Chaka chotsatira, Ndalamayi iyenera kukhala ndi kufalikira kokongola kwambiri mu G10, kotero iyenera kupindula kwambiri ndi nthawi yochepa yosasunthika ndikuthandizira malingaliro owopsa kusiyana ndi ndalama zina. Ndondomeko yazachuma ya New Zealand Central Bank ikuyenera kuthandizidwa ndi zovuta zachuma zapakhomo. Kubwereranso kwa zokopa alendo ndi maphunziro kudzalimbikitsa chuma.

Mitengo ya mkaka ndi nkhalango (zogulitsa ziwiri zazikuluzikulu zotumizidwa kunja) zikadali zokwera kwambiri kuposa zaka zisanu zapitazi. Ngakhale patakhala kuwongolera mu 2022, makampani ogulitsa kunja akuyenera kupitiliza kuthandizira kuchira. Komabe, chiwopsezo chachikulu chomwe dola yaku New Zealand idakumana nacho mu 2022 ndi malingaliro okhudzana ndi China, omwe sanatsimikizikebe chifukwa cha kuphwanya kwa boma pamafakitale ena komanso kuchepa kwachuma komwe kungachitike.

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