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KEPUTUSAN

The US dollar (DXY) experienced a sharp decline in the early North American session which boosted gold (XAU/USD) prices to the $1,991 level. The yellow metal grew by about $50 from its daily low, recording a daily high of $1,991 (its highest point since August 11) before retreating to $1,980 where it currently is.

Gold has now pared more than half of the losses it suffered in last week’s collapse, which saw the commodity drop from $2,030 to $1,860. The precious metal rebounded in the American session on the back of a subdued USD coupled with strong technical support.

Meanwhile, analysts at Citibank have forecasted that gold will likely reach $2,100 within the next three months and $2,300 in six to twelve months. They cite the outstanding pace of ETF investor inflows (which weakens the dollar) and negative real yields as the major proponents for gold’s rally.

Ramalan Nilai Emas (XAU) - 17 Ogos

Bias Utama XAU / USD: Bulis

Tahap Bekalan: $ 1,990, $ 2,000, dan $ 2,015

Tahap Permintaan: $ 1,950, $ 1,930, dan $ 1,900

As projected in this morning’s analysis, gold has broken into a bull-run and has snapped the $1,960 resistance, climbing over the top of the $1983 resistance (the top line of our consolidation range) and has now returned into the region. We expect to see further gains in the near-term as our MACD is now just slightly above its neutral point. However, a slight retrace to the $1,960 could be seen before the surge occurs.

That said, the $2,015 resistance is now our next target to look out for.

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