Tsis txhob nqis peev tshwj tsis yog tias koj npaj yuav poob tag nrho cov nyiaj koj nqis peev. Qhov no yog kev nqis peev uas muaj kev pheej hmoo siab thiab koj tsis zoo li yuav raug tiv thaiv yog tias muaj qee yam yuam kev. Siv 2 feeb los kawm ntxiv
Kev pabcuam luam tawm. Peb Algo cia li qhib thiab kaw kev lag luam.
L2T Algo muab cov txiaj ntsig tau zoo heev nrog kev pheej hmoo tsawg.
24/7 cryptocurrency trading. Thaum koj pw, peb pauv.
10 feeb teeb nrog ntau qhov zoo. Phau ntawv yog muab nrog kev yuav khoom.
79% Kev vam meej. Peb cov txiaj ntsig yuav zoo siab rau koj.
Txog li 70 kev lag luam hauv ib hlis. Muaj ntau tshaj 5 khub muaj.
Kev tso npe txhua hli pib ntawm £ 58.
FAIL!
Ntau xyoo dhau los, Jeff Bezos zaum ntawm theem thiab muab nws qhov zais zais loj tshaj plaws rau kev ua tiav.
Tsis yog, nws tsis yog "obsessively tsom rau cov neeg siv khoom ntau dua li cov neeg sib tw."
Txawm hais tias qhov ntawd yog qhov tseem ceeb.
Tsis yog, nws tsis muaj "kev tsis ncaj ncees rau kev ua."
Zoo, tab sis tsis heev muaj.
Nws tsis yog txawm hais txog lub zog ntawm kev teeb tsa lub hom phiaj siab thiab "xav loj."
Tag nrho cov no yog qhov tseem ceeb rau Bezos txoj kev vam meej, tab sis lawv tag nrho cov hniav tsis nkag siab ib qho yooj yim: kos duab ntawm asymmetric bet.
Hauv Bezos tus kheej cov lus:
"Yog tias kuv hais tias koj muaj 10% txoj hauv kev ntawm 100x rov qab, koj yuav tsum tau txais qhov thawj koom ruam txhua zaus. Koj tseem yuav yuam kev cuaj ntawm kaum zaug. Nws yuav hnov qhov phem cuaj tawm ntawm kaum zaus ... tab sis qhov nyiaj tau los yog qhov tsis zoo. "
Nws piav qhia ntxiv nrog ib qho piv txwv:
Yog tias koj viav vias rau laj kab, koj yuav tawm tsam ntau ...
Thiab koj tseem yuav ntaus ntau lub tsev khiav.
Tab sis muaj qhov sib txawv loj ntawm baseball thiab nqis peev.
Koj lub xub ntiag yog capped hauv baseball. Qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm kev khiav koj tuaj yeem tau txais hauv baseball yog plaub.
Nrog kev nqis peev, nws txawv.
Kev khiav hauv tsev tuaj yeem rake hauv ib txhiab khiav. Tej zaum ntau.
Lub Art of Asymmetric Opportunities
Asymmetric cov hauv kev xa mus rau kev nqis peev lossis kev cog lus uas ua rau cov nyiaj rov qab tsis zoo piv rau lawv cov kev pheej hmoo.
Cov kev nqis peev no zoo li cov txiv hmab txiv ntoo siav hauv hav zoov. Lawv xav tau kev txheeb xyuas ntxov - nyob rau hauv lub qhov rais txwv - thiab, yog, kev tsis ncaj ncees rau kev nqis tes ua.
Feem ntau, lawv tsuas yog pom tseeb hauv kev pom tom qab.
Bitcoin yog tus piv txwv nto moo tshaj plaws ntawm lub xyoo pua 21st.
Nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb, yog vim li cas tsis yuav koj pov $100 rau hauv ib qho kev sim me me txiaj hu ua Bitcoin hauv 2012?
Cov neeg feem coob tsis ua. Ib txhia ntawm lawv tseem pw tsaug zog hmo ntuj xav tias yuav ua li cas…
Txawm hais tias lawv tau txais ib puas $ 100 thawj koom ruam xyoo ntawd thiab 99 ntawm lawv ua tsis tiav ... lawv yuav tau teeb tsa lub neej los ntawm ib qho me me Bitcoin thawj koom ruam.
Txawm hais tias lawv tau txais kaum txhiab $ 100 thawj koom ruam - hauv txhua yam los ntawm cov nyiaj tsis paub meej rau cov nyiaj npib - thiab 9,999 ntawm lawv mus rau ZERO… tib yam.
$ 100 hauv Bitcoin hauv 2010 muaj nqis tshaj $ 69 lab hnub no.
Yuav tau ua…
Yog lawm. Pom cov cib fim no yooj yim hais dua li ua tiav, kuv paub.
Tab sis qhov no yog "cov ntses zais cia" ntawm cov txiv neej nyiam Bezos (thiab cov txiv neej nyiam Altucher, ib yam nkaus).
Lawv coj asymmetric bets nyob rau hauv qee yam - tej zaum txhua yam - ntawm lawv lub neej ...
Lawv ua tsis tau tejyam ntau dua li lawv yeej…
Tab sis lawv paub txhua yam lawv xav tau yog ib lub hli.
Rau cov neeg ua lag luam, nws zoo li qhov no:
1.] Txheeb xyuas qhov fringe/cringe/hated/obscure, tab sis muaj peev xwm exponential bets.
2.] Nyeem. Nyeem. Nyeem.
3.] Siv ntau qhov kev ntsuas ntsuas.
4.] Rov ua dua.
Nws tsuas yog siv ib lossis ob qho ntawm cov thawj koom ruam no los ua Tesla lossis Amazon los teeb tsa koj rau lub neej.
Author: Chris Campbell
Tau qhov twg los: AltucherConfidential
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