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Yesterday’s decline was met with strong support at the $1906 line (the 50 SMA on the daily chart), where it was able to facilitate a modest bounce. The bounce was likely as a result of the fresh flight to safety amid a strong sell-off in the US stock markets.
With the global Coronavirus cases still increasing and lingering doubts over a strong US economic recovery in the near-term, AstraZeneca’s recent halt of its Coronavirus vaccine testing spurred panic in investors. This, consequently, bolstered demand for safe-haven assets, including gold.
The global risk sentiment was further disrupted by the renewed risk of a no-deal Brexit. Worries erupted after the U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson threatened to abandon the Brexit talks if a deal was not agreed on by mid-October.
However, a decent uptick in the US equity futures ensured that the yellow metal stayed beaten-down. Additionally, steady buying interest for the US dollar (DXY) limited further gains for the dollar-denominated commodity, which has kept it range-bound on early Wednesday.
Nyiaj (XAU) Kev Qhia Txog Huab Cua - Cuaj Hli 9
XAU / USD Qhov Tseem Ceeb: Bearish
Cov Qib Pab: $ 1940, $ 1960, thiab $ 1983
Xav Tau Qib: $ 1923, $ 1906, thiab $ 1900
Based on an indication from our chart, gold is on the verge of a strong breakout to the downside. On the daily chart, we can see that a triangle pattern has emerged, which is usually indicative of a breakout. However, given gold’s consistent failure to climb above the upward-facing line, a bearish breakout could occur as bulls have run out of steam.
That said, strong support remains at $1906 (50 SMA). A break below that level could open gold up to the upper-$1800 levels.
On the flip side, a sustained move above the $1940-45 resistance area could ease the bearish pressure significantly.
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