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He aha ka uku panee?

ʻEhia mau manawa āu i lohe ai i ka huaʻōlelo uku pānaʻi? He mau kaukani kaʻu e pili ana, e pili ana i ka lōʻihi o kou noho ʻana ma kēia ʻoihana. Ua haʻi pinepine kā mākou hui iā ia i kā mākou hōʻano hou i kēlā me kēia lā a me ka nānā ʻana i kēlā me kēia pule a loaʻa kekahi mau ʻatikala e pili ana i nā panakō waena, e pili ana i kēia mau uku. Loaʻa iā mākou kahi hoʻolālā forex e pili ana i ka uku uku. Akā, e noʻonoʻo hohonu kākou i ka uku pānaʻi, he aha lākou, a pehea lākou e pili ai i ka mākeke forex.

ʻO ka mea maʻamau, ke lohe ka poʻe maʻamau e pili ana i ka uku paneʻe, noʻonoʻo lākou i ka pākēneka makahiki o ka moraki a i ʻole ka hōʻaiʻē a lākou e uku ai i ka panakō no ka hoʻohana ʻana i ke kālā o ka panakō no ke kālā kūʻai ʻana i ko lākou home - a pololei kēlā. ʻO ka uku paneʻe ka hapa makahiki āu e uku ai i ka mea hāʻawi kālā no ke kālā āu i ʻaiʻē ai.

E ʻōlelo mākou, ua lawe ʻoe i kahi moraki $100,000 e kūʻai i hale. Ua helu ʻia a hōʻike ʻia nā uku ukupanee i kēlā me kēia makahiki, no laila, me ka 4% uku panee, e uku ʻoe i $4,000 i ka makahiki i ka mea nāna e hāʻawi aku i ke kumu, ʻo ia ka $100,000 moraki. Inā loaʻa iā ʻoe kahi moraki 20 makahiki a laila e uku ʻoe i $80,000 hou i ka panakō.

Akā ʻaʻole ʻo ia ka mea a ka jargon forex e pili ana i ka wā e haʻi ai mākou i ka uku ukupanee. Ua helu ʻia lākou ma ke ʻano like akā, ʻo ka uku paneʻe i ka forex ʻo ia ka uku e uku ai nā panakō ʻelua i kahi panakō waena e hoʻohana i kāna kālā. Hāʻawi nā panakō waena i ke kālā i nā panakō pae ʻelua a no kēia, pono lākou e uku i ka ukupanee. ʻO kēia ka uku panee a mākou e kuhikuhi ai i ka forex.

ʻO wai ka mea e hoʻomalu i ka uku panee a no ke aha lākou e neʻe ai?

Eia nō naʻe, aia kekahi uku pānaʻi ma forex. Ma waho aʻe o ka hōʻaiʻē kālā, ʻo nā panakō pae ʻelua a me nā waihona waihona ʻē aʻe e waiho i kā lākou kālā ʻē aʻe ma ka panakō waena ma ke ʻano he wahi palekana loa e mālama ai. No kēia, loaʻa iā lākou ka uku paneʻe. Ma kēia ʻatikala, e nānā mākou i ka helu mua, i ʻike ʻia ʻo ka uku uku nui

Inā makemake ʻoe e kūʻai i ka uku pānaʻi, pono ʻoe e hoʻomaopopo iā lākou

Ma muli o ka hoʻoholo ʻana o ka panakō waena e hoʻoneʻe i nā uku i luna a i lalo paha, ʻo ia ka waihona kikowaena e hoʻonohonoho i nā uku. Akā, ʻaʻole ia he kino paʻa. ʻO nā panakō waena he mau lālā, a ʻo lākou a pau e koho e piʻi a ʻoki paha i ka uku panee ma kēlā me kēia hālāwai kūhelu. ʻO ka helu o nā lālā e pili ana i ka panakō; ʻEiwa mau lālā o ka Bank of England (BOE), ʻo ka Federal Reserve (FED) 12 lālā a me ka European Central Bank (ECB) he 25 mau lālā o ka papa. Ua lawe nui ka hoʻokele waiwai i nā makahiki i hala aku nei i ka wā e pili ana i ke kulekele kālā o nā panakō waena.

Pehea ka hopena o ka uku paneʻe i ke kālepa fx

Aia mākou i loko o ka ʻoihana forex a makemake mākou āpau i ke kumu a pehea e pili ai nā hana a ka panakō waena i ka mākeke forex. Akā ʻaʻole paʻakikī loa ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana. ʻO ka haʻahaʻa o ka uku paneʻe, ʻo ka liʻiliʻi o ka makemake o nā panakō pae ʻelua e mālama i ke kālā i waiho ʻia ma ke kikowaena waena, no laila, ʻoi aku ka nui o ke kālā i ke kaʻa ʻana. Ua ʻike mākou he waiwai ke kālā e like me nā mea ʻē aʻe, no laila ʻoi aku ka nui o nā waiwai a puni, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi.

E ʻike kākou i kekahi laʻana, ua lōʻihi ka hoʻokele waiwai o Iapana, no laila, ʻo ka Bank of Japan (BOJ) i ʻoki ʻelua i ka uku paneʻe i loko o nā makahiki 5 i hala aku nei, ʻo ia hoʻi, inā mālama nā waihona pae ʻelua i ka kālā i waiho ʻia ma ka BOJ e uku lākou i ka ukupanee i ka BOJ. ʻAʻole makemake nā panakō nui kūloko a me ka honua e uku i ka uku 0.10% no laila makemake lākou e hoʻihoʻi i ka Yen i waiho ʻia ma ka BOJ ma mua o ka hoʻolei ʻana i ka ʻoihana. ʻO kēia ka pōmaikaʻi i ka hoʻokele waiwai Iapana, a mākou e ʻike nei, akā nāwaliwali ke kālā no ka mea ʻoi aku ka nui o ka Yen i ke kahe. E like me kāu e ʻike ai mai ka pakuhi ma lalo o USD/YEN ua piʻi i nā manawa ʻelua i ka wā i ʻoki ʻia ai ka nui o ka uku.

I kēia manawa, ʻekolu mau manawa o ka hopena o ke kumu kūʻai i ka wā e hōʻemi ʻia ai nā uku ukupanee:

1. Ma mua o ka ʻoki ʻana ma muli o ka manaʻo o ka mākeke
2. I nā hola mua ma hope pono o ka ʻoki ʻana
3. I loko o nā pule/mahina ma hope o ka ʻoki ʻana e like me ka hihia ma lalo nei

Aia nā mea a pau i ke kumu kūʻai ʻana o ka ʻoki a me ke ʻano o ka mākeke forex. Inā ua aʻo ʻia ka mākeke e ka panakō waena e hiki mai ana kahi hōʻemi / hike, a laila ua manaʻo ka mākeke ʻaʻohe mea kupanaha. ʻO nā haʻohaʻo e alakaʻi i ka hopena o ka naʻau, ʻoi aku ka nui o nā haneli pips i nā minuke / hola mua a hahai ʻia e kahi neʻe ʻoi aku ka nui i nā lā / pule a i ʻole nā ​​mahina e hiki mai ana, e pili ana i ke ʻano o ka nui o ka ʻoki / piʻi ʻana. Pono ia i ka ʻike kūpono no ka wehewehe ʻana i ka pane kūpono o ka ʻoki ʻana i ka uku paneʻe, akā hiki iā ʻoe ke hahai i kā mākou mākeke i kēlā me kēia lā e aʻo i ka hopena o ka mākeke i kēlā me kēia lā.

Ua piʻi aʻe ka USD / JPY ma mua o 50 keneta ma hope o ke komo ʻana o BOJ

Nā laʻana o ka pane makeke i nā hoʻololi o ka uku paneʻe

ʻO ka mea maʻamau, ke hele nei ke kumukūʻai o ke kālā pili i ka ʻaoʻao like me ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku paneʻe, ʻo ia hoʻi i ka wā e ʻoki ʻia ai nā kumukūʻai, e emi ana ke kālā, a i ka wā e piʻi ai nā kumukūʻai e mahalo ʻia ke kālā. Akā aia kekahi mau manawa e neʻe ai ke kumukūʻai a me ka hoʻoholo pākēneka i nā ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, no laila e nānā kākou i nā hiʻohiʻona ʻelua me ka hoʻohana ʻana i ʻelua mau hiʻohiʻona hou.

ʻO ka mea mua, e nānā i ka EUR / USD i ka wā i piʻi ai ka FED i ka uku paneʻe mai 0.25% a i 0.50% i Dekemaba 2015. Ma mua o ka hoʻolaha ʻana, ke neʻe nei ka EUR / USD akā i ka manawa i hoʻolaha ʻia ai ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku. Ua hoʻomaka ke kumukūʻai e hoʻoheheʻe, ʻo ia hoʻi ua ikaika ka USD - ʻelua mau lā ma hope mai ua loaʻa i kēia pālua he 200 pips haʻahaʻa. He neʻe i manaʻo nui ʻia mai ka FED a, no laila, ʻaʻole ia he mea kahaha nui. No ka mea ʻaʻole ikaika loa ka neʻe ʻana, ua hoʻomau ka EUR / USD i ke kālepa kokoke i nā haʻahaʻa ma waena o 1.08 a me 1.10 no kekahi mau pule.

Ua hoʻoneʻe ka EUR / USD i ka 200 pips i lalo i ka wā i piʻi ai ka FED i nā kumukūʻai akā ua pana i ka 300 pips kiʻekiʻe i ka wā i ʻoki ai ka ECB iā lākou.

Ma ka lua o ka laʻana, (ka lua o ka pua ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻākau o ka pakuhi), ua ʻoki ka ECB i ka uku panee kālā mai 0.05% a i 0% a me nā kumukūʻai waihona mai -0.20% a -0.30%. Ua nalowale ka Euro i ka 200 pips i manaʻo ʻia ʻo ia ka hopena kūpono. A laila hoʻohuli a pani i ka lā ma kahi o 450 pips kiʻekiʻe. He aha ka mea i hana ʻia? Ma hope o ka ʻoki ʻana o ka ECB i nā kumukūʻai ʻelua a hoʻohui i ka QE hou, ua hiki mai ka mākeke i ka hopena o ka ECB i waho o ka mea kaua a e kōkua kēia mau hana i ka hoʻokele Eurozone - he maikaʻi no ka Euro i ka wā lōʻihi, a no laila, nā mea hoʻopukapuka. ua wikiwiki lākou e hoʻonohonoho hou iā lākou iho.

ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, ua lilo kēia i mea maikaʻi ʻole no ka USD no ka mea ʻo ka mea i hoʻomaka me ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i ka EUR / USD ua lilo i kūʻai ākea USD no ka mea ua nalowale ka USD i mau haneli pips e kūʻē i nā pālua ʻē aʻe i kēlā lā. No laila, inā ʻike ʻoe i kahi hoʻoholo uku paneʻe ma ka kalena a makemake ʻoe e kālepa, e loiloi i nā kumu āpau. Ua kūʻai ʻia i loko, he mea kāhāhā, pehea ka nui o ke ʻoki/hike?

E like me kāu e ʻike ai, pili maoli ka uku pānaʻi i ka mākeke forex. I kekahi manawa ua liʻiliʻi ka hopena no ka mea ke manaʻo nei ka mākeke i ka piʻi ʻana a i ʻole ka ʻoki ʻana i nā kumukūʻai, a i kekahi manawa ʻo ka neʻe ʻana mai kahi waihona kikowaena e hele mai me he mea kupanaha, e loaʻa ana ka hopena nui. ʻO ka manawa pinepine, ke hele nei ke kumukūʻai o ke kālā pili i ka ʻaoʻao like me ka uku panee akā ʻaʻole i nā manawa a pau, no laila pono ʻoe e makaʻala i ka heluhelu ʻana i ka hana kumukūʻai a nānā i nā kumu ʻē aʻe he nui.