Kuhi makahiki no Nasdaq 100 (2021): E kakali i nā hōʻeuʻeu ʻo Bullish, akā e hoʻomau i ka volatility i ka noʻonoʻo

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Ua piha ʻo 2020 i nā mea pūʻiwa - e ʻōlelo i ka mea liʻiliʻi loa - no Wall Street a he makahiki maikaʻi ia no nā mea hoʻopukapuka, e like me ka nānā ʻana i 2021.

Ke kālepa aku nei ʻo Nasdaq 100 (NDX) kokoke i kona kiʻekiʻe loa ma waena o kahi mākeke bipi huhū. ʻOiai paha he mea maʻamau kēia, hoʻomaka ʻoe e ʻike i ka mākaukau i kēia hana ke noʻonoʻo ʻoe i ka ulia pōpilikia i kū ma mua o kēia makahiki.

Ma kahi o hoʻokahi mahina, ua haki ka NDX ma kahi o 30%, i ka mea i kau ʻia ma ka mākeke bear maikaʻi loa i nā makahiki he XNUMX i hala. I kekahi manawa i ka mākeke bear, ke ʻike nei ka papa kuhikuhi i nā hōʻole helu pālua i hoʻokahi lā, no ka mea ua holoi ʻia nā loaʻa āpau o ka makahiki i kekahi mau lā.

ʻOiaʻiʻo, nā ʻenehana ʻenehana, a me ka mākeke kūʻai maʻamau, rebound loa i nā mahina e hiki mai ana. I ka mahina ʻo Iune, ua hoʻopaʻa ka NDX i kahi ATH hou, a he kiʻekiʻena kiʻekiʻe hou ia ma hope o ke kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe mai ia manawa.

Ke hele nei mākou i ka makahiki hou, pono e mālama nā mea hoʻopukapuka i nā bipi ʻāhiu a me nā holo bear o 2020 i ka manaʻo. Ua ʻōlelo ʻia nā mea loiloi o Wall Street e hoʻomau ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai i luna, akā naʻe, akahele pū kekahi e hiki mai kēia ma waena o ka nui o ka volatility — me nā manaʻolana o nā mea hou aku.

ʻO kēlā, ʻo kekahi o nā kumu e hoʻonāukiuki paha i ka mākeke me:

Nā Hoʻolālā ma nā Vaccines Covid-19

Ke manaʻo nei e hoʻomau ka maʻi maʻi COVID-19 i 2021, nā hoʻolaha e pili ana i nā lāʻau āpau e hoʻomau i ko lākou mana ikaika ma nā mākeke.

ʻO Stalemate politika ma Wakinekona

ʻO nā kūlike ʻole politika a me nā koho balota ma waena o nā Repubalika a me nā Democrats e lilo ia i kumu no ka volatility mau loa no ka NDX, e hoʻomaka ana me nā koho balota o ko Senate Senate ma Ianuali 5.

Kuhi uku paneʻe Fed

E like me ke kahakaha ʻana o nā panakō ma nā wahi āpau o ka honua i nā uku paneʻe a mālama ʻo US Fed ma kahi kokoke i ka ʻole, e hoʻomau ka rally rally. ʻ saidlelo ʻia, ʻaʻole e ʻike ʻo 2021 i ka nui o nā uku paneʻe e hoʻonui ana, ʻo ia hoʻi e hoʻomau hou ka NAS100 i kāna ATH.

ʻO nā kumu ʻē aʻe e pili ana i ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele a me nā loaʻa kālā o nā ʻoihana, nā kaʻina lālā, a me nā kamaʻilio stimulus US.

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Wanana Kūpono - 2021

ʻO NDX 2021 Bias: ʻO Bullish

Nā Papa Hana: 13000, 14000, a me 15000.

Nā Pae Koi: 12200, 11000, a me 9700.

E like me ka mea i ʻōlelo ʻia ma luna, kiʻekiʻe loa nā prospect no ka mākeke bipi o kēia manawa i 2021, ʻoiai ma ka ʻenehana. Eia nō naʻe, ke holo nei ka papa kuhikuhi ma ka ʻāina i kūʻai mua ʻia a pono e kōkua i kahi hoʻoponopono olakino koke. ʻO ia, manaʻo mākou e ʻike i kahi hoʻoponopono i nā pule e hiki mai ana a me nā mahina i ka 12200 wahi, a ukali ʻia e kahi rebound ikaika i luna.

I kēia manawa, ʻo ko mākou manaʻo haʻahaʻa no ka NDX i ka makahiki e hiki mai ana ʻo 11000, ʻoiai ko mākou manaʻo kiʻekiʻe loa he 15000.

'Ōlelo Aʻo: E aʻo2. ʻAʻole aʻoaʻo ʻo Matade i aʻoaʻo aʻoaʻo kālā. E hana i kāu noiʻi ma mua o ka hoʻopukapuka ʻana i kāu kālā i kekahi waiwai kālā a i hōʻike ʻia i ka huahana a hanana paha. ʻAʻole mākou kuleana no kāu hopena hopena hoʻopukapuka.