Forex Trading Versus Binary Options: ʻO wai ka mea ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi? (Mahele 2)

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Nā Hua

"No ka holomua, pono ʻoe e hoʻomanaʻo ʻo ke ala wale nō e hiki ai iā ʻoe ke hoʻomau i ka hana e pale i kāu moʻokāki mai kahi pilikia nui a i ʻole, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka pōʻino. ʻO ka pale ʻana i nā poho nui ka mea nui loa no ka lanakila nui ʻana ma ke ʻano he speculator. ʻAʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻomalu i ka nui o ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai, akā i ka hapanui o nā hihia, inā ʻoe e lawe i kahi poho liʻiliʻi a i ʻole pohō nui, ʻo ia kāu koho. Hoʻokahi mea hiki iā mākou ke hōʻoiaʻiʻo: inā ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke aʻo i ka ʻae ʻana i nā poho liʻiliʻi, ma hope a ma hope paha e lawe ʻoe i nā poho nui. ʻAʻole hiki ke pale ʻia. - Mark Minervini (Source: Tradersonline-mag.com)

ʻO kēia wale nō ka hoʻopiʻi ʻana i nā moʻolelo e pili ana i nā koho binary (i kapa ʻia hoʻi i nā manawa paʻa), e wehe ana i ko mākou mau maka i nā ʻoiaʻiʻo.

Nā hoʻopaʻapaʻa e pili ana i nā koho binary
Ma muli o kona maʻalahi maʻalahi, nui ka poʻe i hoihoi i nā koho binary, me ka manaʻo Forex pono e maa iki. ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, nui nā mea i kapa ʻia nā loea koho binary i kākau i kekahi mau ʻōlelo hoʻopaʻapaʻa no ke koho ʻana i nā koho binary, a ma kekahi ʻano ua pololei lākou.

Ua manaʻo paha ʻoe ua loaʻa i nā koho binary (BO) kekahi mau mea maikaʻi ma mua o Forex? ʻAe, e nānā kākou i kekahi mau pōmaikaʻi a ka poʻe akamai i ʻōlelo ai iā BO a ʻike inā ʻaʻole nā pōmaikaʻi ma Forex.

Kaʻao 1
Hoʻokumu ʻia ʻo BO i ka manawa a ʻo FX e pili ana i ke kumukūʻai. ʻO ka hapa nui o nā mea kālepa FX e nānā i ka manawa i kā lākou kālepa ʻana aʻo nā mea kālepa BO e ʻike i ka manawa.

aku o ka lanakila
ʻAʻole mālama ka mākeke inā kūʻai ʻoe ma muli o ke kumukūʻai a i ʻole ka manawa. Hiki iā ʻoe ke komo me kahi manawa kikoʻī a i ʻole ke kumu kūʻai kikoʻī, akā ʻaʻole ia e hōʻoiaʻiʻo i kekahi mea. E hana ʻo ia i kāna mea e hana ai me ka ʻole o ka noʻonoʻo ʻana iā ʻoe, a hiki kēia i kou makemake a kūʻē paha iā ʻoe, inā ʻoe e kālepa BO a i ʻole FX. Ua hewa paha kāu manawa a i ʻole ma hope a ʻaʻole loa. Ua pololei paha kāu manawa a i ʻole ma hope a ʻaʻole loa. He wahi liʻiliʻi kēia i kāu holomua.

Kaʻao 2
Ua koi ʻia nā mea kālepa BO e haʻalele i kahi kūlana i kahi manawa i hāʻawi ʻia me ka lanakila a i ʻole ka pohō. No ka mea ua koi ʻia lākou e hana i kēia, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi ma mua o nā mea kālepa FX hiki ke hōʻole i ka haʻalele ʻana i kahi kūlana me ka lanakila a i ʻole ka pohō ma muli o ka manaʻo a me ka makaʻu.

aku o ka lanakila
ʻAe hiki i nā mea kālepa FX novice ke paʻa i nā kūlana nalo a hoʻopau i nā mea lanakila, ʻo ia kahi ala kālepa maikaʻi ʻole. Akā ʻo nā mea kālepa i hoʻopaʻi ʻia e ʻoki i kā lākou pohō a hāʻawi i kā lākou lanakila i kahi ala. ʻO ke koi ʻia ʻana e haʻalele i ka manawa i hāʻawi ʻia ʻaʻole ia e lilo ʻoe i mea kālepa waiwai loa; inā ʻaʻole, ʻoi aku ka lua o nā ʻōnaehana automated. Ke koi ʻia e haʻalele i nā pae i koho mua ʻia ʻaʻole hiki ke kōkua inā ʻino kāu ala kālepa a loaʻa i ka mākeke kahi manaʻolana maikaʻi ʻole. ʻOi aku ka ʻoluʻolu o ka hoʻopaʻi ʻana iā ʻoe iho ma mua o ka hoʻopaʻi ʻana a kekahi iā ʻoe.

Ua pilikia nā mea kālepa BO i ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana e kūʻē i ko lākou makemake, ʻoiai ʻo ka pilikia nui loa ka loaʻa kālā, ʻaʻole naʻe ka nui o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana i nā manawa pau. Ma FX, ʻoluʻolu mākou e haʻalele i ko mākou manawa kūpono. Hiki iā mākou ke hoʻomau i ka loaʻa kālā i mea e hoʻonui ai. Mai Malaki 3 - 11, 2015, ua loaʻa iaʻu kahi 500 pips inā lōʻihi wau i ka USDCHF a hoʻokuʻu wau i kaʻu loaʻa kālā.
Kaʻao 3
Kōkua ʻo BO i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana i nā manaʻo no ka mea ua paʻa a hoʻoholo mua ʻia ka pilikia a me ka uku a me ka pau ʻana.

aku o ka lanakila
ʻAʻole pale ʻia nā mea kālepa āpau ma nā mākeke kālā āpau i nā manaʻo, no laila ʻaʻole ʻokoʻa ʻo BO. Loaʻa ka lanakila mau ma ke kālepa ʻana i kahi ana o ka mana hoʻokele o kā mākou mau kūlana. ʻAʻole hiki kēia ma BO, no ka mea, ʻaʻole ʻoe e kōkua i ka wā e wehe ai kahi kūlana, e kali ana no ka pau ʻana.

Ke noʻonoʻo nei i nā moʻoʻōlelo a me nā ʻoiaʻiʻo ma luna, makemake wau e hoʻokaʻawale i kekahi mau kuhi hewa i lawe ʻia e kekahi mau mea kālepa BO i ko lākou poʻo a me nā ʻoiaʻiʻo e pili ana i nā kuhi hewa.

Kiʻekiʻe Pololei Fallacy
Wahi a kekahi kumu, pono ʻo BO ma kona ʻano he ʻoi aku ka nui o ka lanakila ma muli o kēlā me kēia bet i helu ʻia 70% - 90% loaʻa i ka 100% nalowale. No laila, pono ʻoe e hoʻokō ma ke ʻano he mea kālepa BO i ka lanakila lanakila ma luna o 50% ma ka awelika 54% - 58% e haki wale.

ʻO kaʻoiaʻiʻo, i ka wā lōʻihi,ʻaʻole hiki i kekahi ke hoʻokō ma mua o 50% pololei. ʻO 80%, 90%, 75% a me nā helu pānaʻi he wahaheʻe i ka hopena. He ʻoiaʻiʻo paha lākou i ka hope, akā ʻaʻole i nā mākeke ola. ʻO nā scalpers i pilikia i ka 500 USD e loaʻa i ka 2 USD no ke kālepa ʻana i ke kālepa FX e like me ke kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe, akā e hāʻule nui kēia i ka wā e hoʻemi ʻia ai nā kumukūʻai.

He kuhi hewa ka manaʻo he kamepiula, automated, custom, alien, astronomical, spiritual, mental, discretionary, fundamental, manual, etc. nā hoʻolālā e hiki ai iā mākou ke loaʻa i kahi pākuʻi ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe ma mua o 50% i ka wā e hiki mai ana. E haʻi mai nā mea kūʻai aku a me nā mea kālepa novice iā mākou, akā nui ka poʻe i nalowale i ke kālā me nā ʻōnaehana i hoʻohiki ʻia e lawe i ka pololei kiʻekiʻe loa no ka mea ʻaʻole hiki ke wānana ʻia ka manawa e hiki mai ana. Hiki ke hāʻule i ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana i kahi mea maikaʻi loa i ke kumumanaʻo a hiki ke hoʻohuli ʻia ke ʻano o kahi hoʻolālā kūpono e kekahi kumu ma mua o ko mākou mana.

Hoʻopunipuni pinepine ʻia nā mea kālepa BO i ka manaʻoʻiʻo hiki iā lākou ke hoʻokō i ka helu pā o 70% a ʻoi aku paha. Hiki paha iā ʻoe ke hana i kēlā me ka hoʻolei ʻana i ke kālā me ka pau ʻole. No ka maikaʻi a i ʻole ka paʻakikī o kāu hoʻolālā a i ʻole ka hōʻailona, ua hōʻoia ʻia ʻoe he 50% wale nō ka nui o ka hopena a i ʻole ka liʻiliʻi ma ka holo lōʻihi. I ka wā e hoʻolei ʻole ai i ke kālā, ʻo ka ʻāpana ma waena o nā poʻo a me nā huelo e kaulike ʻia ma 50/50.

Eia nō naʻe, hiki i nā manawa ke paʻi ʻia nā poʻo ma mua o nā huelo i loko o nā pule a i ʻole mau mahina (a i ʻole mau makahiki). Loaʻa iā ʻoe nā poʻo 10 manawa, a me nā huelo 2 manawa. A laila e poʻo hou 8 manawa a me nā huelo 3 manawa. A laila poʻo 9 manawa a huelo 4 manawa. Hāʻawi kēia iā ʻoe i kahi manaʻo hoʻopunipuni he ala kālepa ʻoe me ka pololei kiʻekiʻe, me ka ʻole o ʻoe e ʻike ʻo ia ka lanakila ʻana i nā streaks ke kumu o ia. Ma ke kumu lōʻihi, huli nā mea i ke ala ʻē aʻe a piʻi ʻoe i 50% no ka mea e hoʻomaka ana ka huelo ma mua o ke poʻo (e like me ka loaʻa ʻana o ka huelo 9 manawa a me ke poʻo 2 manawa).

ʻO ke ala wale nō e ola ai, ʻo ia ka loaʻa kālā hou aʻe i nā manawa lanakila ma mua o kou nalowale ʻana i nā wā nalowale. ʻAe ʻo BO i kēia?

Hoʻopunipuni ke kālā
He mea koʻikoʻi ka mālama kālā i ke kālepa ʻana i nā mākeke kālā, a no laila ke ʻōlelo nei nā mea kālepa BO hiki iā lākou ke hele i mua me nā ʻano hoʻokele kālā maikaʻi. ʻO kēia ka pilikia: hiki i kahi ala hoʻokele kālā maikaʻi ke kōkua iā ʻoe i kahi pāʻani i ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe o kāu mau pilikia ma mua o kāu mau uku? Pehea ʻoe e ola ai i kahi pāʻani kahi e uku ʻia ai ʻoe he 70 a i ʻole 80 USD no kēlā me kēia 100 USD i kou pilikia?

Inā lanakila ʻoe e loaʻa iā ʻoe ka 80 USD, akā inā e nalowale ʻoe, e nalowale ʻoe i ka 100 USD. Hoʻopiʻi paha ia iā ʻoe? He aha ka mālama kālā hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻohana?

ʻAʻole ia he mea nui inā pilikia ʻoe i ka 1% a i ʻole 0.5% a i ʻole 2% no kēlā me kēia kālepa - loaʻa wale ʻoe i ka liʻiliʻi ma mua o kāu stake no ka mea āu e hana ai. Maikaʻi ka hoʻokele kālā inā ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o kāu mau poho ma mua o kāu mau loaʻa, ʻaʻole ma ke ala ʻē aʻe.

E ʻōlelo mākou e uku ʻia ʻoe i ka 90 USD no kēlā me kēia 100 USD (no ka mea ʻo kēia ka mea kiʻekiʻe loa i hiki ke hāʻawi ʻia e ka mea hoʻolimalima maikaʻi loa) a kau ʻoe i nā kālepa 100 i hoʻokahi makahiki.

E hoʻohana kākou i 100 mau hoʻāʻo me 90% uku uku (ʻo ka hapa nui o nā brokers e uku wale i 50% - 80% o ke kapikala pilikia). E ʻōlelo kākou he 10,000 kāu kapikala; ke manaʻo nei he 1% ka hoʻokele kālā no ke kālepa. 100 x 100 = 10,000.

Ua lanakila ʻoe iā 50%
90 USD X 50 = 4,500 USD

Nalo ʻoe iā 50%
-100 USD X 50 = -5,000 USD

He kūpono paha kēia?

Ma FX, hiki iā mākou ke pilikia i ka 50 USD no ke kālepa e loaʻa iā 200 USD. Me kēia, hiki iā mākou ke lilo i 75% o kā mākou kālepa a loaʻa kālā.

-50 USD X 75 = -3,750 USD (pohō)

200 USD X 25 = 5,000 USD (lanakila)

ʻAʻole kūpono kēia iā ʻoe?
Ka hewa o ka Piliwaiwai
ʻO ke ala wale nō e leʻaleʻa ai i ka kūleʻa lōʻihi ma BO ʻo ia ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā ʻano hoʻohālikelike kūlana Martingale, kahi e hoʻolua ai ʻoe i kāu pila aʻe e uhi ai i ka poho mua (a ʻaʻole kēia e hōʻike i kahi kihi nui iā ia iho). E ʻoluʻolu e ʻimi i ka ʻike ma ka Pūnaewele i mea e ʻike ai i ke ʻano o Martingale a pehea e hana ai.

ʻAʻole kūpono ʻo Martingale no ka hapa nui o nā mea kālepa no ka mea ʻaʻole lawa kā lākou kālā. He pilikia koʻikoʻi kēia. Nui nā mea kālepa e wehe i nā moʻokāki me nā kālā liʻiliʻi loa, a ma lalo o ia mau kūlana, ʻaʻole hiki ke hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻia ka hoʻokele kālā maikaʻi.

ʻO ka mea pōʻino, ʻaʻole maopopo ka poʻe i loaʻa nā moʻolelo nui i nā manaʻo o ke kūlana kūlana maikaʻi a ʻaʻole hoʻi e mahalo i nā manaʻo.

Ke alakaʻi nei kēia iā mākou i ka hewa o ka Gambler. Ke hele nei ʻoe i kahi streak, manaʻo ʻoe e hoʻomaikaʻi ana kou manawa e lanakila ai me nā kūlana aʻe, ʻoiai ʻo kāu mau mea ma mua he pohō. Manaʻo ʻoe ua kokoke nā mea lanakila. ʻO ka pālua ʻana i kāu mau stake me kēlā me kēia poho e hoʻonui i kou negativity a hoʻopau koke i kāu moʻokāki.

Malia paha ma hope o 4 nalo ʻana i nā kālepa, ʻo ia ke kumu kūʻai iā ʻoe he 2,000 USD, pālua ʻoe i kāu stake i 4,000 USD. Hiki iā ʻoe ke loaʻa ka 5 o ka pohō pololei no ka mea aia ʻoe i kahi streak.

ʻOiai ke kali nei ʻoe i 4 mau poho i ka lālani ma mua o ka hoʻoweliweli ʻana i ka 20% o kāu moʻokāki no ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana i nā poho i hala iho nei, ke kū nei ʻoe i ka pilikia o ka mea piliwaiwai no ka mea hiki i kāu kālepa aʻe ke poho, a ʻaʻohe pili kēia i ka mea i loaʻa iā ʻoe i loko. ka hala.

ʻOi aku ka ʻōmaʻomaʻo o ka mauʻu ma kēlā ʻaoʻao o ka pā
Ua inaina kekahi i ka ʻoihana kaʻa a makemake kekahi. ʻO nā pilikia o ka ʻoihana lawe kaʻa (nā pōʻino, hāʻule, kākoʻo haʻahaʻa, poho, pilikia me nā mana, a me nā mea ʻē aʻe) ʻaʻole ia e pale i kekahi poʻe mai ka hana ʻana ma muli o kāna mau uku. Manaʻo kekahi poʻe nele i ka mahiʻai ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka haʻuki. Ke makemake nei kekahi poʻe i hāʻule i ka politika i kēia manawa e hoʻāʻo i ka paʻi ʻana, ʻoiai ʻo ka paʻi ʻana he mau pilikia. Ke makemake nei kekahi poʻe i hoʻohaumia ʻia me nā hana uku ʻia e hoʻāʻo i ka ʻoihana mele; ʻoiai ʻaʻole maʻalahi ka lilo ʻana i mea kaulana a mea hoʻolaha paha. Ua ʻike pū kekahi poʻe i hoʻomaka i kā lākou ʻoihana ʻaʻole maʻalahi ka waiho ʻana i ka waiwai. ʻAʻole makemake kekahi poʻe e hana i kekahi mea me ke kālepa ʻana a hiki i ka haʻahaʻa kālā, me ka pau ʻana o nā koho ʻē aʻe. ʻO ia ka manawa kūpono e lilo i mea kālepa?

Manaʻo ka poʻe ʻaʻole loaʻa kālā me CFD ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi. ʻO ka poʻe inaina i nā mākeke mahele e noʻonoʻo i nā mākeke o ka wā e hiki mai ana. Manaʻo ka poʻe i loaʻa nā pilikia me FX ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o BO.

He aha kāu makemake e hana ai i kou ola? He aha kāu makemake e hana ai no ke ola? He aha kāu e hana ai e kau i ka meaʻai ma kāu pākaukau (a i ʻole e hānai i kāu mau keiki, inā he makua ʻoe)? He pōkole o ke ola: 70 - 90 mau makahiki wale nō, a ʻaʻole hiki i kekahi poʻe i kēlā pae makahiki. He mea ko'iko'i ke ola pōkole inā 'a'ohe kālā a ho'okō 'ia.
Ka Hale
ʻAʻole wau i manaʻo e huhū i nā mea kālepa BO. Maikaʻi ʻo BO a hāʻawi ʻo ia i nā mana maikaʻi, akā makapō ka poʻe i kāna mau pitfalls a me nā hemahema. ʻO kahi ʻoihana e loaʻa mau ana ka waiwai i ʻoi aku ka nui ma mua o nā lilo e hele i kekahi manawa i nā manawa haunaele, ʻoi aku ka ʻoi aku o ka ʻoihana e loaʻa nā waiwai i ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi ma mua o nā lilo!

Inā wau e hana i kahi noi pāʻoihana iā ʻoe, me ka haʻi ʻana iā ʻoe e ʻoi aku ka nui o kāu loaʻa kālā mai ka ʻoihana, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi ma mua o kāu mau lilo a me nā koina ʻē aʻe o ka holo ʻana i ka ʻoihana, e ʻae anei ʻoe i ka noi ʻoihana? He kūpono paha kēlā ʻano ʻoihana iā ʻoe? ʻO ka mea kaumaha, ʻo ia ka ʻoiaʻiʻo mau loa o BO.

ʻAʻole kūpono ka holo ʻana i kahi ʻoihana e ʻoi aku ka nui o nā kumukūʻai ma mua o ka loaʻa kālā. E kālepa wau iā BO wale nō ke hoʻomaka ka poʻe brokers e hāʻawi iā mākou i ka hiki ke loaʻa ka uku i ʻoi aku ka nui ma mua o ka pilikia ma ke kālepa. Eia naʻe, ke manaʻo nei au e hoʻolilo paha kēia iā lākou i kahi demerit.

Ka Hopena: ʻO ka mea hoihoi loa e pili ana i ka mākeke ʻo kona unpredictability. ʻAʻole hauʻoli mau ka manaʻo ʻole o kā mākou ʻoihana kālepa, akā naʻe. Hoʻolālā mākou a hoʻolālā. Hana mākou i nā hoʻolālā kālepa, nā kuhi a me nā manaʻo e pili ana i ka mea a mākou e makemake ai e ʻike i ka hiki ʻana mai i kā mākou portfolios, akā pinepine ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi ma mua o kā mākou koho maikaʻi loa. ʻAʻole maopopo iā mākou he aha ka lā, ka pule, ka mahina a i ʻole ka makahiki.

“No ke aha ʻoe e pāʻani ʻole ai me ka manaʻo hiki iā ʻoe ke hewa a lanakila mau. ʻO ka pololei a i ʻole ka hewa he mea ʻole ia o kou noʻonoʻo. Akā, pehea inā ʻoe i hoʻomohala i kahi ʻōnaehana maikaʻi a hoʻomaʻamaʻa ma muli o ia? ʻAʻole pili ka poho me ka hewa. Ma kahi o ka poho, aia nā mea a pau e pili ana i ka hahai ʻana i kāu ʻōnaehana a ʻaʻole i kuhi hewa…. No laila, pehea ʻoe inā ʻae wale ʻoe i nā poho i ka wā i loaʻa ai iā ʻoe, e ʻae iā lākou e lilo i mau pohō liʻiliʻi a hoʻokuʻu i kāu mau waiwai e holo inā loaʻa kāu kālepa maikaʻi? ʻAʻole anei ʻoe e manaʻo he manaʻo maikaʻi paha ia?" - Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Dr. Van K. Tharp (Source: Vantharp.com)

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