GBP Rebounds, Bank of ʻEnelani Pessimistic liʻiliʻi ma ka hoʻopaʻa paʻa

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Ma kāna hālāwai Kepakemapa, ua koho ka Bank of England iā 9-0 e mālama i ka helu Bank ma 0.1 pakeneka. Ua ʻae nā lālā 7-2 e mālama i ka papahana QE ma kona pae o 895 biliona paona i kēia manawa. Ua kākoʻo nā lālā kūwaho ʻo Michael Saunders a me ka Hope Kiaʻāina Dave Ramsden no ka hōʻemi ʻana i ke kūʻai ʻana o ka waiwai i 840 biliona paona. Ma muli o ka piʻina o nā kumukūʻai ikehu, ua hoʻolaha aku nā mea hana kulekele hiki ke piʻi aʻe ka hoʻonui kālā ma luna o 4% e ka hopena o ka makahiki.

Ma nā mea e pili ana i ka hoʻomohala waiwai, ua hoʻoliʻiliʻi ka panakō waena i kāna nānā maka kālā akā hoʻohaʻahaʻa i kāna wana ulu no kēia makahiki. Ma muli o ka piʻi ʻana o ka hoʻonui kālā ua ʻoi aku ka hoʻomau ma mua o ka hoʻolālā ʻia, ua hoʻolaha aku ke kikowaena waena e hiki ke piʻi i + 4% y / y i ka hopena o ka makahiki, no ka haʻalulu o ke kumukūʻai ikehu. ʻO ka hoʻonui nui ʻana o ke kumukūʻai a me nā kumukūʻai kūʻai nui ma hope e hiki mai ana mai ka ʻAukake Hōʻike "Kahi ʻino i luna i ka MPC i ke kuhi manaʻo hoʻomake kālā mai ʻApelila 2022, a ua manaʻo ʻia e hiki ke hoʻomau ʻia ka hoʻonui CPI ma mua o 4% i 2Q22, like nā mea āpau." e like me nā minuke.

Mai ka halawai hope loa, ka Hoʻokele waiwai UK ua hōʻike i nā hōʻailona o ka māmā ʻana. Ma ka hālāwai, ua hoʻohaʻahaʻa ke Bank of England i kāna wānana ulu GDP, e ʻōlelo ana i nā pilikia o nā kaulahao i kumu no ka lohi. I ka 3Q21, manaʻo ʻia ka ulu GDP e +2.1 pakeneka, ma lalo o ka wānana mua o +2.9 pakeneka a ma kahi o +2.5 pakeneka ma lalo o ka pae ahulau.

ʻOiai ʻaʻole i hoʻoponopono ke kikowaena waena i kekahi o kāna pono hana pilikino pili kālā, ua hoʻouna ʻia i kahi leka hawkish hou aʻe. E hoʻomaka, ʻelua mau lālā, ma mua o hoʻokahi, i koho e hōʻemi i ka nui o nā kūʻai waiwai. ʻO ka lua, ua ʻae nā luna i kēlā "ʻO kekahi mau hanana i ka wā i kū mai nei ua hoʻokūpaʻa i kēlā hoʻopaʻapaʻa [o ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana], ʻoiai he mau kānalua ʻole ka i koe," e like me ka hōʻike. Ma hope o ka nūhou, ua kipi hou ʻo GBPUSD i kahi kiʻekiʻe he ʻekolu mau lā o 1.3711, e hōʻike ana i ka mākeke e wehewehe iā ia ma ke ʻano he hawkish hōʻailona.

ʻO GBP Rebounds ma Bank of England Hawkish Surprise

Ua ola nui ʻo Sterling ma hope o ke koho ʻana o nā lālā ʻelua o ka BoE MPC i ka lepa. ʻO nā hanana hou i kākoʻo hou i ka hihia no ka hoʻoikaika paʻa. Ua hoʻokūpaʻa pū kekahi nā kālā ukana ma muli o ka loaʻa hou ʻana o ka makeke o nā mākeke.

ʻO ka Yen, Swiss Franc, a me Dollar, ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, nāwaliwali i ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana o ka manaʻo hoʻoweliweli. Eia nō naʻe, ke hoʻomau nei ke kālā kālā Pound i kēia pule, ʻoiai ʻo Swiss Franc ka mea ikaika loa.

ʻO ka haki GBP / USD o ka pale liʻiliʻi ma 1.3691 e hōʻike ana ua pau ka hāʻule ʻana mai 1.3912, a manaʻo ʻia kahi hoʻonui nui aʻe e hoʻāʻo hou i kēia pae. Pēlā nō, ʻo ka haki ʻana o 150.80 kūʻē liʻiliʻi i ka GBP / JPY wānana i kahi piʻi nui aʻe i 152.82 kūʻē. ʻO ka nīnau nui inā hiki iā EUR / GBP ke haki ma o 0.8499 a hoʻāʻo i ka pae 0.8448. Ma ka laulaha, ʻike ʻia ʻo Sterling ma ka pae.

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