Haushi Haushi A Japan Yayin Da Dala Ta Fado

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A Japan, yen yana da kyakkyawan mako a makon da ya gabata, amma ya koma yadda yake a yau, yana faɗuwa a rana ta biyu a jere. A yau, ra'ayi mai haɗari yana matsa lamba akan Yen da Dollar. The USD / JPY canjin canji a halin yanzu yana kan 113.91, ya karu da kashi 0.18 na rana. A lokacin zaman New York, GBP / JPY giciye-tsabar kudi sun tashi 0.38 bisa dari, ciniki a 157.15 a lokacin rubuce-rubuce.

Halin masu zuba jari yana da kyau, kamar yadda aka gani ta hanyar haɓaka alkaluman kasuwannin Amurka, wanda ya tashi tsakanin kashi 0.19 zuwa 0.36 bisa ɗari. Duk da hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da kuma tsauraran manufofin hada-hadar kudi, abubuwa kamar su Q3 kyawawan ribar kamfanonin Amurka sun kwantar da hankalin ’yan kasuwar. Bugu da ƙari kuma, haɗarin-kan jin ra'ayi ya raunana yanayin aminci na yen Jafananci, wanda ya ci gaba da kasancewa maras kyau na zaman, yana faduwa kashi 0.39 a kan manyan kudaden G8.

Dangane da manufofin kuɗi, Amurka da Japan suna kan hanya daban-daban. A taron FOMC a mako mai zuwa, ana sa ran Fed zai ƙarfafa manufofin ta hanyar rage shirin sayan haɗin gwiwa. Duk da tabbacin shugaban Fed Powell da cewa "a taper, a, a rating hike no," kasuwanni za su yi hasashe kan lokacin tashin farashin kayayyaki, musamman tare da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da ba a nuna alamun raguwa ba nan da nan. Ana sa ran Fed zai haɓaka ƙima a cikin 2023, amma yana iya faruwa da wuri idan tattalin arzikin Amurka ya inganta da sauri fiye da yadda ake tsammani a shekara mai zuwa.

Haɓakawa a Japan yana ƙaruwa

Tsawon shekaru, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Japan ya yi ƙasa da sifili. Gwamnatoci sun yi ƙoƙari, amma a mafi yawan lokuta sun kasa haifar da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki wanda ya ƙi haɓaka. Japan ta kasance a cikin wani lokaci na raguwa tun 2011, amma wannan yanayin na iya ƙare. CPI bai canza ba a watan Agusta kuma ya tashi 0.1% a watan Satumba (YoY).

Wannan alama ce nasara ta farko tun Maris 2020, lokacin da cutar ta Covid-0.6 ta fara. Babban bankin Japan CPI, wanda shine alamar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da Bankin Japan ya fi so, ya karu da kashi 2019% a watan Satumba, mafi sauri tun watan Yulin XNUMX.

Babban abin da ke haifar da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki shi ne hauhawar farashin makamashi yayin da farashin danyen mai ya yi tashin gwauron zabi na shekaru da dama. Haɓaka hauhawar farashin kayayyaki wani sabon abu ne na rayuwa a duniya, kuma hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Japan ya tashi da kashi 6.3%, matakin da ya kai mafi girma tun 2008. Duk da haka, wannan bai haifar da hauhawar farashin kayan masarufi ba, saboda kasuwancin ba sa son wuce farashi mai yawa ga masu amfani.

Wani sabon kuri'ar jin ra'ayin jama'a ya nuna cewa jam'iyyar LDP mai mulki karkashin sabon firaminista Fumio Kishida, za ta ci gaba da rike rinjaye a majalisar dokokin kasar cikin sauki. Japan za ta kada kuri'a a mako mai zuwa kuma ana sa ran Kishida zai gabatar da karin sassaucin kudi da karin kashe kudade don bunkasa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki. Akwai yuwuwar karin raunin da zai iya rage darajar yen yayin da sauran manyan bankunan tsakiya suka sami kansu a cikin wani yanayi mai ma'ana, wanda ke haifar da karuwar albarkatu tsakanin Japan da Amurka, da kuma sauran kasashen G-10.

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